Boston Red Sox Exceed Expectations by Going 108-54

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REGULAR SEASON RECAP

Their 108 regular season wins exceeded expectations. It was +12.7 above what oddsmakers' money line projected. The season went better than expected. They exceeded expectations on both the road and at home. Their 70.4% home win percentage was better than expected (62.5%). They won 63% on the road which was better than expected (55.1%). In simulations for next season they are averaging 102.1 wins and are projected to finish first in the American League. There is not much of a gap between them and the #2 ranked Indians who are projected for 100.3 wins.

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TEAM STRENGTHS AND WEAKNESSES

Their record is slightly better than it should be. Their average run differential is +1.49 which ranks #2 in the AL, but their rank based on win percentage is #1. They are the #2 ranked team in run differential (based on all teams' road stats) and the #1 ranked team among home teams. Their average run differential in their past 3 games is +2 which ranks them #1 over this stretch, slightly better than overall.

TEAM STATS PER GAME (League Rank):

SituationRunsBatting AvgOPS
All 176 Games5.5 (#1)0.266 (#1)0.622 (#1)
Road5.2 (#3)0.254 (#5)0.587 (#6)
Home5.7 (#1)0.279 (#1)0.661 (#1)
Last 3 Games5.3 (#1)0.184 (#1)0.647 (#1)

ALLOWED TO OPPOSING TEAMS (Lower # is Better):

SituationRunsBatting AvgOPS
All4.0 (#2)0.234 (#3)0.545 (#3)
Road3.9 (#4)0.234 (#30.538 (#2)
Home4.0 (#4)0.234 (#4)0.552 (#3)
Last 3 Games3.3 (#1)0.183 (#1)0.595 (#1)

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TEAM STATS AND BETTING RESULT GAMELOG

Below is a betting recap of all 162 regular games. Anyone who backed the Red Sox in all of their games would have earned a +809 unit profit at a 100 per game risk. Against the run line, they have delivered a +1632 profit risking 100 units on each game (92-70 PL). They are profitable against the run line at home and on the road.

