Ian Desmond Dealing With Injury

SCOUT ANALYST JOHN BOLLMAN'S TAKE

Ian Desmond was not in the lineup last night because he is dealing with a lower half injury. However, it is not expected to be serious and he is expected to be back in the lineup tonight.

REST OF SEASON VALUE

Based on ownership percentage (64%), Ian Desmond has a market rank of #24 among 1B/DHs. Ian Desmond's market rank is better than our current projections indicate. His fantasy 1B/DH projection rank is #32. Yulieski Gurriel has virtually the same market rank (64% Owned) and is projected for more points than Desmond. He is projected for 194 fantasy points in 75 remaining games. He has a lower rank (#46) based on projected fantasy average. The market ranks Ian Desmond behind Olson and above Gurriel but the projections rank Gurriel over Ian Desmond.

Make sure to visit Sportsline to for DFS and betting advice. We have picks on every game and line.

Lower Own%I. Desmond ROSHigher Own%
R. Zimmerman (212 FP)194 FPC. Cron (188 FP)
J. Smoak (211 FP)#24 Catcher 
M. Adams (195 FP) 
 
J. Aguilar (218 FP) 
 
Y. Gurriel (197 FP) 
 
Projected StatRelative StrengthOverallRelative Weakness
Fantasy Points 
194 (#32) 
Avg 
0.252 (#38) 
OPS 
 
0.742 (#51)
Home Runs 
11 (#34) 
Runs40 (#23) 
 
RBI 
41 (#28) 
Stolen Bases6 (#2) 
 
Strikeouts 
 
79 (#51)

His value comes in the form of stolen bases which can make him more valuable in certain leagues (rotisserie, higher points per SB).

WEEKLY FANTASY VALUE

His market rank based on start percentage among 1B/DHs for the rest of week 14 is #26, which is less than his market rank of #24. Week 15 1B/DHs comparisons show these are 5 better options at lower start percentages: Albert Pujols (16.1 FP), Miguel Cabrera (16 FP), Kendrys Morales (13.2 FP), Ryan Zimmerman (13.5 FP), and Mark Trumbo (13.2 FP). Starting in 48% of leagues he is expected to produce 16 fantasy points (WK 15). At his start percentage, he is expected to be the #24 1B/DH of the week, but he is projected to be the #42 1B/DH. In terms of total fantasy points he projected to come up 3.9 short of expectations. In addition to a below average projected FP average, he also is expected to play just 4.51125 games.

He is projected for 12.1 fantasy points in week 15 (#42 1B/DH) in 5 games.

Projected StatRelative StrengthWK OverallRelative Weakness
Fantasy Points 
12.13 (#42) 
Avg0.255 (#31) 
 
OPS 
0.697 (#34) 
Home Runs 
0.71 (#43) 
Runs 
2.52 (#35) 
RBI 
2.6 (#40) 
Stolen Bases0.35 (#3) 
 

  • Based on 6/26 start percentages, Ian Desmond is valued behind Votto and above Gurriel but the projections rank Gurriel over Ian Desmond in week 15.
  • Jul 2Jul 3Jul 5Jul 6Jul 7
    2.7 FP vs HOU2.1 FP vs HOU1.9 FP @ARI2.7 FP @ARI2.8 FP @ARI

    Ian Desmond last five game log with fantasy points (CBS, FD, DK) and statline.

    OPPFANTASYSTATLINE
    6/25 @SF5 FP, 19 FD, 14 DK1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI, 1 R
    6/22 @LAD8 FP, 22 FD, 20 DK4-4, 1 RBI, 1 R
    6/21 @LAD0 FP, 0 FD, 0 DK0-3
    6/20 @ARI7 FP, 25 FD, 18 DK1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI, 2 R, 1 BB
    6/19 @ARI0 FP, 0 FD, 0 DK0-1

    DAILY FANTASY VALUE

    DRAFTKINGS VALUE (6/26): Projected for 7.5 DraftKings pts Ian Desmond is the #50 ranked outfielder. He is the #34 highest priced outfielder ($4400). Based on the projection, Desmond is worth $4.2K. There are 5 other options at $4400 (Shin-Soo Choo, Lorenzo Cain, Thomas Pham, Yasiel Puig, Chris Taylor) and Desmond is ranked #5 among the 6. These are 5 better options at lower salaries: Nelson Cruz (7.7 FP), Nick Markakis (7.5 FP), Justin Upton (7.6 FP), Brett Gardner (8.6 FP), and Giancarlo Stanton (8.4 FP). Jarrod Dyson (6.5 FP), Starling Marte (6.3 FP), Max Kepler (7.3 FP), Austin Riley (6 FP), and Bryan Reynolds (7.3 FP) are all projected for fewer points than Desmond but have higher salaries. Based on salary, he is expected to have 7.9 FPs, a value reached in 87 of 234 games (37%). The combined 'cover percentage' for outfielders expected to start is 39%.

