Carter Kieboom Fantasy Value: Buy, Sell or Hold?

REST OF SEASON VALUE

As of 5/2, Carter Kieboom is the #20 ranked shortstop based on ownership percentage (67%). The market expects more than the projections do. The projections have him 18 spots lower in the rankings. He is projected for 183 fantasy points in 68 remaining games. Based on average FPs, he is even better with the #27 highest average. The market ranks Carter Kieboom behind Simmons and above Peraza but the projections rank Peraza over Carter Kieboom.

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Projected StatRelative StrengthOverallRelative Weakness
Fantasy Points 
183 (#38) 
Avg 
0.258 (#32) 
OPS 
0.729 (#34) 
Home Runs 
8 (#38) 
Runs 
38 (#35) 
RBI 
36 (#33) 
Stolen Bases5 (#29) 
 
Strikeouts60 (#16) 
 

He has more relative strengths than weaknesses which makes him a better value in leagues that score based on production in individual categories.

WEEKLY FANTASY VALUE

His market rank based on start percentage among shortstops for the rest of week 6 is #18, which is better than his market rank of #20. When compared to other shortstops in week 7 these are 5 better options at lower start percentages: Freddy Galvis (9.2 FP), Ehire Adrianza (10 FP), Brandon Crawford (13.4 FP), Jordy Mercer (13.2 FP), and Miguel Rojas (9.8 FP). Starting in 36% of leagues he is expected to produce 13.9 fantasy points (WK 7). At his start percentage, he is expected to be the #20 shortstop of the week, but he is projected to be the #36 shortstop. In terms of total fantasy points he projected to come up 4.9 short of expectations. Even though his per game projected FP average is not better than normal, he will benefit from playing a projected 4 games.

He is projected for 9 fantasy points in week 7 (#36 SS) in 4 games.

Projected StatRelative StrengthWK OverallRelative Weakness
Fantasy Points 
9.02 (#36) 
Avg 
 
0.236 (#45)
OPS 
0.611 (#44) 
Home Runs 
0.45 (#30) 
Runs 
1.81 (#34) 
RBI 
1.72 (#34) 
Stolen Bases 
0.25 (#31) 

  • Based on 5/2 start percentages, Carter Kieboom is valued behind Peraza and above Tatis Jr. but the projections rank Tatis Jr. over Carter Kieboom in week 7.
  • May 6May 7May 8May 9May 10May 11May 12
    1.7 FP @MIL1.3 FP @MIL1.3 FP @MIL1.2 FP @LAD1.2 FP @LAD1.1 FP @LAD1.2 FP @LAD

    Carter Kieboom last five game log with fantasy points (CBS, FD, DK) and statline.

    OPPFANTASYSTATLINE
    5/1 vs STL0 FP, 3 FD, 2 DK0-3, 1 BB
    4/30 vs STL-1 FP, 0 FD, 0 DK0-4
    4/29 vs STL1 FP, 3 FD, 2 DK0-3, 1 BB
    4/28 vs SD8 FP, 25 FD, 19 DK2-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI, 1 R, 1 BB
    4/27 vs SD-1 FP, 0 FD, 0 DK0-4

    DAILY FANTASY VALUE

    FANDUEL VALUE (5/2): Kieboom is not the best option on FanDuel with a projected 6.5 FD pts (#13 among shortstops). At $3300 he is expected to be the #10 shortstop. Using the salaries and projected points for healthy players in in today's pool to calculate expected points per dollar, Kieboom is worth $2.3K. There are 2 other options at $3300 (Freddy Galvis, Dansby Swanson) and Kieboom is ranked #2 among the 3. These are 4 better options at lower salaries: Andrelton Simmons (9.2 FP), Orlando Arcia (7.1 FP), Amed Rosario (8.9 FP), and Willy Adames (9.4 FP). Based on salary, he is expected to have 9.2 FPs, a value reached in 2 of 6 games (33%). The combined 'cover percentage' for shortstops expected to start is 42%.

    DRAFTKINGS VALUE: Carter Kieboom is underrated on DraftKings with a projected 4.9 DK pts (#13 among shortstops). He is the #14 highest priced shortstop ($3800). Using our calculation of expected points per dollar, Kieboom is worth $2.9K. These are 2 better options at lower salaries: Orlando Arcia (5.4 FP) and Willy Adames (7.2 FP). Based on salary, he is expected to have 6.5 FPs, a value reached in 2 of 6 games (33%). The combined 'cover percentage' for shortstops expected to start is 40%.

    Kieboom is NOT in the SportsLine DraftKings optimal lineup or the FanDuel optimal lineup which are based on the computer model's projection. SportsLine.com also offers premium optimal lineups from Mike McClure, a professional DFS player who has over $1 million in career winnings. He uses his own proprietary model to find great DFS values and often differs from the computer in how a player is projected to play on a daily basis.

    DAILY FANTASY SEASON RECAP

    He averaged 6.1 FD points and 4.6 DK points per game. We looked at all of his games that were between the 10th and 90th percentile where the 10th percentile is his floor and the 90th is his ceiling. On DraftKings his floor was 1000 and on FanDuel it was 1000 fantasy points. He did not have a high ceiling (less than +50% over average). On DraftKings it was -1000 and on FanDuel it was -1000 FPs. He has had more bad FanDuel games (below average by 20%) than good games (20% above average), and the same was true on DraftKings. We are only including games where they were in the daily fantasy slate and played.

    GameFD Pts (Sal)Good or BadDK Pts (Sal)Good or Bad
    All6.1 ($2.9K)1 G, 4 B4.6 ($3.8K)1 G, 4 B
    5/1 STL3 ($3.2K)-3.12 ($3.8K)-2.6
    4/30 STL0 ($3.2K)-6.10 ($3.9K)-4.6
    4/29 STL3 ($3K)-3.12 ($3.7K)-2.6
    4/28 SD24.7 ($2.9K)+18.619 ($3.8K)+14.4
    4/27 SD0 ($2K)-6.10 ($3.7K)-4.6
    4/26 SD18.7--14--