Bet on the Toronto Blue Jays to Win Under 76.5 Games in 2019

REGULAR SEASON RECAP

Their 73 regular season wins did not meet expectations. It was -2.7 below what oddsmakers' money line projected. The season went worse than expected. They came up short on the road. They were OK at home. They won 40.7% on the road which was worse than expected (43.6%). They won 40 at home and were expected to win 40.4. The latest simulations project a significant drop in wins with a per simulation average of 67.1 wins and are projected to finish twelfth in the American League. There is a sizable gap between them and the #11 ranked Mariners who are projected for 74 wins.

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TEAM STRENGTHS AND WEAKNESSES

Their record is slightly better than it should be. Since last season their average run differential is -0.76 which ranks #11 in the AL, but their rank based on win percentage is #10. They are the #11 ranked team in run differential (based on all teams' road stats) and the #9 ranked team among home teams.

TEAM STATS PER GAME (League Rank):

SituationRunsBatting AvgOPS
All 162 Games4.4 (#10)0.244 (#10)0.608 (#4)
Road4.3 (#8)0.240 (#8)0.580 (#8)
Home4.5 (#9)0.249 (#8)0.638 (#2)

ALLOWED TO OPPOSING TEAMS (Lower # is Better):

SituationRunsBatting AvgOPS
All5.1 (#11)0.264 (#12)0.615 (#12)
Road5.4 (#13)0.278 (#130.616 (#10)
Home4.9 (#11)0.251 (#11)0.619 (#12)

Stream Toronto games with SlingTV

TEAM STATS AND BETTING RESULT GAMELOG

Below is a betting recap of all 162 regular games. Anyone who backed the Blue Jays in all of their games would be down -752 units. Against the run line, they have lost -2381 units risking 100 units on each pick (72-90 PL). They are down against the run line at home and on the road.

