Guerra Projected to Average 2 FPs (#53 SS) And Meet Expectations

REST OF SEASON VALUE

His latest projection based rank among shortstops is #44. Ranking by ownership percentage (

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Projected StatRelative StrengthOverallRelative Weakness
Fantasy Points 
9 (#44) 
Avg 
0.236 (#46) 
OPS 
0.56 (#45) 
Home Runs 
0 (#37) 
Runs 
2 (#38) 
RBI 
2 (#37) 
Stolen Bases0 (#19) 
 
Strikeouts5 (#19) 
 

His value increases in leagues where winning specific categories is important because he has more relative strengths than weaknesses.

WEEKLY FANTASY VALUE

In week 27 rankings vs other shortstops, Pete Kozma (4.4 FP), Chris Owings (3.8 FP), Adeiny Hechavarria (4.8 FP), Patrick Valaika (4.7 FP), and Franklin Barreto (4.7 FP) are all projected for fewer points than Guerra but are starting in more leagues. Given he is starting in 0% of leagues there is no market expectation for any real fantasy production in week 27. His per game projected FP average is 2.2 which is better than his actual per game average (0.2).

He is projected for 6.5 fantasy points in week 27 (#44 SS) in 3 games.

Projected StatRelative StrengthWK OverallRelative Weakness
Fantasy Points 
6.51 (#44) 
Avg 
0.241 (#36) 
OPS 
0.608 (#36) 
Home Runs 
0.31 (#39) 
Runs 
1.29 (#44) 
RBI 
1.18 (#44) 
Stolen Bases0.21 (#31) 
 

  • Based on 9/21 start percentages, Javier Guerra is valued behind Trahan and above Avelino and the projections agree for this week.
  • Sep 24Sep 25Sep 26Sep 28Sep 29Sep 30
    1.2 FP @SF1.3 FP @SF1 FP @SF1 FP vs ARI1.1 FP vs ARI1 FP vs ARI

    Javier Guerra last five game log with fantasy points (CBS, FD, DK) and statline.

    OPPFANTASYSTATLINE
    9/17 vs SF0 FP, 0 FD, 0 DK0-2
    9/16 vs TEX0 FP, 0 FD, 0 DK0-2
    9/15 vs TEX2 FP, 6 FD, 5 DK1-3, 1 BB
    5/6 vs LAD0 FP, 0 FD, 0 DK0-1
    5/4 vs LAD0 FP, 0 FD, 0 DK0-1

    DAILY FANTASY VALUE

    FANDUEL VALUE (9/21): Guerra is not the best option on FanDuel with a projected 4.2 FD pts (#37 among shortstops). At $2200 he is expected to be the #32 shortstop. At his projected points, he is worth a salary of $1.4K (expected pts per $ is calculated daily based on the average of healthy starters). There are 3 other options at $2200 (Gregorio Petit, Jordy Mercer, Addison Russell) and Guerra is ranked #3 among the 4. Instead of Guerra consider these better options at lower salaries: Adam Rosales (7.6 FP), Blake Trahan (5.4 FP), Scott Kingery (7.6 FP), and Adrian Sanchez (4.7 FP). Based on salary, he is expected to have 4.3 FPs, a value reached in 1 of 5 games (20%). The combined 'cover percentage' for shortstops expected to start is 42%.

    DRAFTKINGS VALUE: Javier Guerra is underrated on DraftKings with a projected 3.3 DK pts (#26 among shortstops). At $2800 he is expected to be the #29 shortstop. Using our calculation of expected points per dollar, Guerra is worth $1.8K. There are 2 other options at $2800 (Pedro Florimon, Jordy Mercer) and Guerra is ranked #2 among the 3. He is projected for more points than 4 higher priced options: Adeiny Hechavarria (2.2 FP), Tyler Saladino (2.1 FP), Andrew Velazquez (2.9 FP), and Abiatal Avelino (2.3 FP). Based on salary, he is expected to have 3.8 FPs, a value reached in 1 of 5 games (20%). The combined 'cover percentage' for shortstops expected to start is 41%.

    Guerra is NOT in the SportsLine DraftKings optimal lineup or the FanDuel optimal lineup which are based on the computer model's projection. SportsLine.com also offers premium optimal lineups from Mike McClure, a professional DFS player who has over $1 million in career winnings. He uses his own proprietary model to find great DFS values and often differs from the computer in how a player is projected to play on a daily basis.