Javier Baez Is a Better Value on FanDuel at $4K Than on DraftKings at $5.1K on 8/15

As you may have noticed we have transformed Scout into a data and stats driven service geared towards helping invested fans make the right decisions on a daily basis. This is our new Fantasy Scouting Report that we produce for each fantasy relevant player. We treat them like a stock and report their value in season long fantasy, the current fantasy week, and if applicable, on FanDuel and on DraftKings. We establish what is expected of the player based on fantasy ownership %, start %, and DFS Salary and see if our proprietary forecasting model projects a better or worse than expected performance. For complete recaps of the best and worst values for each market (season, weekly, daily), injury reports and team outlooks be sure to check out the new Scout.

DAILY FANTASY PROJECTIONS AND PLAY OR FADE ADVICE

He is a better value on FanDuel than on DraftKings based on position specific points per dollar calculations. He is projected for 14.9 FD points and is worth +$877 more than $4K on FD. On DK he is projected for 11.1 points and is worth +$483 more than $5.1K. Below are how he ranks based on projected fantasy points on both DFS platforms. Look for players with more FPs at lower salaries.

FANDUEL (SS) 8/15 RANKPROJECTIONSALARY
#1 Javier Baez14.9 FD Points$4000
#2 Jorge Polanco13.6 FD Points$3700
#3 Francisco Lindor13.5 FD Points$4300
#4 Tim Anderson11.7 FD Points$3000
#5 Elvis Andrus11.6 FD Points$3100
DRAFTKINGS (SS) 8/15 RANKPROJECTIONSALARY
#1 Javier Baez11.1 DK Points$5100
#2 Jorge Polanco10.3 DK Points$4600
#3 Francisco Lindor10.3 DK Points$5000
#4 Tim Anderson9 DK Points$4000
#5 Elvis Andrus8.9 DK Points$4200

These projections power SportsLine's Computer Picks and Fantasy Data. But for contest winning DFS optimal lineups by top experts like Mike McClure visit SportsLine's new Daily Fantasy Hub.

REST OF SEASON OUTLOOK AND POSITION RANK

Based on our latest projection, you can expect Javier Baez to be an elite fantasy starter the rest of the season. His 122.87 projected fantasy points puts him at #2 behind Jose Altuve and ahead of DJ LeMahieu. He has averaged 3.23 fantasy points in his past 276 games. Our projected per game average is virtually the same. He is projected to average 3.24 fantasy points. His rank based on avg proj (#5) is worse than his rank based on total fantasy points. He is owned in 100% of fantasy leagues so everyone expects him to be an elite second baseman. He is projected to live up to these high expectations. Javier Baez is expected to slightly improve on this season-to-date's #5 fantasy position rank.

REST OF SEASON RANK (2B) PROJECTIONFANTASY STATS SINCE 2018
#1 Jose Altuve (100% OWN)150 FP, 3.76 per game412 FP, 137 gp, 3 per game (#4)
#2 Javier Baez (100% OWN)123 FP, 3.24 per game508 FP, 158 gp, 3.21 per game (#1)
#3 DJ LeMahieu (99% OWN)120 FP, 3.33 per game383 FP, 127 gp, 3.02 per game (#3)
#4 Whit Merrifield (100% OWN)118 FP, 3.18 per game446 FP, 158 gp, 2.82 per game (#8)
#5 Luis Arraez (22% OWN)118 FP, 3.01 per game446 FP, 158 gp, 2.82 per game (#8)

WEEK 21 AND 22 FANTASY OUTLOOK

Javier Baez is projected for 14.58 fantasy points in 4 games the rest of the week which is good enough to be the #1 ranked second baseman and a must start for most owners. This is projected to be a better than average week with more fantasy points per game than he is projected to average per game the rest of the season. He is the highest ranked second baseman the rest of the week, ahead of Jose Altuve. Week 22 will not be as good based on projected rank (#11). He is projected for 15.82 fantasy points.

8/15 TO 8/18 RANK (2B)PROJECTIONROS FP PROJ AVG
#1 Javier Baez (100% OWN)14.6 FP (99% ST)3.24 FP
#2 Jose Altuve (100% OWN)13.3 FP (99% ST)3.76 FP
#3 Luis Arraez (22% OWN)12.4 FP (16% ST)3.01 FP
#4 Ketel Marte (99% OWN)11.5 FP (99% ST)3.11 FP
#5 DJ LeMahieu (99% OWN)10.2 FP (94% ST)3.33 FP
8/19 TO 8/25 RANK (2B)PROJECTIONROS FP PROJ AVG
#9 Jonathan Villar (95% OWN)16.7 FP (84% ST)2.74 FP
#10 Ozzie Albies (100% OWN)16.3 FP (98% ST)2.93 FP
#11 Javier Baez (100% OWN)15.8 FP (99% ST)3.24 FP
#12 DJ LeMahieu (99% OWN)15.6 FP (94% ST)3.33 FP
#13 Brian Dozier (48% OWN)15.4 FP (26% ST)2.59 FP

FANTASY PROJECTIONS AND ACTUAL STATS

The tables below show projected stats (totals and averages) for the rest of the season and upcoming weeks. Also included are actual stats from the current and last season.

JAVIER BAEZFPHRRBIRBBSB
Rest of 20191238.127267.43.9
-- Per Game (38 Proj)3.20.210.700.680.200.10
8/12 to 8/18 (3.8 Games)14.61.03.13.10.840.48
8/19 to 8/25 (5.3 Games)15.81.003.53.40.860.44
2019 Season3852881822310
-- Per Game (118 GP)3.30.240.690.690.190.08
2018 to 2019892621921825131
-- Per Game (276 GP)3.20.220.700.660.180.11