    FANDUEL VALUE: Projected for 9.8 FanDuel pts Ian Desmond is the #58 ranked outfielder. He is the #43 highest priced outfielder ($3200). Using the salaries and projected points for healthy players in in today's pool to calculate expected points per dollar, Desmond is worth $3.2K. There are 7 other options at $3200 (Alex Gordon, Jorge Soler, Yasiel Puig, Kyle Schwarber, Willie Calhoun, Lourdes Gurriel, Jeff McNeil) and Desmond is ranked #5 among the 8. Instead of Desmond consider these better options at lower salaries: Nick Markakis (10.1 FP), Ryan Braun (10.5 FP), Lorenzo Cain (10.3 FP), Brett Gardner (11.4 FP), and Josh Reddick (10.3 FP). Jay Bruce (9 FP), Avisail Garcia (7.8 FP), Starling Marte (8.3 FP), Eddie Rosario (9.2 FP), and Austin Riley (8 FP) are all projected for fewer points than Desmond but have higher salaries. Based on salary, he is expected to have 9.8 FPs, a value reached in 84 of 234 games (36%). The combined 'cover percentage' for outfielders expected to start is 42%.

    Desmond is NOT in the SportsLine DraftKings optimal lineup or the FanDuel optimal lineup which are based on the computer model's projection. SportsLine.com also offers premium optimal lineups from Mike McClure, a professional DFS player who has over $1 million in career winnings. He uses his own proprietary model to find great DFS values and often differs from the computer in how a player is projected to play on a daily basis.

    WEEKLY FANTASY RECAP

    He has averaged 13.3 fantasy points per week and had 5 weeks where he came up short (below 50% of average) and had 2 weeks where he was +50% above average.

    WeekFantasy Points (GP)Good WeekBad Week
    ALL13.3 FP per Week25
    Week 13 (3 games 1 per game)-10.3
    Week 2-1.5 (6 games -0.2 per game)-14.8
    Week 35 (5 games 1 per game)-8.3
    Week 417 (4 games 4.2 per game)
    Week 514.5 (5 games 2.9 per game)
    Week 612 (7 games 1.7 per game)
    Week 722 (4 games 5.5 per game)+8.7
    Week 810.5 (3 games 3.5 per game)
    Week 914 (6 games 2.3 per game)
    Week 1017.5 (7 games 2.5 per game)
    Week 116 (5 games 1.2 per game)-7.3
    Week 1245 (7 games 6.4 per game)+31.7
    Week 1316 (5 games 3.2 per game)
    Week 145 (1 games)-8.3

    DAILY FANTASY SEASON RECAP

    He averaged 10.2 FD points and 8.1 DK points per game. We looked at all of his games that were between the 10th and 90th percentile where the 10th percentile is his floor and the 90th is his ceiling. When he was bad in DFS, he was really bad with a floor of zero points. When he was good, he was very good with a DraftKings ceiling of 18 and 24.7 on FanDuel. He has had more bad FanDuel games (below average by 20%) than good games (20% above average), and the same was true on DraftKings. We are only including games where they were in the daily fantasy slate and played.

