Carter Kieboom's Rest of Season Value is Surprising

REST OF SEASON VALUE

Ranking by ownership percentage (66%), Carter Kieboom is expected to be the #20 shortstop for the rest of the season. The market expects more than the projections do. His projection based shortstop rank is #38. He is projected for 182 fantasy points in 68 remaining games. Based on average FPs, he is even better with the #27 highest average. The market ranks Carter Kieboom behind Simmons and above Peraza but the projections rank Peraza over Carter Kieboom.

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Projected StatRelative StrengthOverallRelative Weakness
Fantasy Points 
182 (#38) 
Avg 
0.258 (#31) 
OPS 
0.731 (#33) 
Home Runs 
8 (#38) 
Runs 
37 (#36) 
RBI 
35 (#36) 
Stolen Bases5 (#29) 
 
Strikeouts60 (#16) 
 

His value increases in leagues where winning specific categories is important because he has more relative strengths than weaknesses.

WEEKLY FANTASY VALUE

Carter Kieboom is a bad value the rest of the week. He has a market rank of #20 while his projection (rest of week 6) rank is #27. Week 7 shortstops comparisons show instead of Kieboom consider these better options at lower start percentages: Brandon Crawford (13.3 FP), Jordy Mercer (13.2 FP), Nick Ahmed (14.2 FP), Chris Taylor (12.2 FP), and Jose Iglesias (11.9 FP). Starting in 34% of leagues he is expected to produce 13.5 fantasy points (WK 7). At his start percentage, he is expected to be the #20 shortstop of the week, but he is projected to be the #30 shortstop. In terms of total fantasy points he projected to come up 3.3 short of expectations. Even though his per game projected FP average is not better than normal, he will benefit from playing a projected 5 games.

He is projected for 10.2 fantasy points in week 7 (#30 SS) in 5 games.

Projected StatRelative StrengthWK OverallRelative Weakness
Fantasy Points 
10.16 (#30) 
Avg 
 
0.236 (#45)
OPS 
 
0.611 (#45)
Home Runs 
0.52 (#25) 
Runs 
2.04 (#29) 
RBI 
1.93 (#29) 
Stolen Bases 
0.28 (#26) 

  • Based on 5/3 start percentages, Carter Kieboom is valued behind Profar and above Tatis Jr. but the projections rank Tatis Jr. over Carter Kieboom in week 7.
  • May 6May 7May 8May 9May 10May 11May 12
    1.5 FP @MIL1.7 FP @MIL1.7 FP @MIL1.5 FP @LAD1.5 FP @LAD1.1 FP @LAD1.1 FP @LAD

    Carter Kieboom last five game log with fantasy points (CBS, FD, DK) and statline.

    OPPFANTASYSTATLINE
    5/2 vs STL0 FP, 0 FD, 0 DK0-1
    5/1 vs STL0 FP, 3 FD, 2 DK0-3, 1 BB
    4/30 vs STL-1 FP, 0 FD, 0 DK0-4
    4/29 vs STL1 FP, 3 FD, 2 DK0-3, 1 BB
    4/28 vs SD8 FP, 25 FD, 19 DK2-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI, 1 R, 1 BB

    DAILY FANTASY VALUE

    FANDUEL VALUE (5/3): Projected for 6.7 FanDuel pts Carter Kieboom is the #22 ranked shortstop. At $3000 he is expected to be the #19 shortstop. At his projected points, he is worth a salary of $2.4K. Amed Rosario is also priced at $3000 and is a better option at this price. Instead of Kieboom consider these better options at lower salaries: Brandon Crawford (8.1 FP), Jordy Mercer (7.6 FP), Orlando Arcia (9.1 FP), and Willy Adames (10.4 FP). Based on salary, he is expected to have 6.4 FPs, a value reached in 2 of 7 games (29%). The combined 'cover percentage' for shortstops expected to start is 41%.

    DRAFTKINGS VALUE: Carter Kieboom is underrated on DraftKings with a projected 5.1 DK pts (#19 among shortstops). At $3700 he is expected to be the #20 shortstop. At his projected points, he is worth a salary of $2.8K (expected pts per $ is calculated daily based on the average of healthy starters). These are 4 better options at lower salaries: Brandon Crawford (6.2 FP), Jordy Mercer (5.9 FP), Orlando Arcia (7.1 FP), and Willy Adames (7.8 FP). Based on salary, he is expected to have 6.6 FPs, a value reached in 2 of 7 games (29%). The combined 'cover percentage' for shortstops expected to start is 39%.

    Kieboom is NOT in the SportsLine DraftKings optimal lineup or the FanDuel optimal lineup which are based on the computer model's projection. SportsLine.com also offers premium optimal lineups from Mike McClure, a professional DFS player who has over $1 million in career winnings. He uses his own proprietary model to find great DFS values and often differs from the computer in how a player is projected to play on a daily basis.

    DAILY FANTASY SEASON RECAP

    His FanDuel average was 5.1 points and on DraftKings it was 3.8 per game. We looked at all of his games that were between the 10th and 90th percentile where the 10th percentile is his floor and the 90th is his ceiling. On DraftKings his floor was 1000 and on FanDuel it was 1000 fantasy points. He did not have a high ceiling (less than +50% over average). On DraftKings it was -1000 and on FanDuel it was -1000 FPs. He has had more bad FanDuel games (below average by 20%) than good games (20% above average), and the same was true on DraftKings. We are only including games where they were in the daily fantasy slate and played.

    GameFD Pts (Sal)Good or BadDK Pts (Sal)Good or Bad
    All5.1 ($2.9K)1 G, 3 B3.8 ($3.8K)1 G, 3 B
    5/2 STL0 ($3.3K)-5.10 ($3.8K)-3.8
    5/1 STL3 ($3.2K)--2 ($3.8K)--
    4/30 STL0 ($3.2K)-5.10 ($3.9K)-3.8
    4/29 STL3 ($3K)--2 ($3.7K)--
    4/28 SD24.7 ($2.9K)+19.619 ($3.8K)+15.2
    4/27 SD0 ($2K)-5.10 ($3.7K)-3.8
    4/26 SD18.7--14--