Does Flexen's Latest FanDuel Projection Justify His $5.5K Salary?

DAILY FANTASY VALUE

Chris Flexen is underrated on FanDuel with a projected 24.5 FD pts (#19 among pitchers). At $5500 he is expected to be the #20 pitcher. Using our calculation of expected points per dollar, Flexen is worth $6.5K. Based on salary, he is expected to have 20.7 FPs, a value reached in 3 of 17 games (18%). The combined 'cover percentage' for pitchers expected to start is 44%.

  • 7/8 VEGAS LINE EXPECTATION: NYM 3.5 (#27 Most Today) vs TB 4 (#24 Most)
  • PROJECTION (POS RANK): 24.49 Fantasy Points (#21), 0.34 wins (#11), 0.39 losses (#19 lowest), 4.21 strikeouts (#22), 5.01 innings (#25), 1.47 WHIP (#26), 3.89 ERA (#17),

DRAFTKINGS VALUE: Based on a projected 12.2 DraftKings points, Flexen is fairly ranked. He is the #18 highest priced pitcher ($5400). At his projected points, he is worth a salary of $6.5K (expected pts per $ is calculated daily based on the average of healthy starters). Based on salary, he is expected to have 10.2 FPs, a value reached in 3 of 17 games (18%). The combined 'cover percentage' for pitchers expected to start is 41%.

Flexen is NOT in the SportsLine DraftKings optimal lineup or the FanDuel optimal lineup which are based on the computer model's projection. SportsLine.com also offers premium optimal lineups from Mike McClure, a professional DFS player who has over $1 million in career winnings. He uses his own proprietary model to find great DFS values and often differs from the computer in how a player is projected to play on a daily basis.

WEEKLY FANTASY VALUE

If you are in a league that allows for substitutions during the week, Chris Flexen could be someone to consider. He is projected to be the #22 starting pitcher the rest of week 15 and he is not starting in any league. Based on start%, Wilkerson is expected to produce more fantasy points than Chris Flexen and the projections validate that assessment. Given he is starting in 0% of leagues there is no market expectation for any real fantasy production in week 16.

He is projected for -0.4 fantasy points in week 16 (#122 SP) .

Projected StatRelative StrengthWK OverallRelative Weakness
Fantasy Points 
-0.44 (#122) 
Wins 
 
0 (#162)
Losses0.02 (#1) 
 
Quality Starts 
 
0 (#154)
Strikeouts 
 
0.14 (#172)
Innings 
 
0.2 (#170)
Walks 
 
0.15 (#165)

  • Based on 7/8 start %s the market values Wilkerson over Chris Flexen and the projections agree.
  • Chris Flexen last five game log with fantasy points (CBS, FD, DK) and statline.

    OPPFANTASYSTATLINE
    6/24 vs LAD-6 FP, 0 FD, 0 DK1 IP, 1 ER, 0 K, 1 HA, 0 BBI, LOSS
    6/21 @COL0 FP, 1 FD, 1 DK0.1 IP, 0 ER, 0 K, 0 HA, 0 BBI
    5/26 @MIL-12 FP, 0 FD, -6 DK2 IP, 3 ER, 1 K, 8 HA, 3 BBI, WIN
    10/1 @PHI-15 FP, -2 FD, -6 DK1.1 IP, 5 ER, 3 K, 6 HA, 2 BBI, LOSS
    9/25 vs ATL-8 FP, 15 FD, 8 DK5 IP, 4 ER, 4 K, 3 HA, 3 BBI, WIN

    Make sure to visit Sportsline to for DFS and betting advice. We have picks on every game and line.

    REST OF SEASON VALUE

    The latest projections exactly match what is expected of Chris Flexen, at least in terms of position ranking. As of 7/8, Chris Flexen is the #131 ranked starting pitcher based on ownership percentage (

    Projected StatRelative StrengthOverallRelative Weakness
    Fantasy Points 
    -26 (#203) 
    Wins2 (#146) 
     
    Losses2 (#35) 
     
    Quality Starts1 (#184) 
     
    Strikeouts14 (#186) 
     
    Innings21 (#169) 
     
    Walks13 (#148) 
     
    ERA 
     
    6.86 (#216)
    WHIP 
     
    1.95 (#217)