Javier Baez Will Dominate in Fantasy in 2019 (#1 2B)

2019 FANTASY OUTLOOK AND PROJECTION: LOOKING GOOD

Javier Baez is projected to be the best fantasy second baseman in the upcoming season. In 2018, he was owned in 100 percent of leagues and it will be at least this high next season as well. He is projected to average 3.56 fantasy points per game in 143 games. His projected rank for the upcoming season is the same as where he finished last season.

2B RankPlayerProj FPProj Stats
#1Javier Baez508.40.302 AVG, 38 HR, 108 RBI, 94 R, 26 BB, 20 SB
#2Jose Altuve502.70.320 AVG, 20 HR, 72 RBI, 97 R, 61 BB, 22 SB
#3Whit Merrifield457.80.296 AVG, 16 HR, 68 RBI, 89 R, 55 BB, 40 SB
#4Robinson Cano447.40.298 AVG, 20 HR, 92 RBI, 77 R, 50 BB
#5Scooter Gennett447.30.312 AVG, 24 HR, 99 RBI, 86 R, 36 BB, 4 SB

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SEASON FANTASY RECAP AND TREND

Javier Baez had a good fantasy season and was a 'second tier' fantasy star. He was the number #6 ranked 2B and the #45 ranked player overall. His high ranking was definitely helped by his number of games played (157). Based on average fantasy points he is the #20 2B. He peaked early in the season. He averaged 3.5 FPs in his first 51 games and 2.8 FP in his final 52 games. He is still relatively young, so his late season drop-off should not be an indicator of an overall downward trend heading into next season. Based on a relatively low standard deviation, Baez can be considered a consistent fantasy player. He averaged 3.2 FPs, but on any given day his projected ceiling is as high as 18 fantasy points.

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STATISTICAL IMPROVEMENT OVER LAST SEASON

He has demonstrated the solid year-to-year improvement that you look for in a younger player. His average Fantasy points increased by 28% this season.

SEASON TREND20182017
Fantasy Points506338
FP Average3.22.5
Regular Season GP157136
AVG0.2920.274
OPS0.8840.798
HR3423
RBI11176
R10075
SB2110
BB2830
KO165144

WEEKLY FANTASY RECAP

He has averaged 18.8 fantasy points per week and had 6 weeks where he came up short (below 50% of average) and had 5 weeks where he was +50% above average.

WeekFantasy Points (GP)Good WeekBad Week
ALL18.8 FP per Week56
Week 14 (4 games 1 per game)-14.8
Week 217.5 (5 games 3.5 per game)
Week 332 (5 games 6.4 per game)+13.2
Week 440 (5 games 8 per game)+21.2
Week 513.5 (6 games 2.2 per game)
Week 617 (5 games 3.4 per game)
Week 720 (6 games 3.3 per game)
Week 86 (6 games 1 per game)-12.8
Week 919.5 (5 games 3.9 per game)
Week 1014.5 (7 games 2.1 per game)
Week 11-2.5 (5 games -0.5 per game)-21.3
Week 129.5 (5 games 1.9 per game)
Week 1324.5 (7 games 3.5 per game)
Week 1443 (7 games 6.1 per game)+24.2
Week 1517 (5 games 3.4 per game)
Week 1626 (6 games 4.3 per game)
Week 179 (5 games 1.8 per game)-9.8
Week 1820.5 (7 games 2.9 per game)
Week 1939.5 (6 games 6.6 per game)+20.7
Week 2011 (6 games 1.8 per game)
Week 217.5 (6 games 1.2 per game)-11.3
Week 2235.5 (6 games 5.9 per game)+16.7
Week 2323 (6 games 3.8 per game)
Week 243.5 (6 games 0.6 per game)-15.3
Week 2519.5 (7 games 2.8 per game)
Week 2624.5 (6 games 4.1 per game)
Week 2711.5 (7 games 1.6 per game)

DAILY FANTASY SEASON RECAP

He averaged 13.6 FD points and 10.6 DK points per game. We looked at all of his games that were between the 10th and 90th percentile where the 10th percentile is his floor and the 90th is his ceiling. When he was bad in DFS, he was really bad with a floor of zero points. When he was good, he was very good with a DraftKings ceiling of 22 and 30.9 on FanDuel. He has had more bad FanDuel games (below average by 20%) than good games (20% above average), and the same was true on DraftKings. We are only including games where they were in the daily fantasy slate and played.

