Fernando Tatis Jr. is a Bad DFS Value on Fanduel at $4.4K and DraftKings at $5.3K on 8/12

As you may have noticed we have transformed Scout into a data and stats driven service geared towards helping invested fans make the right decisions on a daily basis. This is our new Fantasy Scouting Report that we produce for each fantasy relevant player. We treat them like a stock and report their value in season long fantasy, the current fantasy week, and if applicable, on FanDuel and on DraftKings. We establish what is expected of the player based on fantasy ownership %, start %, and DFS Salary and see if our proprietary forecasting model projects a better or worse than expected performance. For complete recaps of the best and worst values for each market (season, weekly, daily), injury reports and team outlooks be sure to check out the new Scout.

DAILY FANTASY PROJECTIONS AND PLAY OR FADE ADVICE

He is projected for 10.6 FanDuel points and 8.1 points on DraftKings. Based on the player pool average points per dollar he is coming up -$804 short of $4.4K on FanDuel and -$828 short of $5.3K on DraftKings. Their should be much better options (see below). Barring a significant lineup change consider him a daily fantasy player to fade. Below are how he ranks based on projected fantasy points on both DFS platforms. Look for players with more FPs at lower salaries.

FANDUEL (SS) 8/12 RANKPROJECTIONSALARY
#9 Kevin Newman10.9 FD Points$3100
#10 Xander Bogaerts10.6 FD Points$4000
#11 Fernando Tatis Jr.10.6 FD Points$4400
#12 Tim Anderson9.6 FD Points$3200
#13 Bo Bichette9.4 FD Points$4000
DRAFTKINGS (SS) 8/12 RANKPROJECTIONSALARY
#6 Nick Ahmed8.6 DK Points$4300
#7 Francisco Lindor8.4 DK Points$4400
#8 Fernando Tatis Jr.8.1 DK Points$5300
#9 Xander Bogaerts8 DK Points$4800
#10 Tim Anderson7.5 DK Points$4200

These projections power SportsLine's Computer Picks and Fantasy Data. But for contest winning DFS optimal lineups by top experts like Mike McClure visit SportsLine's new Daily Fantasy Hub.

REST OF SEASON OUTLOOK AND POSITION RANK

Expect Fernando Tatis Jr. to be a reliable fantasy starter the rest of the season. His 127.08 projected fantasy points puts him at #6 behind Jorge Polanco and ahead of Tim Anderson. He has averaged 3.62 fantasy points in his past 82 games, which is more than our projected per game average. He is projected to average 3.1 fantasy points. His rank based on avg proj (#8) is worse than his rank based on total fantasy points. At 99% ownership, he is also the #6 most highly owned shortstop. Fernando Tatis Jr. is expected to improve on this season-to-date's #10 fantasy position rank.

REST OF SEASON RANK (SS) PROJECTIONFANTASY STATS SINCE 2018
#4 Carlos Correa (99% OWN)132 FP, 3.22 per game288 FP, 110 gp, 2.61 per game (#14)
#5 Jorge Polanco (98% OWN)131 FP, 3.19 per game213 FP, 77 gp, 2.77 per game (#9)
#6 Fernando Tatis Jr. (99% OWN)127 FP, 3.1 per game213 FP, 77 gp, 2.77 per game (#9)
#7 Tim Anderson (82% OWN)125 FP, 2.91 per game338 FP, 153 gp, 2.21 per game (#22)
#8 Manny Machado (100% OWN)125 FP, 2.9 per game552 FP, 161 gp, 3.43 per game (#2)

WEEK 21 AND 22 FANTASY OUTLOOK

Fernando Tatis Jr. is projected for 17.96 fantasy points in 6 games which is good enough to be the #8 ranked shortstop and a must start for most owners. This is projected to be a better than average week with more fantasy points per game than he is projected to average per game the rest of the season. He is ranked above Manny Machado but behind Tim Anderson. His projected rank in Week 22 is the same as it is in Week 21. He is projected for 18 fantasy points.

8/12 TO 8/18 RANK (SS)PROJECTIONROS FP PROJ AVG
#6 Elvis Andrus (92% OWN)19.7 FP (74% ST)2.99 FP
#7 Tim Anderson (82% OWN)18.1 FP (59% ST)2.91 FP
#8 Fernando Tatis Jr. (99% OWN)18 FP (92% ST)3.1 FP
#9 Manny Machado (100% OWN)17.8 FP (97% ST)2.9 FP
#10 Trea Turner (99% OWN)17.4 FP (96% ST)2.94 FP
8/19 TO 8/25 RANK (SS)PROJECTIONROS FP PROJ AVG
#6 Trea Turner (99% OWN)19.1 FP (96% ST)2.94 FP
#7 Jorge Polanco (98% OWN)18.8 FP (86% ST)3.19 FP
#8 Fernando Tatis Jr. (99% OWN)18 FP (92% ST)3.1 FP
#9 Paul DeJong (92% OWN)17.8 FP (67% ST)2.81 FP
#10 Manny Machado (100% OWN)17 FP (97% ST)2.9 FP

FANTASY PROJECTIONS AND ACTUAL STATS

The tables below show projected stats (totals and averages) for the rest of the season and upcoming weeks. Also included are actual stats from the current and last season.

FERNANDO TATIS JR.FPHRRBIRBBSB
Rest of 20191277.9232612.56.2
-- Per Game (41 Proj)3.10.190.580.630.310.15
8/12 to 8/18 (5.6 Games)18.01.13.43.71.60.84
8/19 to 8/25 (5.4 Games)18.01.13.43.71.70.91
2019 Season2962253603016
-- Per Game (82 GP)3.60.270.650.730.370.20