Daniel Vogelbach is a Strong DFS Play and Blackmon is One to Fade

Daniel Vogelbach

There are 3 other options at $4000 (Brandon Belt, Tyler Austin, Brandon Dixon) and Vogelbach is the best option of these 4. Edwin Encarnacion (8.6 FP), Joey Votto (8.2 FP), Pablo Sandoval (4.9 FP), Daniel Murphy (6.7 FP), and Carlos Santana (8.7 FP) are all projected for fewer points than Vogelbach but have higher salaries. Based on salary, he is expected to have 6.9 FPs, a value reached in 45 of 122 games (37%). The combined 'cover percentage' for first basemen expected to start is 35%.

There are 2 other options at $3500 (Yasmani Grandal, Chance Sisco) and Vogelbach is the best option of these 3. Edwin Encarnacion (11.9 FP), Joey Votto (10.7 FP), Daniel Murphy (8.8 FP), Carlos Santana (11.8 FP), and Freddie Freeman (13.2 FP) are all projected for fewer points than Vogelbach but have higher salaries. Based on salary, he is expected to have 9.5 FPs, a value reached in 43 of 122 games (35%). The combined 'cover percentage' for third basemen expected to start is 43%.

Whit Merrifield and Adalberto Mondesi are also good values on both FanDuel and DraftKings on 7/12.

Charlie Blackmon

Projected for 8.6 DraftKings pts Charlie Blackmon is the #19 ranked outfielder. At $5400 he is expected to be the #1 outfielder. Using our calculation of expected points per dollar, Blackmon is worth $4.9K. These are 5 better options at lower salaries: Nelson Cruz (9 FP), Justin Upton (8.7 FP), Michael Brantley (8.9 FP), Jarrod Dyson (9.3 FP), and Mike Trout (11.4 FP). Based on salary, he is expected to have 9.5 FPs, a value reached in 93 of 232 games (40%). The combined 'cover percentage' for outfielders expected to start is 38%.

Projected for 11.3 FanDuel pts Charlie Blackmon is the #24 ranked outfielder. At $4600 he is expected to be the #3 outfielder. Using our calculation of expected points per dollar, Blackmon is worth $3.8K. Cody Bellinger is also priced at $4600 and is a better option at this price. Instead of Blackmon consider these better options at lower salaries: Nelson Cruz (12.1 FP), Justin Upton (11.6 FP), Alex Gordon (11.5 FP), Michael Brantley (11.5 FP), and Jarrod Dyson (12 FP). Based on salary, he is expected to have 13.5 FPs, a value reached in 82 of 232 games (35%). The combined 'cover percentage' for outfielders expected to start is 43%.

Mitch Garver and Nolan Arenado are also bad values on both FanDuel and DraftKings.

This information was last updated at 7/12/2019 7:39:59 AM. SportsLine has a Daily Fantasy Cheat Sheet and Optimal Lineups based on the latest computer projections. It also features lineups from DFS Millionaire, Mike McClure, visit SportsLine for more.

TODAY'S GAMES (AVG O/U 9.7) AND PROJECTED FANTASY LEADERS

CINCINNATI REDS VS COLORADO ROCKIES O/U 12 (o-106, u-114)

  • Jon Gray (SP) 32.9 FD $7.3K, 17.2 DK $9K
  • Sonny Gray (SP) 29 FD $6.8K, 15.5 DK $8.8K
  • Yasiel Puig (OF) 11.8 FD $3.7K, 9.1 DK $4.9K
  • Trevor Story (SS) 11.9 FD $4.5K, 8.9 DK $5.3K
  • Charlie Blackmon (OF) 11.3 FD $4.6K, 8.6 DK $5.4K

TORONTO BLUE JAYS VS NEW YORK YANKEES O/U 11 (o-105, u-115)