Season RecapGS-GAMoney LineRun Line RecordO/U Record
All Games5.4 - 4.0108-54, +80992-70, +163277-75 50.7% Over
On Road5.0 - 4.051-30, +95246-35, +58641-39 51.2% Over
At Home5.8 - 4.057-24, +80946-35, +104536-36 50% Over
9/30 NYY10-2Win +74Covered -1.5Over 9
9/29 NYY5-8Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Over 9.5
9/28 NYY6-11Loss -100Run Line Loss +1.5Over 9.5
9/26 BAL3-10Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Over 8
9/26 BAL19-3Win +29Covered -1.5Over 9
9/24 BAL6-2Win +40Covered -1.5Push 8
9/23 @CLE3-4Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Under 9.5
9/22 @CLE4-5Loss -100Covered +1.5Over 8.5
9/21 @CLE7-5Win +142Covered +1.5Over 7
9/20 @NYY11-6Win +143Covered +1.5Over 8.5
9/19 @NYY1-10Loss -100Run Line Loss +1.5Over 8.5
9/18 @NYY2-3Loss -100Covered +1.5Under 9
9/16 NYM4-3Win +57Run Line Loss -1.5Push 7
9/15 NYM5-3Win +38Covered -1.5Under 9.5
9/14 NYM0-8Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Under 9
9/13 TOR4-3Win +45Run Line Loss -1.5Under 9
9/12 TOR1-0Win +36Run Line Loss -1.5Under 9
9/11 TOR7-2Win +29Covered -1.5Push 9
9/9 HOU6-5Win +87Run Line Loss -1.5Over 8.5
9/8 HOU3-5Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Under 8.5
9/7 HOU3-6Loss -100Run Line Loss +1.5Over 8.5
9/5 @ATL9-8Win +158Covered +1.5Over 7.5
9/4 @ATL5-1Win +78Covered -1.5Under 8.5
9/3 @ATL8-2Win +80Covered -1.5Over 9
9/2 @CHW0-8Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Under 9.5
9/1 @CHW6-1Win +53Covered -1.5Under 8.5
8/31 @CHW1-6Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Under 9
8/30 @CHW9-4Win +45Covered -1.5Over 8.5
8/29 MIA14-6Win +28Covered -1.5Over 10
8/28 MIA8-7Win +39Run Line Loss -1.5Over 10.5
8/26 @TB1-9Loss -100Run Line Loss +1.5Over 7
8/25 @TB1-5Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Under 8
8/24 @TB3-10Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Over 8.5
8/23 CLE7-0Win +49Covered -1.5Under 10
8/22 CLE10-4Win +110Covered +1.5Over 9
8/21 CLE3-6Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Push 9
8/20 CLE4-5Loss -100Covered +1.5Over 8.5
8/19 TB0-2Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Under 9
8/18 TB5-2Win +49Covered -1.5Under 8.5
8/17 TB7-3Win +54Covered -1.5Over 9
8/15 @PHI4-7Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Over 8.5
8/14 @PHI2-1Win +80Run Line Loss -1.5Under 8.5
8/12 @BAL4-1Win +30Covered -1.5Under 8.5
8/11 @BAL6-4Win +43Covered -1.5Push 10
8/11 @BAL5-0Win +34Covered -1.5Under 10
8/10 @BAL19-12Win +42Covered -1.5Over 9
8/9 @TOR5-8Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Over 9
8/8 @TOR10-5Win +67Covered -1.5Over 9.5
8/7 @TOR10-7Win +97Covered -1.5Over 9.5
8/5 NYY5-4Win +100Run Line Loss -1.5Push 9
8/4 NYY4-1Win +63Covered -1.5Under 9.5
8/3 NYY4-1Win +115Covered +1.5Under 9
8/2 NYY15-7Win +94Covered -1.5Over 10
7/31 PHI1-3Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Under 10
7/30 PHI2-1Win +68Run Line Loss -1.5Under 9
7/29 MIN3-0Win +61Covered -1.5Under 9.5
7/28 MIN10-4Win +53Covered -1.5Over 10.5
7/27 MIN4-3Win +25Run Line Loss -1.5Under 9
7/26 MIN1-2Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Under 10
7/24 @BAL6-7Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Over 9.5
7/23 @BAL5-3Win +53Covered -1.5Under 9
7/22 @DET9-1Win +29Covered -1.5Over 8
7/21 @DET0-5Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Under 9.5
7/20 @DET1-0Win +49Run Line Loss -1.5Under 9
7/15 TOR5-2Win +69Covered -1.5Under 10
7/14 TOR6-2Win +45Covered -1.5Under 9.5
7/13 TOR7-13Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Over 9.5
7/12 TOR6-4Win +57Covered -1.5Over 9
7/11 TEX4-2Win +25Covered -1.5Under 8.5
7/10 TEX8-4Win +47Covered -1.5Over 11.5
7/9 TEX5-0Win +50Covered -1.5Under 10
7/8 @KC7-4Win +41Covered -1.5Over 9.5
7/7 @KC15-4Win +53Covered -1.5Over 9.5
7/6 @KC10-5Win +25Covered -1.5Over 8.5
7/4 @WAS3-0Win +75Covered -1.5Under 9
7/3 @WAS11-4Win +105Covered +1.5Over 9.5
7/2 @WAS4-3Win +167Covered +1.5Under 7.5
7/1 @NYY1-11Loss -100Run Line Loss +1.5Over 8.5
6/30 @NYY11-0Win +65Covered -1.5Over 8.5
6/29 @NYY1-8Loss -100Run Line Loss +1.5Under 9.5
