Freddie Freeman is a Bad DFS Value on Fanduel at $4.3K and DraftKings at $5.3K on 9/2

As you may have noticed we have transformed Scout into a data and stats driven service geared towards helping invested fans make the right decisions on a daily basis. This is our new Fantasy Scouting Report that we produce for each fantasy relevant player. We treat them like a stock and report their value in season long fantasy, the current fantasy week, and if applicable, on FanDuel and on DraftKings. We establish what is expected of the player based on fantasy ownership %, start %, and DFS Salary and see if our proprietary forecasting model projects a better or worse than expected performance. For complete recaps of the best and worst values for each market (season, weekly, daily), injury reports and team outlooks be sure to check out the new Scout.

DAILY FANTASY PROJECTIONS AND PLAY OR FADE ADVICE

He is projected for 11.3 FanDuel points and 8.4 points on DraftKings. Based on the player pool average points per dollar he is coming up -$45 short of $4.3K on FanDuel and -$375 short of $5.3K on DraftKings. Their should be much better options (see below). Barring a significant lineup change consider him a daily fantasy player to fade. Below are how he ranks based on projected fantasy points on both DFS platforms. Look for players with more FPs at lower salaries.

FANDUEL (C/1B) 9/2 RANKPROJECTIONSALARY
#4 Danny Santana12.2 FD Points$3100
#5 Jesus Aguilar11.4 FD Points$2500
#6 Freddie Freeman11.3 FD Points$4300
#7 Eric Hosmer11.1 FD Points$3200
#8 Carlos Santana11 FD Points$3800
DRAFTKINGS (1B) 9/2 RANKPROJECTIONSALARY
#2 Danny Santana9.4 DK Points$4700
#3 Pete Alonso9.2 DK Points$5000
#4 Freddie Freeman8.4 DK Points$5300
#5 Jesus Aguilar8.4 DK Points$3500
#6 Anthony Rizzo8.3 DK Points$4800

These projections power SportsLine's Computer Picks and Fantasy Data. But for contest winning DFS optimal lineups by top experts like Mike McClure visit SportsLine's new Daily Fantasy Hub.

REST OF SEASON OUTLOOK AND POSITION RANK

Expect Freddie Freeman to be a reliable fantasy starter the rest of the season. His 78.78 projected fantasy points puts him at #7 behind Cody Bellinger and ahead of Yulieski Gurriel. He has averaged 3.62 fantasy points in his past 299 games, which is slightly more than our projected per game average. He is projected to average 3.38 fantasy points. His rank based on avg proj (#9) is worse than his rank based on total fantasy points. He is owned in 100% of fantasy leagues so everyone expects him to be an elite first baseman. He is projected to be very good, but not one of the very best at his position. Freddie Freeman is expected to come up short of this season-to-date's #2 fantasy position rank.

REST OF SEASON RANK (1B/DH) PROJECTIONFANTASY STATS SINCE 2018
#5 Anthony Rizzo (100% OWN)82 FP, 3.27 per game487 FP, 150 gp, 3.25 per game (#5)
#6 Cody Bellinger (100% OWN)80 FP, 3.81 per game414 FP, 159 gp, 2.61 per game (#27)
#7 Freddie Freeman (100% OWN)79 FP, 3.38 per game524 FP, 162 gp, 3.23 per game (#6)
#8 Yulieski Gurriel (99% OWN)75 FP, 3.67 per game380 FP, 136 gp, 2.8 per game (#20)
#9 Paul Goldschmidt (100% OWN)75 FP, 2.98 per game508 FP, 158 gp, 3.22 per game (#7)

WEEK 24 AND 25 FANTASY OUTLOOK

Freddie Freeman is projected for 19.41 fantasy points in 6 games which is good enough to be the #9 ranked first baseman and a must start for most owners. This is projected to be a better than average week with more fantasy points per game than he is projected to average per game the rest of the season. He is ranked above Eric Hosmer but behind Josh Bell. Week 25 will be better based on projected rank (#2). He is projected for 23.43 fantasy points.

9/2 TO 9/8 RANK (1B/DH)PROJECTIONROS FP PROJ AVG
#7 Jesus Aguilar (41% OWN)20.1 FP (23% ST)2.94 FP
#8 Josh Bell (100% OWN)19.7 FP (93% ST)3.32 FP
#9 Freddie Freeman (100% OWN)19.4 FP (99% ST)3.38 FP
#10 Eric Hosmer (94% OWN)19.2 FP (81% ST)2.85 FP
#11 Pete Alonso (100% OWN)19.2 FP (97% ST)3.42 FP
9/9 TO 9/15 RANK (1B/DH)PROJECTIONROS FP PROJ AVG
#1 Edwin Encarnacion (91% OWN)23.5 FP (9% ST)3.61 FP
#2 Freddie Freeman (100% OWN)23.4 FP (99% ST)3.38 FP
#3 Anthony Rizzo (100% OWN)22.2 FP (86% ST)3.27 FP
#4 Cody Bellinger (100% OWN)21.5 FP (100% ST)3.81 FP
#5 Carlos Santana (100% OWN)20.8 FP (98% ST)3.62 FP

FANTASY PROJECTIONS AND ACTUAL STATS

The tables below show projected stats (totals and averages) for the rest of the season and upcoming weeks. Also included are actual stats from the current and last season.

FREDDIE FREEMANFPHRRBIRBBSB
Rest of 2019794.815.915.010.61.0
-- Per Game (23 Proj)3.40.210.680.640.450.04
9/2 to 9/8 (5.8 Games)19.41.24.13.82.80.27
9/9 to 9/15 (6.9 Games)23.41.54.74.43.10.31
2019 Season55738114107756
-- Per Game (137 GP)4.10.280.830.780.550.04
2018 to 201910816121220115116
-- Per Game (299 GP)3.60.200.710.670.510.05