Guerra Rest of Season Fantasy Value: Expectations vs Projection


Based on ownership percentage (under 1%) and season fantasy rankings, Javier Guerra has a market rank of #53 among shortstops. Our projections indicate that Javier Guerra is underrated by the market. His fantasy shortstop projection rank is #50. Even though he is undervalued, he is not projected for more fantasy points than other shortstops with a better market ranking. He is projected for 115 fantasy points in 49 remaining games. Based on average FPs, he is even better with the #38 highest average. The market ranks Javier Guerra behind Sogard and above Trahan but the projections rank these players in reverse order.

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Projected StatRelative StrengthOverallRelative Weakness
Fantasy Points 
115 (#50) 
0.253 (#42) 
OPS0.697 (#41) 
Home Runs 
5 (#45) 
22 (#52) 
22 (#49) 
Stolen Bases 
3 (#43) 
Strikeouts43 (#7) 

His projected fantasy points is lower than you would like given his relatively strong OPS projection.


FANDUEL VALUE (3/22): Guerra is not the best option on FanDuel with a projected 2.5 FD pts (#42 among shortstops). He is the #39 highest priced shortstop ($2000). At his projected points, he is worth a salary of $0.9K. There are 6 other options at $2000 (Didi Gregorius, Hanser Alberto, Kevin Newman, Richard Urena, Blake Trahan, Luis Guillorme) and Guerra is ranked #5 among the 7. Based on salary, he is expected to have 2.1 FPs, a value reached in 4 of 13 games (31%). The combined 'cover percentage' for shortstops expected to start is 50%.

DRAFTKINGS VALUE: Projected for 2 DraftKings pts Javier Guerra is the #19 ranked shortstop. He is the #20 highest priced shortstop ($2600). Using the salaries and projected points for healthy players in in today's pool to calculate expected points per dollar, Guerra is worth $1.1K. Based on salary, he is expected to have 2.4 FPs, a value reached in 3 of 13 games (23%). The combined 'cover percentage' for shortstops expected to start is 48%.

Guerra is NOT in the SportsLine DraftKings optimal lineup or the FanDuel optimal lineup which are based on the computer model's projection. also offers premium optimal lineups from Mike McClure, a professional DFS player who has over $1 million in career winnings. He uses his own proprietary model to find great DFS values and often differs from the computer in how a player is projected to play on a daily basis.