Carson Kelly is a Bad DFS Value on Fanduel at $2.6K and DraftKings at $4.1K on 8/30

DAILY FANTASY PROJECTIONS AND PLAY OR FADE ADVICE

He is projected for 5.1 FanDuel points and 3.8 points on DraftKings. Based on the player pool average points per dollar he is coming up -$724 short of $2.6K on FanDuel and -$940 short of $4.1K on DraftKings. Their should be much better options (see below). Barring a significant lineup change consider him a daily fantasy player to fade. Below are how he ranks based on projected fantasy points on both DFS platforms. Look for players with more FPs at lower salaries.

FANDUEL (C/1B) 8/30 RANKPROJECTIONSALARY
#71 Jonathan Lucroy5.3 FD Points$2300
#72 Kevan Smith5.3 FD Points$2400
#73 Carson Kelly5.1 FD Points$2600
#74 Manny Pina5 FD Points$2100
#75 Tony Wolters5 FD Points$2700
DRAFTKINGS (C) 8/30 RANKPROJECTIONSALARY
#27 Kevan Smith4 DK Points$2900
#28 Sandy Leon3.8 DK Points$2200
#29 Carson Kelly3.8 DK Points$4100
#30 Elias Diaz3.8 DK Points$3400
#31 Tony Wolters3.8 DK Points$3500

These projections power SportsLine's Computer Picks and Fantasy Data. But for contest winning DFS optimal lineups by top experts like Mike McClure visit SportsLine's new Daily Fantasy Hub.

REST OF SEASON OUTLOOK AND POSITION RANK

Expect Carson Kelly to be a reliable fantasy starter the rest of the season. His 43.07 projected fantasy points puts him at #23 behind Chris Herrmann and ahead of Yan Gomes. He has averaged 2.2 fantasy points in his past 108 games, which is less than our projected per game average. He is projected to average 3.08 fantasy points. His rank based on avg proj (#3) is better than his rank based on total fantasy points. He is overrated if you compare his ownership based rank with his projection rank. At 53%, he is the #15 most highly owned catcher. Carson Kelly is expected to come up short of this season-to-date's #11 fantasy position rank.

REST OF SEASON RANK (C) PROJECTIONFANTASY STATS SINCE 2018
#21 Jonathan Lucroy (20% OWN)43 FP, 2.37 per game225 FP, 125 gp, 1.8 per game (#33)
#22 Chris Herrmann (1% OWN)43 FP, 2.56 per game42 FP, 30 gp, 1.4 per game (#48)
#23 Carson Kelly (53% OWN)43 FP, 3.08 per game42 FP, 30 gp, 1.4 per game (#48)
#24 Yan Gomes (14% OWN)43 FP, 2.37 per game250 FP, 111 gp, 2.25 per game (#13)
#25 Danny Jansen (39% OWN)42 FP, 2.21 per game60 FP, 30 gp, 1.98 per game (#25)

WEEK 23 AND 24 FANTASY OUTLOOK

Carson Kelly is projected for 4.01 fantasy points in 2 games the rest of the week in week 23 which ranks him as the #30 projected catcher for the week and a starter for most fantasy teams. This is projected to be a better than average week with more fantasy points per game than he is projected to average per game the rest of the season. He is ranked above Russell Martin but behind Jorge Alfaro the rest of the week. Week 24 will be better based on projected rank (#18). He is projected for 9.87 fantasy points.

8/30 TO 9/1 RANK (C)PROJECTIONROS FP PROJ AVG
#28 James McCann (78% OWN)4.18 FP (67% ST)2.61 FP
#29 Jorge Alfaro (41% OWN)4.15 FP (32% ST)2.19 FP
#30 Carson Kelly (53% OWN)4.01 FP (42% ST)3.08 FP
#31 Russell Martin (1% OWN)3.81 FP (1% ST)2.34 FP
#32 Danny Jansen (39% OWN)3.78 FP (25% ST)2.21 FP
9/2 TO 9/8 RANK (C)PROJECTIONROS FP PROJ AVG
#16 Chance Sisco (13% OWN)10.1 FP (7% ST)2.48 FP
#17 Yasmani Grandal (99% OWN)10.1 FP (94% ST)2.82 FP
#18 Carson Kelly (53% OWN)9.9 FP (42% ST)3.08 FP
#19 Travis d'Arnaud (61% OWN)9.8 FP (46% ST)2.92 FP
#20 Roberto Perez (53% OWN)9.7 FP (41% ST)2.35 FP

FANTASY PROJECTIONS AND ACTUAL STATS

The tables below show projected stats (totals and averages) for the rest of the season and upcoming weeks. Also included are actual stats from the current and last season.

CARSON KELLYFPHRRBIRBBSB
Rest of 201943.13.38.27.27.10.1
-- Per Game (14 Proj)3.10.240.580.510.510.01
8/26 to 9/1 (1.5 Games)4.00.280.790.700.620.01
9/2 to 9/8 (3 Games)9.90.801.81.61.60.02
2019 Season230184337390
-- Per Game (93 GP)2.50.190.460.400.420.00
2018 to 2019238184638420
-- Per Game (108 GP)2.20.170.430.350.390.00