Cleveland Indians Are Projected to Improve on Their 91 Wins

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REGULAR SEASON RECAP

Their 91 regular season wins did not meet expectations. It was -8.8 below what oddsmakers' money line projected. The season went worse than expected. They came up short at home and on the road. They went 42-39 on the road and were expected to win 47.7. Their 60.5% home win percentage was worse than expected (64.3%). We are projecting a +9.3 win improvement next season. They are averaging 100.3 wins per simulation and are projected to finish second in the American League. They have a nice projected cushion over the #3 ranked Yankees who are projected for 96.2 wins.

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TEAM STRENGTHS AND WEAKNESSES

Their record is slightly better than it should be. Their average run differential is +1.49 which ranks #2 in the AL, but their rank based on win percentage is #1. They are the #2 ranked team in run differential (based on all teams' road stats) and the #1 ranked team among home teams.

TEAM STATS PER GAME (League Rank):

SituationRunsBatting AvgOPS
All 165 Games5.5 (#1)0.266 (#1)0.622 (#1)
Road5.2 (#3)0.254 (#5)0.587 (#6)
Home5.7 (#1)0.279 (#1)0.661 (#1)

ALLOWED TO OPPOSING TEAMS (Lower # is Better):

SituationRunsBatting AvgOPS
All4.0 (#2)0.234 (#3)0.545 (#3)
Road3.9 (#4)0.234 (#30.538 (#2)
Home4.0 (#4)0.234 (#4)0.552 (#3)

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TEAM STATS AND BETTING RESULT GAMELOG

Below is a betting recap of all 162 regular games. Anyone who backed the Indians in all of their games would be down -1230 units. Against the run line, they have lost -2075 units risking 100 units on each pick (75-87 PL). They are down against the run line at home and on the road.

Season RecapGS-GAMoney LineRun Line RecordO/U Record
All Games5.0 - 4.091-71, -123075-87, -207576-75 50.3% Over
On Road4.6 - 3.942-39, -123034-47, -185034-43 55.8% Under
At Home5.5 - 4.149-32, -75841-40, -22542-32 56.8% Over
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9/27 @KC1-2Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Under 9.5
9/26 @CHW10-2Win +56Covered -1.5Over 9
9/25 @CHW4-5Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Push 9
9/24 @CHW4-0Win +44Covered -1.5Under 8
9/23 BOS4-3Win +95Covered +1.5Under 9.5
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9/18 CHW5-3Win +34Covered -1.5Push 8
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9/14 DET4-5Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Push 9
9/12 @TB1-3Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Under 6.5
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8/28 MIN8-1Win +45Covered -1.5Push 9
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