    GameFD Pts (Sal)Good or BadDK Pts (Sal)Good or Bad
    All10.2 ($3K)17 G, 27 B8.1 ($4K)17 G, 22 B
    6/25 @SF18.7 ($3.2K)+8.514 ($4.3K)+5.9
    6/22 @LAD21.7 ($2.9K)+11.520 ($3.9K)+11.9
    6/21 @LAD0 ($2.7K)-10.20 ($4.1K)-8.1
    6/20 @ARI24.9 ($2.8K)+14.718 ($4.4K)+9.9
    6/19 @ARI0 ($2.8K)-10.20 ($4.6K)-8.1
    6/18 @ARI6.5 ($3K)--5 ($4.6K)--
    6/16 SD24.9 ($3.8K)+14.719+10.9
    6/15 SD38.9 ($3.6K)+28.727 ($4.3K)+18.9
    6/14 SD35.4 ($3.6K)+25.225 ($4.4K)+16.9
    6/13 SD13--9--
    6/12 CHC3 ($3.6K)-7.23 ($3.8K)-5.1
    6/11 CHC15.2 ($3.5K)--13 ($4.1K)+4.9
    6/10 CHC18.7 ($3.3K)+8.514 ($4K)+5.9
    6/8 @NYM9 ($2.5K)--6 ($3.8K)--
    6/7 @NYM9.5 ($2.5K)--7 ($3.8K)--
    6/6 @CHC18.7 ($2.7K)+8.514+5.9
    6/5 @CHC0 ($2.7K)-10.20 ($3.9K)-8.1
    6/4 @CHC0 ($2.8K)-10.20 ($3.7K)-8.1
    6/2 TOR0 ($3.7K)-10.20 ($4.4K)-8.1
    6/1 TOR0 ($3.7K)-10.20 ($4.4K)-8.1
    5/31 TOR12 ($3.7K)--10 ($4.4K)--
    5/30 ARI18.7 ($3.5K)+8.514 ($4.1K)+5.9
    5/29 ARI12.2 ($3.5K)--9 ($3.9K)--
    5/28 ARI9.2 ($3.4K)--8 ($4.1K)--
    5/27 ARI9.2--7--
    5/26 BAL18.7 ($3.5K)+8.514 ($4.3K)+5.9
    5/25 BAL3 ($3.5K)-7.22 ($4.4K)-6.1
    5/24 BAL0 ($3.5K)-10.20 ($4.6K)-8.1
    5/23 @PIT9.2 ($2.8K)--7 ($4.1K)--
    5/22 @PIT12.2 ($2.9K)--10 ($4.2K)--
    5/21 @PIT12.2 ($2.8K)--9 ($4.1K)--
    5/17 @PHI22.2 ($2.8K)+1216 ($4K)+7.9
    5/15 @BOS15.2 ($2.9K)--14 ($3.9K)+5.9
    5/14 @BOS0 ($2.9K)-10.20 ($3.8K)-8.1
    5/11 SD0 ($3.7K)-10.20 ($4.3K)-8.1
    5/10 SD15.7 ($3.4K)+5.513 ($4.3K)+4.9
    5/9 SF34.4 ($3.4K)+24.224 ($4.4K)+15.9
    5/7 SF24.7 ($3.2K)+14.520 ($3.9K)+11.9
    5/5 ARI3 ($3.3K)-7.22-6.1
    5/4 ARI0 ($3.3K)-10.20 ($4K)-8.1
    5/3 ARI9.7 ($3.4K)--6 ($3.8K)--
    5/2 @MIL0 ($2.5K)-10.20 ($3.6K)-8.1
    5/1 @MIL9.2 ($2.4K)--7 ($3.8K)--
    4/30 @MIL22.2 ($2.5K)+1216 ($3.9K)+7.9
    4/29 @MIL0 ($2.3K)-10.20 ($3.6K)-8.1
    4/28 @ATL34.1 ($2.4K)+23.925 ($3.5K)+16.9
    4/27 @ATL6.2 ($2.4K)--4 ($3.5K)-4.1
    4/26 @ATL6.2 ($2.6K)--5 ($3.5K)--
    4/23 WAS3 ($3.3K)-7.23 ($3.5K)-5.1
    4/22 WAS0 ($3K)-10.20 ($3.9K)-8.1
    4/21 PHI9.7 ($2.9K)--7 ($3.7K)--
    4/19 PHI15.2 ($3.1K)--12 ($3.8K)--
    4/18 PHI0--0--
    4/15 @SD31.7 ($2.3K)+21.523 ($3.2K)+14.9
    4/14 @SF0 ($2.4K)-10.20-8.1
    4/13 @SF0 ($2.3K)-10.20-8.1
    4/11 @SF0 ($2.4K)-10.20 ($3.5K)-8.1
    4/9 ATL9.5 ($3K)--7 ($4.3K)--
    4/8 ATL9 ($3K)--8 ($4.6K)--
    4/7 LAD3.5 ($2.9K)-6.72-6.1
    4/6 LAD0 ($3.1K)-10.20 ($4.2K)-8.1
    4/5 LAD3 ($3.3K)-7.22-6.1
    4/3 @TB3 ($2.5K)-7.23-5.1
    4/2 @TB3 ($2.6K)-7.22 ($3.7K)-6.1
    4/1 @TB0 ($2.7K)-10.20 ($4.1K)-8.1
    3/30 @MIA6.5 ($2.8K)--5--
    3/29 @MIA0 ($2.8K)-10.20 ($4.2K)-8.1
    3/28 @MIA9.5 ($2.8K)--7 ($4.5K)--