Season RecapGS-GAMoney LineRun Line RecordO/U Record
All Games4.4 - 5.173-89, -75272-90, -238182-72 53.2% Over
On Road4.3 - 5.433-48, -75235-46, -148549-28 63.6% Over
At Home4.5 - 4.940-41, -32837-44, -89633-44 57.1% Under
9/30 @TB4-9Loss -100Run Line Loss +1.5Over 8
9/29 @TB3-4Loss -100Covered +1.5Push 7
9/28 @TB7-6Win +160Covered +1.5Over 7.5
9/26 HOU3-1Win +102Covered +1.5Under 8
9/25 HOU1-4Loss -100Run Line Loss +1.5Under 9
9/24 HOU3-5Loss -100Run Line Loss +1.5Under 9
9/23 TB2-5Loss -100Run Line Loss +1.5Under 8
9/22 TB5-2Win +133Covered +1.5Under 9
9/21 TB3-11Loss -100Run Line Loss +1.5Over 8.5
9/20 TB9-8Win +140Covered +1.5Over 8.5
9/19 @BAL1-2Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Under 9.5
9/18 @BAL6-4Win +83Covered -1.5Over 8.5
9/17 @BAL5-0Win +80Covered -1.5Under 9.5
9/16 @NYY3-2Win +200Covered +1.5Under 10
9/15 @NYY8-7Win +202Covered +1.5Over 9.5
9/14 @NYY0-11Loss -100Run Line Loss +1.5Over 9
9/13 @BOS3-4Loss -100Covered +1.5Under 9
9/12 @BOS0-1Loss -100Covered +1.5Under 9
9/11 @BOS2-7Loss -100Run Line Loss +1.5Push 9
9/9 CLE6-2Win +168Covered +1.5Under 9
9/8 CLE8-9Loss -100Covered +1.5Over 9.5
9/7 CLE3-2Win +206Covered +1.5Under 8.5
9/6 CLE4-9Loss -100Run Line Loss +1.5Over 9
9/5 TB10-3Win +126Covered +1.5Over 8.5
9/4 TB0-4Loss -100Run Line Loss +1.5Under 8.5
9/3 TB1-7Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Under 8.5
9/2 @MIA6-1Win +85Covered -1.5Under 8
9/1 @MIA3-6Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Over 7.5
8/31 @MIA6-5Win +87Run Line Loss -1.5Over 8
8/29 @BAL5-10Loss -100Run Line Loss +1.5Over 9
8/28 @BAL5-12Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Over 9.5
8/27 @BAL0-7Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Under 9.5
8/26 PHI3-8Loss -100Run Line Loss +1.5Over 9
8/25 PHI8-6Win +121Covered +1.5Over 9
8/24 PHI4-2Win +120Covered +1.5Under 9
8/22 BAL6-0Win +58Covered -1.5Under 9.5
8/21 BAL8-2Win +74Covered -1.5Over 8.5
8/20 BAL5-3Win +60Covered -1.5Under 9
8/19 @NYY2-10Loss -100Run Line Loss +1.5Over 8.5
8/18 @NYY6-11Loss -100Run Line Loss +1.5Over 9
8/17 @NYY5-7Loss -100Run Line Loss +1.5Over 9
8/16 @KC2-6Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Under 9
8/15 @KC6-5Win +83Run Line Loss -1.5Over 9
8/14 @KC6-5Win +67Run Line Loss -1.5Over 9
8/13 @KC1-3Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Under 9
8/12 TB2-1Win +77Run Line Loss -1.5Under 8
8/11 TB1-3Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Under 9
8/10 TB0-7Loss -100Run Line Loss +1.5Under 8
8/9 BOS8-5Win +145Covered +1.5Over 9
8/8 BOS5-10Loss -100Run Line Loss +1.5Over 9.5
8/7 BOS7-10Loss -100Run Line Loss +1.5Over 9.5
8/5 @SEA3-6Loss -100Run Line Loss +1.5Over 8.5
8/4 @SEA5-1Win +210Covered +1.5Under 7.5
8/3 @SEA7-2Win +157Covered +1.5Over 8
8/2 @SEA7-3Win +133Covered +1.5Over 8.5
8/1 @OAK3-8Loss -100Run Line Loss +1.5Over 8
7/31 @OAK2-6Loss -100Run Line Loss +1.5Under 8.5
7/30 @OAK1-10Loss -100Run Line Loss +1.5Over 8.5
7/29 @CHW7-4Win +111Covered +1.5Over 9
7/28 @CHW5-9Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Over 10
7/27 @CHW10-5Win +83Covered -1.5Over 9
7/25 MIN6-12Loss -100Run Line Loss +1.5Over 9.5
7/24 MIN0-5Loss -100Run Line Loss +1.5Under 8.5
7/23 MIN3-8Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Over 9.5
7/22 BAL5-4Win +49Run Line Loss -1.5Over 8.5
7/21 BAL4-1Win +52Covered -1.5Under 9
7/20 BAL8-7Win +67Run Line Loss -1.5Over 9
7/15 @BOS2-5Loss -100Run Line Loss +1.5Under 10
7/14 @BOS2-6Loss -100Run Line Loss +1.5Under 9.5
7/13 @BOS13-7Win +195Covered +1.5Over 9.5
7/12 @BOS4-6Loss -100Run Line Loss +1.5Over 9
7/11 @ATL5-9Loss -100Run Line Loss +1.5Over 8.5
7/10 @ATL6-2Win +120Covered +1.5Under 8.5
7/8 NYY1-2Loss -100Covered +1.5Under 9
7/7 NYY5-8Loss -100Run Line Loss +1.5Over 7.5
7/6 NYY6-2Win +140Covered +1.5Under 9.5
7/4 NYM3-6Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Under 9.5
7/3 NYM8-6Win +81Covered -1.5Over 9
7/2 DET2-3Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Under 9.5