  • Domingo German (SP) 33.6 FD $8.6K, 18.7 DK $10.1K
  • Aaron Sanchez (SP) 19.4 FD $5.7K, 8.7 DK $4.9K
  • Aaron Judge (OF) 13.2 FD $4.4K, 9.6 DK $4.8K
  • Edwin Encarnacion (C/1B FD, 1B DK) 11.9 FD $3.7K, 8.6 DK $4.7K
  • Justin Smoak (C/1B FD, 1B DK) 11.4 FD $2.9K, 8.3 DK $3.9K

LOS ANGELES DODGERS VS BOSTON RED SOX O/U 10.5 (o-121, u102)

  • Eduardo Rodriguez (SP) 29.5 FD $8.1K, 15.1 DK $8K
  • Kenta Maeda (SP) 27.9 FD $6.8K, 14.8 DK $8.9K
  • Cody Bellinger (OF) 13.2 FD $4.6K, 9.7 DK $5K
  • Max Muncy (2B FD, 1B DK) 12.3 FD $3.7K, 9.1 DK $4.9K
  • Mookie Betts (OF) 12 FD $4.2K, 9 DK $4.6K

DETROIT TIGERS VS KANSAS CITY ROYALS O/U TBD (Sim Projects: 10.5)

  • Danny Duffy (SP) 27.9 FD $7.9K, 13.6 DK $6.8K
  • Daniel Norris (SP) 24.9 FD $6.6K, 13.3 DK $4.6K
  • Whit Merrifield (OF FD, 2B DK) 14.4 FD $3.6K, 10.7 DK $4.6K
  • Adalberto Mondesi (SS) 14.2 FD $3.7K, 10.8 DK $4.7K
  • Nick Castellanos (OF) 11.7 FD $3.2K, 8.9 DK $4.1K

PITTSBURGH PIRATES VS CHICAGO CUBS O/U TBD (Sim Projects: 10)

  • Chris Archer (SP) 27.7 FD $7.6K
  • Yu Darvish (SP) 27.3 FD $6.7K
  • Josh Bell (C/1B) 13.6 FD $4.5K
  • Javier Baez (SS) 13 FD $4.1K
  • Starling Marte (OF) 12.4 FD $4K

HOUSTON ASTROS VS TEXAS RANGERS O/U 10 (o-105, u-115)

  • Gerrit Cole (SP) 41.5 FD $11.4K, 23.1 DK $11.5K
  • Jesse Chavez (SP) 18.8 FD $6K, 9.7 DK $4K
  • Alex Bregman (SS FD, 3B DK) 13.1 FD $4.3K, 9.7 DK $4.8K
  • George Springer (OF) 12.3 FD $4.4K, 9.3 DK $4.8K
  • Michael Brantley (OF) 11.5 FD $3.9K, 8.9 DK $4.7K

SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS VS MILWAUKEE BREWERS O/U 9.5 (o-115, u-105)

  • Shaun Anderson (SP) 26.1 FD $6.2K, 13.2 DK $4.8K
  • Chase Anderson (SP) 25 FD $6.5K, 13.5 DK $6.3K
  • Christian Yelich (OF) 13.3 FD $4.8K, 10.1 DK $5.2K
  • Mike Moustakas (3B FD, 2B DK) 10.1 FD $3.9K, 7.6 DK $4.7K
  • Brandon Belt (C/1B FD, 1B DK) 10 FD $3.4K, 7.5 DK $4K

SEATTLE MARINERS VS LOS ANGELES ANGELS O/U 9.5 (o-114, u-106)

  • Mike Leake (SP) 26.6 FD $8.6K, 12.8 DK $7.9K
  • Mike Trout (OF) 15.3 FD $4.7K, 11.4 DK $5.3K
  • Daniel Vogelbach (C/1B FD, 1B DK) 13.2 FD $3.5K, 9.7 DK $4K
  • Mallex Smith (OF) 12 FD $2.8K, 9.2 DK $3.9K
  • J.P. Crawford (SS) 12 FD $3K, 8.8 DK $3.7K

WASHINGTON NATIONALS VS PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES O/U 9.5 (o-109, u-111)

