Chris Sale is Projected to Be an Elite Fantasy Player in 2019 (#4 SP)

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2019 FANTASY OUTLOOK AND PROJECTION: LOOKING GOOD

Chris Sale is projected to be a must start starting pitcher next season. His projected position rank based on season total fantasy points is #4 (at SP). In 2018, he was owned in 96 percent of leagues and it will be at least this high next season as well. He is projected to average 6.05 fantasy points per game in 29 games. His projected rank for the upcoming season is up slightly from where he finished last season.

SP RankPlayerProj FPProj Stats
#2Justin Verlander193.618-8 WL, 203 IP, 242 K, 60, 3.00 ERA, 1.10 WHIP
#3Jacob deGrom192.614-8 WL, 205 IP, 226 K, 49, 2.36 ERA, 1.04 WHIP
#4Chris Sale175.514-5 WL, 166 IP, 216 K, 37, 2.67 ERA, 1.05 WHIP
#5Trevor Bauer166.117-7 WL, 190 IP, 228 K, 54, 3.11 ERA, 1.16 WHIP
#6Corey Kluber165.418-7 WL, 207 IP, 225 K, 49, 3.33 ERA, 1.16 WHIP

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SEASON FANTASY RECAP AND TREND

Chris Sale was the number #3 ranked SP. His value would have been even better if he had played as many games as other elite SPs. Based on average fantasy points he is the #1 SP. We split his 27 games into 3 segments (start, middle, and end). He steadily increased his fantasy average as the season went on. He averaged 6.6 FPs in his first 8 games, 7.8 fantasy points in his next 8 and 8.2 FP after that. Based on a relatively low standard deviation, Sale can be considered a consistent fantasy player. Our projected ceiling for Sale when he 'goes off' is 20 fantasy points (his average is 7.6FPs).

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CURRENT CAREER TREND AND STATISTICS

His fantasy point average held steady over the past 2 seasons.

SEASON TREND20182017
Fantasy Points204231
FP Average7.67.2
Regular Season GP2732
W1217
L48
K/913.512.9
ERA2.112.90
WHIP0.860.97
BBI3443
HA102165

WEEKLY FANTASY RECAP

Out of 22 fantasy weeks, he was +50% above his weekly average of 9.3 FPs in 8 of them. He had 8 bad weeks where he was 50% below average.

WeekFantasy Points (GP)Good WeekBad Week
ALL9.3 FP per Week88
Week 19.5 (1 games)
Week 22 (1 games)-7.3
Week 315 (2 games 7.5 per game)+5.7
Week 40 (1 games)-9.3
Week 58 (1 games)
Week 618 (2 games 9 per game)+8.7
Week 710.5 (1 games)
Week 88.5 (1 games)
Week 93.5 (2 games 1.8 per game)-5.8
Week 10-7 (1 games)-16.3
Week 113 (1 games)-6.3
Week 1212.5 (1 games)
Week 1327 (2 games 13.5 per game)+17.7
Week 1419.5 (1 games)+10.2
Week 1515 (1 games)+5.7
Week 1616 (1 games)+6.7
Week 1717.5 (1 games)+8.2
Week 188 (1 games)
Week 2017 (1 games)+7.7
Week 252.5 (2 games 1.2 per game)-6.8
Week 26-0.2 (1 games)-9.4
Week 27-1.8 (1 games)-11.1

DAILY FANTASY SEASON RECAP

He averaged 45.9 FD points and 27.2 DK points per game. We looked at all of his games that were between the 10th and 90th percentile where the 10th percentile is his floor and the 90th is his ceiling. On DraftKings his floor was 5.1 and on FanDuel it was 9 fantasy points. His DraftKings ceiling was 39.9 fantasy points and 64 on FanDuel. On FanDuel, he has been consistent with relatively few good or bad games (+/- 20% of average), and the same is true on DraftKings. We are only including games where they were in the daily fantasy slate and played.

GameFD Pts (Sal)Good or BadDK Pts (Sal)Good or Bad
All45.9 ($11.3K)1 G, 2 B27.2 ($12.6K)1 G, 2 B
9/26 BAL27.6 ($11K)--15.3 ($11.1K)--
9/21 @CLE25 ($8.1K)--14.5 ($10.8K)--
9/16 NYM12 ($11.5K)-33.98.2 ($11K)-19
9/11 TOR9 ($7K)-36.95.1 ($13.6K)-22.1
8/12 @BAL57 ($12.8K)--38.6 ($12.5K)--
7/27 MIN52 ($12.8K)--29.9 ($13.5K)--
7/22 @DET55 ($12.5K)--33.7 ($13.4K)--
7/11 TEX67 ($12.6K)--39.6 ($13K)--
7/6 @KC61 ($12.5K)--35.9 ($14K)--
6/30 @NYY64 ($12K)--39.9 ($13K)--
6/24 SEA70 ($11.3K)+24.142.8 ($13.4K)+15.6
6/19 @MIN52 ($11.4K)--30.8 ($12.7K)--
6/13 @BAL52--29.3--
6/8 CHW55--31.8--
6/1 @HOU24--13.3--
5/27 ATL19--8.9--
5/22 @TB57--33.1--
5/16 OAK42--25.6--
5/11 @TOR67 ($11.2K)--40.6 ($12.4K)--
5/6 @TEX64 ($11.2K)--37.6 ($12.6K)--
5/1 KC40 ($11.3K)--20.4 ($12.4K)--
4/26 @TOR31 ($11.4K)--15.3 ($13K)--
4/21 @OAK46 ($11.5K)--25.5 ($12K)--
4/15 BAL36 ($11.2K)--22.8 ($12.4K)--
4/10 NYY49 ($11K)--26.7 ($12.3K)--
4/3 @MIA30 ($11.4K)--18.2 ($12.9K)--
3/29 @TB49 ($11.2K)--29.1 ($12.2K)--
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