Fernando Tatis Jr. is a Bad DFS Value on Fanduel at $4.2K and DraftKings at $5.4K on 8/13

As you may have noticed we have transformed Scout into a data and stats driven service geared towards helping invested fans make the right decisions on a daily basis. This is our new Fantasy Scouting Report that we produce for each fantasy relevant player. We treat them like a stock and report their value in season long fantasy, the current fantasy week, and if applicable, on FanDuel and on DraftKings. We establish what is expected of the player based on fantasy ownership %, start %, and DFS Salary and see if our proprietary forecasting model projects a better or worse than expected performance. For complete recaps of the best and worst values for each market (season, weekly, daily), injury reports and team outlooks be sure to check out the new Scout.

DAILY FANTASY PROJECTIONS AND PLAY OR FADE ADVICE

He is projected for 9.3 FanDuel points and 7.2 points on DraftKings. Based on the player pool average points per dollar he is coming up -$890 short of $4.2K on FanDuel and -$1255 short of $5.4K on DraftKings. Their should be much better options (see below). Barring a significant lineup change consider him a daily fantasy player to fade. Below are how he ranks based on projected fantasy points on both DFS platforms. Look for players with more FPs at lower salaries.

FANDUEL (SS) 8/13 RANKPROJECTIONSALARY
#14 Jean Segura9.5 FD Points$3000
#15 Corey Seager9.5 FD Points$3200
#16 Fernando Tatis Jr.9.3 FD Points$4200
#17 Kevin Newman9.1 FD Points$3100
#18 Bo Bichette9 FD Points$3900
DRAFTKINGS (SS) 8/13 RANKPROJECTIONSALARY
#12 J.P. Crawford7.6 DK Points$3300
#13 Jean Segura7.3 DK Points$3800
#14 Fernando Tatis Jr.7.2 DK Points$5400
#15 Corey Seager7 DK Points$4000
#16 Bo Bichette6.8 DK Points$4100

These projections power SportsLine's Computer Picks and Fantasy Data. But for contest winning DFS optimal lineups by top experts like Mike McClure visit SportsLine's new Daily Fantasy Hub.

REST OF SEASON OUTLOOK AND POSITION RANK

Expect Fernando Tatis Jr. to be a reliable fantasy starter the rest of the season. His 121.57 projected fantasy points puts him at #8 behind Trea Turner and ahead of Marcus Semien. He has averaged 3.57 fantasy points in his past 83 games, which is more than our projected per game average. He is projected to average 3.04 fantasy points. His rank based on avg proj (#10) is worse than his rank based on total fantasy points. He is slightly overrated if you compare his ownership based rank with his projection rank. At 99%, he is the #6 most highly owned shortstop. Fernando Tatis Jr. is expected to slightly improve on this season-to-date's #11 fantasy position rank.

REST OF SEASON RANK (SS) PROJECTIONFANTASY STATS SINCE 2018
#6 Tim Anderson (83% OWN)126 FP, 2.93 per game338 FP, 153 gp, 2.21 per game (#22)
#7 Trea Turner (100% OWN)123 FP, 3 per game471 FP, 161 gp, 2.93 per game (#6)
#8 Fernando Tatis Jr. (99% OWN)122 FP, 3.04 per game471 FP, 161 gp, 2.93 per game (#6)
#9 Marcus Semien (95% OWN)121 FP, 3.11 per game406 FP, 157 gp, 2.59 per game (#15)
#10 Jean Segura (95% OWN)121 FP, 2.88 per game410 FP, 144 gp, 2.85 per game (#8)

PROJECTING A DOWN WEEK 21 FOR FERNANDO TATIS JR. WITH FEWER FPS THAN TREA TURNER

Fernando Tatis Jr. is projected for 14.55 fantasy points in 5 games the rest of the week in week 21 which ranks him as the #18 projected shortstop for the week and a starter for most fantasy teams. This is projected to be a better than average week with more fantasy points per game than he is projected to average per game the rest of the season. He is ranked above Scott Kingery but behind Trea Turner the rest of the week. Week 22 will be better based on projected rank (#12). He is projected for 16.21 fantasy points.

8/13 TO 8/18 RANK (SS)PROJECTIONROS FP PROJ AVG
#16 Marcus Semien (95% OWN)14.8 FP (74% ST)3.11 FP
#17 Trea Turner (100% OWN)14.7 FP (97% ST)3 FP
#18 Fernando Tatis Jr. (99% OWN)14.5 FP (93% ST)3.04 FP
#19 Scott Kingery (75% OWN)14.4 FP (54% ST)2.83 FP
#20 Tommy Edman (5% OWN)14.3 FP (3% ST)2.69 FP
8/19 TO 8/25 RANK (SS)PROJECTIONROS FP PROJ AVG
#10 Aledmys Diaz (10% OWN)16.7 FP (5% ST)3.18 FP
#11 Manny Machado (100% OWN)16.2 FP (97% ST)2.88 FP
#12 Fernando Tatis Jr. (99% OWN)16.2 FP (93% ST)3.04 FP
#13 Hanser Alberto (13% OWN)15.6 FP (10% ST)2.5 FP
#14 Xander Bogaerts (100% OWN)15.6 FP (99% ST)3.47 FP

FANTASY PROJECTIONS AND ACTUAL STATS

The tables below show projected stats (totals and averages) for the rest of the season and upcoming weeks. Also included are actual stats from the current and last season.

FERNANDO TATIS JR.FPHRRBIRBBSB
Rest of 20191227.5222412.05.9
-- Per Game (40 Proj)3.10.190.560.620.300.15
8/12 to 8/18 (4.7 Games)14.50.912.63.01.40.61
8/19 to 8/25 (5.4 Games)16.21.03.03.41.70.81
2019 Season2962253613016
-- Per Game (83 GP)3.60.270.640.730.360.19