7/1 DET1-9Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Over 9
6/30 DET4-3Win +61Run Line Loss -1.5Under 9
6/29 DET3-2Win +49Run Line Loss -1.5Under 9
6/27 @HOU6-7Loss -100Covered +1.5Over 8
6/26 @HOU0-7Loss -100Run Line Loss +1.5Under 8
6/25 @HOU6-3Win +214Covered +1.5Over 7
6/24 @LAA7-6Win +130Covered +1.5Over 8.5
6/23 @LAA4-1Win +123Covered +1.5Under 8.5
6/22 @LAA1-2Loss -100Covered +1.5Under 8.5
6/21 @LAA5-8Loss -100Run Line Loss +1.5Over 8.5
6/20 ATL5-4Win +62Run Line Loss -1.5Over 8.5
6/19 ATL4-11Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Over 9
6/17 WAS8-6Win +116Covered +1.5Over 9.5
6/16 WAS2-0Win +200Covered +1.5Under 7.5
6/15 WAS6-5Win +124Covered +1.5Over 9.5
6/13 @TB0-1Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Under 7
6/12 @TB1-4Loss -100Run Line Loss +1.5Under 8
6/11 @TB4-8Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Over 8
6/10 BAL13-3Win +74Covered -1.5Over 9
6/9 BAL4-3Win +90Run Line Loss -1.5Under 9
6/8 BAL5-1Win +56Covered -1.5Under 9
6/7 BAL5-4Win +83Run Line Loss -1.5Under 9.5
6/6 NYY0-3Loss -100Run Line Loss +1.5Under 9.5
6/5 NYY2-7Loss -100Run Line Loss +1.5Under 9.5
6/3 @DET8-4Win +110Covered +1.5Over 9
6/2 @DET4-7Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Over 9
6/1 @DET2-5Loss -100Run Line Loss +1.5Under 9
5/30 @BOS4-6Loss -100Run Line Loss +1.5Over 9.5
5/29 @BOS3-8Loss -100Run Line Loss +1.5Over 9.5
5/28 @BOS3-8Loss -100Run Line Loss +1.5Over 9
5/27 @PHI5-3Win +91Covered -1.5Over 7.5
5/26 @PHI1-2Loss -100Covered +1.5Under 8.5
5/25 @PHI6-5Win +88Run Line Loss -1.5Over 9
5/24 LAA1-8Loss -100Run Line Loss +1.5Push 9
5/23 LAA4-5Loss -100Covered +1.5Under 9.5
5/22 LAA5-3Win +102Covered +1.5Under 8.5
5/20 OAK2-9Loss -100Run Line Loss +1.5Over 9.5
5/19 OAK4-5Loss -100Covered +1.5Push 9
5/18 OAK1-3Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Under 9.5
5/17 OAK5-10Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Over 9.5
5/16 @NYM12-1Win +69Covered -1.5Over 7
5/15 @NYM2-12Loss -100Run Line Loss +1.5Over 7.5
5/13 BOS3-5Loss -100Run Line Loss +1.5Under 9.5
5/12 BOS2-5Loss -100Run Line Loss +1.5Under 9
5/11 BOS5-3Win +165Covered +1.5Under 8.5
5/10 SEA3-9Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Over 9
5/9 SEA5-2Win +85Covered -1.5Under 9.5
5/8 SEA0-5Loss -100Run Line Loss +1.5Under 8
5/6 @TB2-1Win +120Covered +1.5Under 8
5/5 @TB3-5Loss -100Run Line Loss +1.5Push 8
5/4 @TB2-6Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Push 8
5/3 @CLE4-13Loss -100Run Line Loss +1.5Over 10
5/3 @CLE13-11Win +160Covered +1.5Over 8.5
5/2 @MIN0-4Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Under 9
5/1 @MIN7-4Win +115Covered +1.5Over 9
4/30 @MIN7-5Win +105Covered +1.5Over 10
4/29 TEX7-2Win +40Covered -1.5Push 9
4/28 TEX4-7Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Over 9
4/27 TEX4-6Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Over 8.5
4/26 BOS4-5Loss -100Covered +1.5Over 8
4/25 BOS3-4Loss -100Covered +1.5Under 8.5
4/24 BOS4-3Win +88Covered +1.5Under 8.5
4/22 @NYY1-5Loss -100Run Line Loss +1.5Under 8.5
4/21 @NYY1-9Loss -100Run Line Loss +1.5Over 8.5
4/20 @NYY8-5Win +175Covered +1.5Over 8.5
4/19 @NYY3-4Loss -100Covered +1.5Under 9
4/18 KC15-5Win +50Covered -1.5Over 8.5
4/17 KC11-3Win +48Covered -1.5Over 9
4/17 KC5-4Win +67Run Line Loss -1.5Push 9
4/13 @CLE8-4Win +133Covered +1.5Over 8.5
4/11 @BAL3-5Loss -100Run Line Loss +1.5Under 8.5
4/10 @BAL2-1Win +78Run Line Loss -1.5Under 8.5
4/9 @BAL7-1Win +105Covered +1.5Over 7.5
4/8 @TEX7-4Win +91Covered -1.5Over 9
4/7 @TEX1-5Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Under 8.5
4/6 @TEX8-5Win +85Covered -1.5Over 10
4/4 CHW3-4Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Under 9.5
4/3 CHW14-5Win +54Covered -1.5Over 9
4/2 CHW4-2Win +57Covered -1.5Under 9
4/1 NYY7-4Win +87Covered -1.5Over 8.5
3/31 NYY5-3Win +95Covered +1.5Under 9
3/30 NYY2-4Loss -100Run Line Loss +1.5Under 8.5
3/29 NYY1-6Loss -100Run Line Loss +1.5Under 8.5