GameFD Pts (Sal)Good or BadDK Pts (Sal)Good or Bad
All13.6 ($4K)37 G, 57 B10.6 ($4.8K)33 G, 45 B
9/30 STL21.6 ($3.9K)+816 ($4.9K)+5.4
9/29 STL0 ($3.9K)-13.60 ($4.9K)-10.6
9/28 STL0 ($3.9K)-13.60 ($5.1K)-10.6
9/27 PIT9 ($3.9K)--7 ($5.2K)--
9/26 PIT9.7 ($3.9K)--7 ($4.8K)--
9/25 PIT6 ($4K)-7.66 ($5.2K)--
9/24 PIT3 ($3.9K)-10.63 ($4.7K)-7.6
9/23 @CHW6 ($3.9K)-7.65 ($5.6K)-5.6
9/22 @CHW31.7 ($4.1K)+18.123 ($5.3K)+12.4
9/21 @CHW0 ($4.1K)-13.60-10.6
9/19 @ARI3 ($4.2K)-10.62 ($5.6K)-8.6
9/18 @ARI28.4 ($4.1K)+14.821 ($5.2K)+10.4
9/17 @ARI22.2 ($4K)+8.616 ($5K)+5.4
9/16 CIN0 ($3.9K)-13.60 ($5.1K)-10.6
9/15 CIN6.2 ($4K)-7.45 ($5.4K)-5.6
9/14 CIN3 ($4K)-10.63 ($5K)-7.6
9/13 @WAS40.9 ($3.9K)+27.330 ($5K)+19.4
9/12 MIL3 ($4K)-10.64 ($4.8K)-6.6
9/11 MIL9.2 ($4.1K)--7 ($5K)--
9/10 MIL3 ($3.9K)-10.62 ($5K)-8.6
9/8 @WAS9.2 ($3.8K)--7 ($4.1K)--
9/8 @WAS0 ($3.8K)-13.60 ($4.1K)-10.6
9/6 @WAS6.2 ($4.2K)-7.45 ($4.8K)-5.6
9/5 @MIL6.2 ($4.1K)-7.45 ($5.6K)-5.6
9/4 @MIL0 ($4K)-13.60 ($5.8K)-10.6
9/3 @MIL6.2 ($4.1K)-7.45 ($5.7K)-5.6
9/2 @PHI30.9 ($3.9K)+17.324 ($4.8K)+13.4
9/1 @PHI15.7 ($4K)--15 ($5.3K)--
8/31 @PHI21.7 ($4K)+8.117 ($5.3K)+6.4
8/30 @ATL0 ($3.7K)-13.60 ($5K)-10.6
8/28 NYM3 ($3.8K)-10.63 ($4.4K)-7.6
8/27 NYM12.2 ($4.2K)--12 ($5.2K)--
8/26 CIN3 ($4.1K)-10.63 ($5.3K)-7.6
8/25 CIN31.7 ($4.3K)+18.123 ($5.3K)+12.4
8/24 CIN9.5 ($4.1K)--9--
8/23 CIN40.1 ($3.9K)+26.529 ($4.7K)+18.4
8/22 @DET28.7 ($3.7K)+15.121 ($5K)+10.4
8/21 @DET6 ($3.7K)-7.66 ($4.7K)--
8/19 @PIT15 ($3.8K)--11 ($4.6K)--
8/18 @PIT0 ($4.1K)-13.60 ($4.9K)-10.6
8/17 @PIT0 ($4K)-13.60 ($5K)-10.6
8/16 @PIT3 ($3.9K)-10.63 ($5K)-7.6
8/15 MIL15.2 ($4K)--13 ($5K)--
8/14 MIL6 ($4.1K)-7.65-5.6
8/12 WAS0 ($4.5K)-13.60-10.6
8/11 WAS3.5 ($4.5K)-10.12 ($5.4K)-8.6
8/10 WAS6.2 ($4.5K)-7.44-6.6
8/8 @KC0 ($4.6K)-13.60 ($5.7K)-10.6
8/7 @KC6.2 ($4.3K)-7.45 ($5.6K)-5.6
8/6 @KC28.2 ($4.1K)+14.621 ($5.5K)+10.4
8/5 SD28.2 ($4K)+14.623 ($5.9K)+12.4
8/4 SD3 ($4K)-10.63 ($5.6K)-7.6
8/3 SD33.9 ($4.1K)+20.326+15.4
8/2 SD0 ($4K)-13.60 ($5.8K)-10.6
8/1 @PIT21.7 ($3.7K)+8.118 ($5.2K)+7.4
7/31 @PIT34.7 ($3.7K)+21.126 ($5.1K)+15.4
7/29 @STL13 ($3.7K)--9--
7/28 @STL22.2 ($3.7K)+8.616 ($4.7K)+5.4
7/27 @STL21.7 ($3.9K)+8.117 ($4.7K)+6.4
7/26 ARI0--0--
7/25 ARI3--3--
