Guerra Rest of Season Fantasy Value: Expectations vs Projection

REST OF SEASON VALUE

Based on ownership percentage (under 1%) and season fantasy rankings, Javier Guerra has a market rank of #53 among shortstops. Our projections indicate that Javier Guerra is underrated by the market. His fantasy shortstop projection rank is #50. Even though he is undervalued, he is not projected for more fantasy points than other shortstops with a better market ranking. He is projected for 115 fantasy points in 49 remaining games. Based on average FPs, he is even better with the #38 highest average. The market ranks Javier Guerra behind Sogard and above Trahan but the projections rank these players in reverse order.

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Projected StatRelative StrengthOverallRelative Weakness
Fantasy Points 
115 (#50) 
Avg 
0.253 (#42) 
OPS0.697 (#41) 
 
Home Runs 
5 (#45) 
Runs 
22 (#52) 
RBI 
22 (#49) 
Stolen Bases 
3 (#43) 
Strikeouts43 (#7) 
 

His projected fantasy points is lower than you would like given his relatively strong OPS projection.

DAILY FANTASY VALUE

FANDUEL VALUE (3/22): Guerra is not the best option on FanDuel with a projected 2.5 FD pts (#42 among shortstops). He is the #39 highest priced shortstop ($2000). At his projected points, he is worth a salary of $0.9K. There are 6 other options at $2000 (Didi Gregorius, Hanser Alberto, Kevin Newman, Richard Urena, Blake Trahan, Luis Guillorme) and Guerra is ranked #5 among the 7. Based on salary, he is expected to have 2.1 FPs, a value reached in 4 of 13 games (31%). The combined 'cover percentage' for shortstops expected to start is 50%.

DRAFTKINGS VALUE: Projected for 2 DraftKings pts Javier Guerra is the #19 ranked shortstop. He is the #20 highest priced shortstop ($2600). Using the salaries and projected points for healthy players in in today's pool to calculate expected points per dollar, Guerra is worth $1.1K. Based on salary, he is expected to have 2.4 FPs, a value reached in 3 of 13 games (23%). The combined 'cover percentage' for shortstops expected to start is 48%.

Guerra is NOT in the SportsLine DraftKings optimal lineup or the FanDuel optimal lineup which are based on the computer model's projection. SportsLine.com also offers premium optimal lineups from Mike McClure, a professional DFS player who has over $1 million in career winnings. He uses his own proprietary model to find great DFS values and often differs from the computer in how a player is projected to play on a daily basis.