Freitas Fantasy Week 2 Projection vs Expectation

WEEKLY FANTASY VALUE

When compared to other catchers in week 2 Chad Wallach (5.2 FP) is projected for more points and is starting in fewer leagues. Erik Kratz (3.3 FP), Matt Wieters (4.6 FP), Alex Avila (3.3 FP), Travis d'Arnaud (1.7 FP), and Josh Phegley (4.9 FP) are all projected for fewer points than Freitas but are starting in more leagues. Given he is starting in 0% of leagues there is no market expectation for any real fantasy production in week 2. His per game projected FP average is 2.4 which is better than his actual per game average (1.2).

Lower Start%D. Freitas WK 2Higher Start%
C. Wallach (5 FP)5 FPE. Kratz (3 FP)
 
#60 CatcherM. Wieters (5 FP)
 
 
A. Avila (3 FP)
 
 
T. d'Arnaud (1.7 FP)
 
 
J. Phegley (5 FP)

He is projected for 5 fantasy points in week 2 (#45 C) in 2 games.

Projected StatRelative StrengthWK OverallRelative Weakness
Fantasy Points 
4.96 (#45) 
Avg0.247 (#24) 
 
OPS0.63 (#30) 
 
Home Runs 
0.23 (#47) 
Runs 
1 (#45) 
RBI 
0.97 (#50) 
Stolen Bases0.03 (#28) 
 

  • Based on 3/29 start percentages, David Freitas is valued behind Perez and above Nido and the projections agree for this week.
  • Apr 1Apr 2Apr 4Apr 6Apr 7
    0.9 FP vs LAA0.9 FP vs LAA1.1 FP @CHW1.1 FP @CHW1.1 FP @CHW

    David Freitas last five game log with fantasy points (CBS, FD, DK) and statline.

    OPPFANTASYSTATLINE
    3/28 vs BOS3 FP, 10 FD, 6 DK0-2, 1 RBI, 1 R, 1 BB
    9/30 vs TEX4 FP, 13 FD, 9 DK1-2, 1 RBI, 1 R
    9/23 @TEX0 FP, 0 FD, 0 DK0-3
    9/17 @HOU0 FP, 0 FD, 0 DK0-0
    9/16 @LAA0 FP, 3 FD, 3 DK1-2

    DAILY FANTASY VALUE

    FANDUEL VALUE (3/29): Projected for 3.5 FanDuel pts David Freitas is the #49 ranked C/1Bs. He is the #40 highest priced C/1Bs ($2000). At his projected points, he is worth a salary of $1.3K. There are many other options (21) at $2000 and Freitas is ranked #14 among the 22. He is projected for more points than 2 higher priced options: Matt Wieters (3.3 FP) and Luke Maile (1.1 FP). Based on salary, he is expected to have 2.1 FPs, a value reached in 25 of 37 games (68%). The combined 'cover percentage' for outfielders expected to start is 48%.

    DRAFTKINGS VALUE: Projected for 2.7 DraftKings pts David Freitas is the #24 ranked catcher. At $2800 he is expected to be the #29 catcher. Based on 3/29 salaries and projected points per dollar, Freitas is worth $1.9K. Jorge Alfaro is also priced at $2800 and is a better option at this price. John Hicks (2.8 FP) is projected for more points at a lower salary. He is projected for more points than 3 higher priced options: Erik Kratz (2 FP), Matt Wieters (2.5 FP), and Blake Swihart (2.2 FP). Based on salary, he is expected to have 2.9 FPs, a value reached in 19 of 37 games (51%). The combined 'cover percentage' for catchers expected to start is 47%.

    Freitas is NOT in the SportsLine DraftKings optimal lineup or the FanDuel optimal lineup which are based on the computer model's projection. SportsLine.com also offers premium optimal lineups from Mike McClure, a professional DFS player who has over $1 million in career winnings. He uses his own proprietary model to find great DFS values and often differs from the computer in how a player is projected to play on a daily basis.

    Make sure to visit Sportsline to for DFS and betting advice. We have picks on every game and line.

    REST OF SEASON VALUE

    Ranking by ownership percentage (under 1%) and season fantasy rankings, David Freitas is expected to be the #61 catcher for the season. Our projections indicate that David Freitas is underrated by the market. His fantasy catcher projection rank is #51. While not a great fantasy option, he may be good for a spot start if you are in bind and with a market ranking this low, there could be a clear opportunity to acquire him via trade or waiver wire pick up. He is projected for 148 fantasy points in 64 remaining games. Based on average FPs, he is even better with the #37 highest average. The market ranks David Freitas behind Stallings and above Wallach but the projections rank David Freitas over Stallings.

    Lower Own%D. Freitas ROSHigher Own%
    J. Sucre (163 FP)148 FPE. Kratz (102 FP)
     
    #61 CatcherM. Wieters (140 FP)
     
     
    J. Phegley (75 FP)
     
     
    J. Murphy (93 FP)
     
     
    C. Casali (116 FP)
    Projected StatRelative StrengthOverallRelative Weakness
    Fantasy Points 
    148 (#51) 
    Avg0.243 (#29) 
     
    OPS0.7 (#32) 
     
    Home Runs 
    7 (#48) 
    Runs 
    29 (#45) 
    RBI 
    30 (#50) 
    Stolen Bases1 (#18) 
     
    Strikeouts67 (#23) 
     

    His projected fantasy points is lower than you would like given his relatively strong OPS projection.