Cesar Hernandez is a Strong DFS Play and Garver is One to Fade

Cesar Hernandez

There are 4 other options at $3600 (Ben Zobrist, Brad Miller, Adam Frazier, David Bote) and Hernandez is the best option of these 5. Jonathan Villar (7.1 FP), Howie Kendrick (5.3 FP), Dustin Pedroia (6.8 FP), Eduardo Nunez (7.1 FP), and Daniel Descalso (7.2 FP) are all projected for fewer points than Hernandez but have higher salaries. Based on salary, he is expected to have 6.4 FPs, a value reached in 83 of 173 games (48%). The combined 'cover percentage' for second basemen expected to start is 39%.

Projected for 9.9 FanDuel pts Cesar Hernandez is the #5 ranked second baseman. He is the #19 highest priced second baseman ($2700). Using our calculation of expected points per dollar, Hernandez is worth $3.6K. Jonathan Villar (9 FP), Howie Kendrick (6.8 FP), Robinson Cano (9.8 FP), Dee Gordon (7.6 FP), and Daniel Descalso (9.7 FP) are all projected for fewer points than Hernandez but have higher salaries. Based on salary, he is expected to have 7.5 FPs, a value reached in 87 of 173 games (50%). The combined 'cover percentage' for second basemen expected to start is 38%.

Jose Ramirez and J.D. Martinez are also good values on both FanDuel and DraftKings on 4/14.

Mitch Garver

Garver is not the best option on DraftKings with a projected 2.1 DK pts (#25 among catchers). At $4100 he is expected to be the #2 catcher. At his projected points, he is worth a salary of $1.4K (expected pts per $ is calculated daily based on the average of healthy starters). Jacob Realmuto is also priced at $4100 and is a better option at this price. These are 5 better options at lower salaries: Kurt Suzuki (4 FP), Francisco Cervelli (5.9 FP), Welington Castillo (4.9 FP), Austin Romine (5.9 FP), and Martin Maldonado (3.6 FP). Based on salary, he is expected to have 6 FPs, a value reached in 34 of 109 games (31%). The combined 'cover percentage' for catchers expected to start is 44%.

Projected for 2.8 FanDuel pts Mitch Garver is the #99 ranked C/1Bs. He is the #22 highest priced C/1Bs ($3200). At his projected points, he is worth a salary of $1K (expected pts per $ is calculated daily based on the average of healthy starters). There are 2 other options at $3200 (Tyler Flowers, Josh Bell) and Garver is ranked #3 among the 3. Instead of Garver consider these better options at lower salaries: Albert Pujols (6.9 FP), Miguel Cabrera (8.9 FP), Jeff Mathis (5.4 FP), Yadier Molina (10.1 FP), and Robinson Chirinos (6.1 FP). Based on salary, he is expected to have 8.7 FPs, a value reached in 34 of 109 games (31%). The combined 'cover percentage' for shortstops expected to start is 39%.

Luke Voit and Trey Mancini are also bad values on both FanDuel and DraftKings.

This information was last updated at 4/14/2019 8:05:56 AM. SportsLine has a Daily Fantasy Cheat Sheet and Optimal Lineups based on the latest computer projections. It also features lineups from DFS Millionaire, Mike McClure, visit SportsLine for more.

TODAY'S GAMES (AVG O/U 8.6) AND PROJECTED FANTASY LEADERS

OAKLAND ATHLETICS VS TEXAS RANGERS O/U 10.5 (o-117, u-105)

  • Brett Anderson (SP) 22.3 FD $7.4K
  • Adrian Sampson (SP) 21.4 FD $6.2K
  • Khris Davis (OF) 15.7 FD $4.8K
  • Matt Chapman (3B) 13.5 FD $3.8K
  • Jurickson Profar (2B) 12.4 FD $3.4K

BALTIMORE ORIOLES VS BOSTON RED SOX O/U 10 (o-116, u-105)

  • David Price (SP) 34.8 FD $8.9K, 18.9 DK $9.2K
  • J.D. Martinez (OF) 17.3 FD $4.5K, 12.9 DK $5.2K
  • John Means (SP) 20.7 FD $5.5K, 9.3 DK $4.3K
  • Mookie Betts (OF) 15.8 FD $4.7K, 11.9 DK $5.3K
  • Andrew Benintendi (OF) 12.5 FD $3.8K, 9.4 DK $4.6K

ST LOUIS CARDINALS VS CINCINNATI REDS O/U 10 (o-112, u-109)

  • Miles Mikolas (SP) 31.2 FD $7.5K
  • Anthony DeSclafani (SP) 26.4 FD $6.9K
  • Paul Goldschmidt (C/1B) 13.8 FD $3.8K
  • Paul DeJong (SS) 12.8 FD $3.9K
  • Matt Carpenter (3B) 12.7 FD $3.1K

MILWAUKEE BREWERS VS LOS ANGELES DODGERS O/U 9 (o-106, u-115)

  • Jhoulys Chacin (SP) 28.9 FD $8K
  • Ross Stripling (SP) 28.7 FD $8.1K
  • Christian Yelich (OF) 12.8 FD $4.9K
  • Cody Bellinger (OF) 11.6 FD $5K
  • Mike Moustakas (2B) 10.1 FD $3.3K

LOS ANGELES ANGELS VS CHICAGO CUBS O/U TBD (Sim Projects: 8.7)