6/28 LAA4-2Win +61Covered -1.5Under 10.5
6/27 LAA9-6Win +67Covered -1.5Over 9.5
6/26 LAA9-1Win +61Covered -1.5Push 10
6/24 SEA5-0Win +38Covered -1.5Under 8.5
6/23 SEA2-7Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Push 9
6/22 SEA14-10Win +76Covered -1.5Over 9.5
6/21 @MIN9-2Win +79Covered -1.5Over 9
6/20 @MIN1-4Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Under 8.5
6/19 @MIN2-6Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Over 7
6/17 @SEA9-3Win +67Covered -1.5Over 8.5
6/16 @SEA0-1Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Under 8.5
6/15 @SEA6-7Loss -100Covered +1.5Over 7
6/14 @SEA2-1Win +79Run Line Loss -1.5Under 8.5
6/13 @BAL5-1Win +36Covered -1.5Under 8.5
6/12 @BAL6-4Win +61Covered -1.5Over 9.5
6/11 @BAL2-0Win +75Covered -1.5Under 8.5
6/10 CHW2-5Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Under 9.5
6/9 CHW4-2Win +46Covered -1.5Under 9.5
6/8 CHW0-1Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Under 8
6/7 DET2-7Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Under 10
6/6 DET7-1Win +46Covered -1.5Under 9
6/5 DET6-0Win +50Covered -1.5Under 10
6/3 @HOU9-3Win +164Covered +1.5Over 7.5
6/2 @HOU5-4Win +185Covered +1.5Over 7.5
6/1 @HOU3-7Loss -100Run Line Loss +1.5Over 7
5/31 @HOU2-4Loss -100Run Line Loss +1.5Under 8.5
5/30 TOR6-4Win +54Covered -1.5Over 9.5
5/29 TOR8-3Win +53Covered -1.5Over 9.5
5/28 TOR8-3Win +56Covered -1.5Over 9
5/27 ATL1-7Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Over 7.5
5/26 ATL8-6Win +80Covered -1.5Over 10.5
5/25 ATL6-2Win +56Covered -1.5Under 10.5
5/24 @TB3-6Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Over 7
5/23 @TB4-1Win +77Covered -1.5Under 7.5
5/22 @TB4-2Win +43Covered -1.5Under 7.5
5/20 BAL5-0Win +43Covered -1.5Under 10.5
5/19 BAL6-3Win +53Covered -1.5Push 9
5/18 BAL4-7Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Over 9.5
5/17 BAL6-2Win +62Covered -1.5Under 9.5
5/16 OAK6-4Win +38Covered -1.5Over 8
5/15 OAK3-5Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Under 10
5/14 OAK5-6Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Over 9.5
5/13 @TOR5-3Win +77Covered -1.5Under 9.5
5/12 @TOR5-2Win +67Covered -1.5Under 9
5/11 @TOR3-5Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Under 8.5
5/10 @NYY5-4Win +130Covered +1.5Under 9.5
5/9 @NYY6-9Loss -100Run Line Loss +1.5Over 8.5
5/8 @NYY2-3Loss -100Covered +1.5Under 8.5
5/6 @TEX6-1Win +42Covered -1.5Under 8.5
5/5 @TEX6-5Win +69Run Line Loss -1.5Over 9
5/4 @TEX5-1Win +56Covered -1.5Under 9
5/3 @TEX5-11Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Over 9
5/2 KC5-4Win +56Run Line Loss -1.5Under 10.5
5/1 KC6-7Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Over 8
4/30 KC10-6Win +40Covered -1.5Over 8.5
4/29 TB4-3Win +50Run Line Loss -1.5Under 8.5
4/28 TB6-12Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Over 9
4/27 TB3-4Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Under 8.5
4/26 @TOR5-4Win +45Run Line Loss -1.5Over 8
4/25 @TOR4-3Win +70Run Line Loss -1.5Under 8.5
4/24 @TOR3-4Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Under 8.5
4/22 @OAK1-4Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Under 8.5
4/21 @OAK0-3Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Under 7.5
4/20 @OAK7-3Win +71Covered -1.5Over 9
4/19 @LAA8-2Win +93Covered -1.5Over 8.5
4/18 @LAA9-0Win +95Covered -1.5Over 8
4/17 @LAA10-1Win +150Covered +1.5Over 8
4/15 BAL3-1Win +45Covered -1.5Under 6.5
4/14 BAL10-3Win +64Covered -1.5Over 8.5
4/13 BAL7-3Win +47Covered -1.5Over 9.5
4/12 NYY6-3Win +105Covered +1.5Push 9
4/11 NYY7-10Loss -100Run Line Loss +1.5Over 8
4/10 NYY14-1Win +77Covered -1.5Over 7
4/8 TB8-7Win +49Run Line Loss -1.5Over 8
4/7 TB10-3Win +59Covered -1.5Over 8.5
4/5 TB3-2Win +41Run Line Loss -1.5Under 8.5
4/3 @MIA4-2Win +37Covered -1.5Under 7.5
4/2 @MIA7-3Win +81Covered -1.5Over 9
4/1 @TB2-1Win +95Run Line Loss -1.5Under 8.5
3/31 @TB3-2Win +87Run Line Loss -1.5Under 8
3/30 @TB1-0Win +67Run Line Loss -1.5Under 7.5
3/29 @TB4-6Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Over 7
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