  • Stephen Strasburg (SP) 40.2 FD $10.4K
  • Nick Pivetta (SP) 25.9 FD $6.5K
  • Anthony Rendon (3B) 14.3 FD $4.3K
  • Trea Turner (SS) 13.8 FD $4K
  • Juan Soto (OF) 13.3 FD $4.1K

TAMPA BAY RAYS VS BALTIMORE ORIOLES O/U 9.5 (o-109, u-111)

  • Yonny Chirinos (SP) 33.3 FD $6.8K, 18 DK $8.4K
  • Dylan Bundy (SP) 28.7 FD $7.7K, 14.9 DK $7.2K
  • Austin Meadows (OF) 13.1 FD $3.5K, 10 DK $4.4K
  • Thomas Pham (OF) 12.5 FD $3.6K, 9.5 DK $4.4K
  • Kevin Kiermaier (OF) 11.6 FD $2.8K, 8.8 DK $4.6K

CHICAGO WHITE SOX VS OAKLAND ATHLETICS O/U 9.5 (o-103, u-117)

  • Mike Fiers (SP) 29.6 FD $8.4K, 15.6 DK $8.5K
  • Ivan Nova (SP) 23 FD $6.1K, 10.9 DK $5.4K
  • Marcus Semien (SS) 11.2 FD $3.7K, 8.6 DK $4.5K
  • Matt Chapman (3B) 11.2 FD $3.9K, 8.4 DK $4.8K
  • Yoan Moncada (3B) 10.9 FD $3.8K, 8.4 DK $4.6K

MINNESOTA TWINS VS CLEVELAND INDIANS O/U 9 (o-105, u-115)

  • Michael Clevinger (SP) 32.9 FD $9.3K, 17.6 DK $9.6K
  • Kyle Gibson (SP) 27.1 FD $7.1K, 13.8 DK $7.6K
  • Francisco Lindor (SS) 12.2 FD $4.3K, 9.3 DK $4.9K
  • Nelson Cruz (OF) 12.1 FD $3.9K, 9 DK $4.9K
  • Carlos Santana (C/1B FD, 1B DK) 11.8 FD $4.1K, 8.7 DK $4.6K

ATLANTA BRAVES VS SAN DIEGO PADRES O/U 8.5 (o-110, u-110)

  • Dallas Keuchel (SP) 31.1 FD $7.5K, 16 DK $8.2K
  • Dinelson Lamet (SP) 30.3 FD $5.6K, 16.2 DK $9.8K
  • Freddie Freeman (C/1B FD, 1B DK) 13.2 FD $4.3K, 9.8 DK $5K
  • Ronald Acuna (OF) 12.5 FD $4.1K, 9.4 DK $4.8K
  • Manny Machado (3B) 11.7 FD $3.9K, 8.8 DK $4.1K

ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS VS ST LOUIS CARDINALS O/U 8.5 (o-106, u-114)

  • Robbie Ray (SP) 32.5 FD $9.4K, 18 DK $7.9K
  • Adam Wainwright (SP) 27.4 FD $7.6K, 13.7 DK $8.1K
  • Jarrod Dyson (OF) 12 FD $2.8K, 9.3 DK $4.3K
  • Paul Goldschmidt (C/1B FD, 1B DK) 11.7 FD $3.2K, 8.5 DK $3.8K
  • Ketel Marte (2B) 10.6 FD $3.7K, 8.2 DK $4.4K

NEW YORK METS VS MIAMI MARLINS O/U 8 (o-103, u-117)

  • Caleb Smith (SP) 30.4 FD $8K, 16.8 DK $8.6K
  • Jason Vargas (SP) 26.3 FD $6.8K, 14.4 DK $7.8K
  • Pete Alonso (C/1B FD, 1B DK) 10.4 FD $4.3K, 7.8 DK $4.9K
  • Starlin Castro (2B) 9.7 FD $2.7K, 7.5 DK $3K
  • Dominic Smith (OF FD, 1B DK) 9.3 FD $2.6K, 7 DK $4.1K