  • Trevor Cahill (SP) 26.1 FD $7.7K, 12.9 DK $7.1K
  • Tyler Chatwood (SP) 24.3 FD $5.7K, 12.6 DK $5.5K
  • Javier Baez (SS) 11.3 FD $4.3K, 8.6 DK $4.6K
  • Kris Bryant (3B) 10.4 FD $4.2K, 7.8 DK $4K
  • Daniel Descalso (2B) 9.7 FD $3.4K, 7.2 DK $3.8K

NEW YORK METS VS ATLANTA BRAVES O/U 8.5 (o-115, u-106)

  • Jacob deGrom (SP) 38.9 FD $12.2K
  • Julio Teheran (SP) 29.4 FD $7.4K
  • Ronald Acuna (OF) 12.3 FD $4.6K
  • Michael Conforto (OF) 12 FD $4.2K
  • Freddie Freeman (C/1B) 11.2 FD $4.4K

CHICAGO WHITE SOX VS NEW YORK YANKEES O/U 8.5 (o-115, u104)

  • Masahiro Tanaka (SP) 36 FD $9.5K, 19.7 DK $9.3K
  • Carlos Rodon (SP) 29.5 FD $7.8K, 15.1 DK $7.6K
  • Aaron Judge (OF) 12 FD $4.7K, 8.9 DK $4.9K
  • Yoan Moncada (3B) 11.2 FD $3.8K, 8.4 DK $4.3K
  • Jose Abreu (C/1B FD, 1B DK) 10.5 FD $3.3K, 8 DK $3.9K

HOUSTON ASTROS VS SEATTLE MARINERS O/U 8.5 (o-113, u-107)

  • Gerrit Cole (SP) 40.9 FD $10.8K
  • Marco Gonzales (SP) 28.2 FD $8.5K
  • George Springer (OF) 12.2 FD $4.3K
  • Alex Bregman (3B) 11 FD $4K
  • Jose Altuve (2B) 10.8 FD $4.4K

PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES VS MIAMI MARLINS O/U 8.5 (o-107, u-113)

  • Vincent Velasquez (SP) 31.9 FD $6.5K, 18.2 DK $9K
  • Jose Urena (SP) 23.4 FD $5.8K, 11.3 DK $5.7K
  • Bryce Harper (OF) 14.7 FD $4.6K, 10.8 DK $5.1K
  • Rhys Hoskins (C/1B FD, 1B DK) 13.9 FD $4.8K, 10.2 DK $5K
  • Andrew McCutchen (OF) 11.4 FD $3.8K, 8.4 DK $4.2K

SAN DIEGO PADRES VS ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS O/U 8.5 (o-104, u-118)

  • Zack Greinke (SP) 36.8 FD $9.4K
  • Eric Lauer (SP) 21.2 FD $7.1K
  • Manny Machado (3B) 10.8 FD $4.1K
  • Christian Walker (C/1B) 10.3 FD $2.5K
  • Wil Myers (OF) 10.3 FD $2.8K

TAMPA BAY RAYS VS TORONTO BLUE JAYS O/U 8 (o-116, u-105)

  • Charlie Morton (SP) 34.7 FD $9.2K, 19.2 DK $9.7K
  • Marcus Stroman (SP) 30 FD $7.6K, 15 DK $6.8K
  • Thomas Pham (OF) 12.1 FD $3.9K, 9.1 DK $4.5K
  • Austin Meadows (OF) 11.3 FD $4K, 8.6 DK $4.7K
  • Kevin Kiermaier (OF) 10.4 FD $3.5K, 7.9 DK $4.2K

DETROIT TIGERS VS MINNESOTA TWINS O/U 8 (o-107, u-114)

  • Jose Berrios (SP) 37.5 FD $10K, 20.4 DK $9.9K
  • Jordan Zimmermann (SP) 24.2 FD $7.2K, 12.3 DK $6.4K
  • Nelson Cruz (OF) 13.2 FD $3.8K, 9.7 DK $4.6K
  • Jorge Polanco (SS) 10.9 FD $4.2K, 8.3 DK $4.4K
  • Christin Stewart (OF) 10.9 FD $2.9K, 8.2 DK $3.6K

PITTSBURGH PIRATES VS WASHINGTON NATIONALS O/U 7.5 (o-117, u-105)

  • Max Scherzer (SP) 41.3 FD $11.5K, 23 DK $10.7K
  • Jameson Taillon (SP) 28.2 FD $8.7K, 14.7 DK $8.3K
  • Anthony Rendon (3B) 12.4 FD $4.5K, 9.3 DK $4.9K
  • Starling Marte (OF) 11.1 FD $3.3K, 8.5 DK $3.9K
  • Juan Soto (OF) 10.6 FD $3.9K, 7.9 DK $4.6K

CLEVELAND INDIANS VS KANSAS CITY ROYALS O/U 7.5 (o-114, u-107)

  • Corey Kluber (SP) 41.3 FD $10.2K, 23 DK $9.5K
  • Jake Junis (SP) 28.2 FD $8.4K, 14.2 DK $7.3K
  • Jose Ramirez (3B) 13 FD $3.4K, 9.8 DK $4.1K
  • Carlos Santana (C/1B FD, 1B DK) 11.7 FD $4.3K, 8.7 DK $4.1K
  • Leonys Martin (OF) 11.2 FD $3.6K, 8.4 DK $3.8K

COLORADO ROCKIES VS SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS O/U 7 (o-117, u-105)

  • German Marquez (SP) 34.6 FD $9.8K
  • Derek Holland (SP) 27 FD $6.9K
  • Nolan Arenado (3B) 13.4 FD $3.8K
  • Trevor Story (SS) 13 FD $3.7K
  • Charlie Blackmon (OF) 11.1 FD $3.4K