Carter Kieboom's Rest of Season Value is Surprising

REST OF SEASON VALUE

Ranking by ownership percentage (55%), Carter Kieboom is expected to be the #22 shortstop for the rest of the season. The projections indicate that he is likely to fall short of higher market expectations. The projections have him 20 spots lower in the rankings. He is projected for 168 fantasy points in 65 remaining games. Based on average FPs, he is even better with the #29 highest average. The market ranks Carter Kieboom behind Peraza and above Rosario but the projections rank Rosario over Carter Kieboom.

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Projected StatRelative StrengthOverallRelative Weakness
Fantasy Points 
168 (#42) 
Avg 
0.25 (#43) 
OPS 
0.726 (#35) 
Home Runs 
8 (#36) 
Runs 
36 (#36) 
RBI 
32 (#37) 
Stolen Bases 
4 (#34) 
Strikeouts60 (#18) 
 

He is a 'statistically balanced' player with his rank in most individual categories mirroring his overall fantasy value.

WEEKLY FANTASY VALUE

In week 8 rankings vs other shortstops instead of Kieboom consider these better options at lower start percentages: Troy Tulowitzki (8.8 FP), Ehire Adrianza (9.1 FP), Brandon Crawford (8.7 FP), Jordy Mercer (11 FP), and Chris Taylor (9.1 FP). Starting in 16% of leagues he is expected to produce 12 fantasy points (WK 8). At his start percentage, he is expected to be the #23 shortstop of the week, but he is projected to be the #44 shortstop. In terms of total fantasy points he projected to come up 4.6 short of expectations. Even though his per game projected FP average is not better than normal, he will benefit from playing a projected 3 games.

He is projected for 7.4 fantasy points in week 8 (#43 SS) in 3 games.

Projected StatRelative StrengthWK OverallRelative Weakness
Fantasy Points 
7.4 (#43) 
Avg0.249 (#34) 
 
OPS 
0.63 (#36) 
Home Runs 
0.34 (#41) 
Runs 
1.57 (#39) 
RBI 
1.42 (#41) 
Stolen Bases 
0.19 (#39) 

  • Based on 5/7 start percentages, Carter Kieboom is valued behind Galvis and above Taylor but the projections rank Taylor over Carter Kieboom in week 8.
  • May 14May 15May 16May 17May 18May 19
    1.1 FP vs NYM1.4 FP vs NYM1.2 FP vs NYM1.2 FP vs CHC1.3 FP vs CHC1.1 FP vs CHC

    Carter Kieboom last five game log with fantasy points (CBS, FD, DK) and statline.

    OPPFANTASYSTATLINE
    5/6 @MIL0 FP, 0 FD, 0 DK0-4
    5/5 @PHI-1 FP, 0 FD, 0 DK0-4
    5/4 @PHI4 FP, 15 FD, 12 DK2-4, 2 R, 1 BB
    5/3 @PHI-1 FP, 0 FD, 0 DK0-4
    5/2 vs STL0 FP, 0 FD, 0 DK0-1

    DAILY FANTASY VALUE

    FANDUEL VALUE (5/7): Kieboom is not the best option on FanDuel with a projected 7.3 FD pts (#24 among shortstops). He is the #18 highest priced shortstop ($3000). At his projected points, he is worth a salary of $2.5K (expected pts per $ is calculated daily based on the average of healthy starters). There are 3 other options at $3000 (Brandon Crawford, Andrelton Simmons, Corey Seager) and Kieboom is ranked #4 among the 4. Instead of Kieboom consider these better options at lower salaries: Jordy Mercer (7.7 FP), Nick Ahmed (8.4 FP), Amed Rosario (9.9 FP), Cole Tucker (7.5 FP), and Willy Adames (9.6 FP). Based on salary, he is expected to have 6.6 FPs, a value reached in 3 of 11 games (27%). The combined 'cover percentage' for shortstops expected to start is 42%.

    DRAFTKINGS VALUE: Carter Kieboom is underrated on DraftKings with a projected 5.5 DK pts (#20 among shortstops). At $3500 he is expected to be the #22 shortstop. Using our calculation of expected points per dollar, Kieboom is worth $3.2K. Cole Tucker is also priced at $3500 and is a better option at this price. Instead of Kieboom consider these better options at lower salaries: Jordy Mercer (5.9 FP) and Willy Adames (7.2 FP). He is projected for more points than 3 higher priced options: Freddy Galvis (4.4 FP), Yairo Munoz (3.5 FP), and Andrew Velazquez (2.8 FP). Based on salary, he is expected to have 6.1 FPs, a value reached in 3 of 11 games (27%). The combined 'cover percentage' for shortstops expected to start is 40%.

    Kieboom is NOT in the SportsLine DraftKings optimal lineup or the FanDuel optimal lineup which are based on the computer model's projection. SportsLine.com also offers premium optimal lineups from Mike McClure, a professional DFS player who has over $1 million in career winnings. He uses his own proprietary model to find great DFS values and often differs from the computer in how a player is projected to play on a daily basis.

    WEEKLY FANTASY RECAP

    Out of 3 fantasy weeks he had one where he was +50% above his weekly average of 4.3 fantasy points. He had 2 bad weeks where he was 50% below average.

    WeekFantasy Points (GP)Good WeekBad Week
    ALL4.3 FP per Week12
    Week 511.5 (3 games 3.8 per game)+7.2
    Week 61.5 (7 games 0.2 per game)-2.8
    Week 70 (1 games)-4.3

    DAILY FANTASY SEASON RECAP

    He averaged 4.6 FD points and 3.5 DK points per game. We looked at all of his games that were between the 10th and 90th percentile where the 10th percentile is his floor and the 90th is his ceiling. When he was bad in DFS, he was really bad with a floor of zero points. When he was good, he was very good with a DraftKings ceiling of 12 and 15.4 on FanDuel. He has had more bad FanDuel games (below average by 20%) than good games (20% above average), and the same was true on DraftKings. We are only including games where they were in the daily fantasy slate and played.

    GameFD Pts (Sal)Good or BadDK Pts (Sal)Good or Bad
    All4.6 ($3K)2 G, 6 B3.5 ($3.8K)2 G, 6 B
    5/6 @MIL0 ($2.9K)-4.60 ($3.9K)-3.5
    5/5 @PHI0 ($3.1K)-4.60 ($3.6K)-3.5
    5/4 @PHI15.4 ($3.1K)+10.812 ($3.7K)+8.5
    5/3 @PHI0 ($3K)-4.60 ($3.7K)-3.5
    5/2 STL0 ($3.3K)-4.60 ($3.8K)-3.5
    5/1 STL3 ($3.2K)--2 ($3.8K)--
    4/30 STL0 ($3.2K)-4.60 ($3.9K)-3.5
    4/29 STL3 ($3K)--2 ($3.7K)--
    4/28 SD24.7 ($2.9K)+20.119 ($3.8K)+15.5
    4/27 SD0 ($2K)-4.60 ($3.7K)-3.5
    4/26 SD18.7--14--