7/24 ARI3 ($4.1K)-10.63 ($5.1K)-7.6
7/23 ARI6 ($4.2K)-7.66 ($5.2K)--
7/22 STL3 ($4.1K)-10.65 ($5K)-5.6
7/21 STL0 ($4.1K)-13.60 ($5.2K)-10.6
7/21 STL28.2 ($4.1K)+14.622 ($5.2K)+11.4
7/20 STL6.2 ($4.1K)-7.45-5.6
7/19 STL0--0--
7/15 @SD9.7--7 ($5.6K)--
7/14 @SD38.7 ($4.1K)+25.127 ($5.3K)+16.4
7/13 @SD24.4 ($4.1K)+10.819 ($5.5K)+8.4
7/11 @SF18.7 ($4.5K)--14 ($5.1K)--
7/10 @SF6 ($4.5K)-7.65 ($5.2K)-5.6
7/9 @SF9 ($4.4K)--5 ($5.5K)-5.6
7/8 CIN16 ($4.4K)--12 ($5.5K)--
7/7 CIN37.2 ($4.5K)+23.628 ($5.3K)+17.4
7/6 CIN6.2 ($4.5K)-7.45-5.6
7/4 DET18.2 ($4.4K)--11 ($5.5K)--
7/3 DET0 ($4.4K)-13.60 ($5.1K)-10.6
7/1 MIN28.4 ($4.3K)+14.821 ($4.9K)+10.4
6/30 MIN22.4 ($4.3K)+8.816 ($5.2K)+5.4
6/29 MIN0 ($4.2K)-13.60-10.6
6/28 @LAD21.9 ($4.2K)+8.317 ($4.6K)+6.4
6/27 @LAD15.4 ($3.8K)--12 ($4.5K)--
6/26 @LAD56.9 ($4K)+43.342 ($4.6K)+31.4
6/25 @LAD3.5 ($3.9K)-10.12 ($4.5K)-8.6
6/24 @CIN15.7 ($4.1K)--12 ($4.6K)--
6/23 @CIN0 ($4.1K)-13.60 ($4.8K)-10.6
6/22 @CIN12.7 ($3.9K)--9 ($4.7K)--
6/21 @CIN16 ($3.9K)--11 ($4.5K)--
6/20 LAD33.4 ($4K)+19.825 ($4K)+14.4
6/19 LAD6 ($4K)-7.65 ($4.1K)-5.6
6/19 LAD3 ($4K)-10.63 ($4.1K)-7.6
6/16 @STL0--0--
6/15 @STL15.4--11--
6/13 @MIL15--11--
6/12 @MIL0--0--
6/11 @MIL27.4--18--
6/10 PIT0--0--
6/8 PIT0--0--
6/7 PHI0--0--
6/6 PHI9.5--5--
6/5 PHI0--0--
6/3 @NYM12.2--8--
6/2 @NYM22.2--16--
6/1 @NYM0--0--
5/31 @NYM12.2--9--
5/30 @PIT9.5--8--
5/29 @PIT0--0--
5/28 @PIT9.2--8--
5/27 SF28.7--21--
5/26 SF18.7--14--
5/25 SF12.2--7--
5/23 CLE0--0--
5/22 CLE18--14--
5/20 @CIN24.7--20--
5/19 @CIN0--0--
5/18 @CIN6.5--5--
5/16 @ATL3--3--
5/15 @ATL0--0--
5/14 ATL0--0--
5/13 CHW16 ($4.2K)--10 ($4.3K)--
5/12 CHW24.4 ($4.4K)+10.818+7.4
5/11 CHW3.5 ($4.3K)-10.12-8.6
5/9 MIA9.7 ($4.5K)--7 ($4.4K)--
5/8 MIA3--3--
5/7 MIA25.7 ($4.1K)+12.118 ($4.5K)+7.4
5/6 @STL21.7 ($4.1K)+8.117+6.4
5/5 @STL22.2 ($4.3K)+8.616 ($4.3K)+5.4
5/4 @STL9.2 ($4.2K)--8 ($4.3K)--
5/2 COL6 ($4.1K)-7.65-5.6
4/30 COL0 ($4.2K)-13.60 ($4.7K)-10.6
4/29 MIL0 ($4K)-13.60 ($4.6K)-10.6
4/28 MIL15.5 ($4K)--10--
4/27 MIL15.7 ($4.2K)--10--
4/26 MIL3 ($4.2K)-10.65 ($4.7K)-5.6
4/25 @CLE6 ($4.1K)-7.66 ($4.5K)--
4/24 @CLE18.7 ($4.2K)--14--
4/22 @COL31.7 ($4.7K)+18.123 ($4.7K)+12.4
4/21 @COL6.2 ($4.7K)-7.45 ($4.7K)-5.6
4/20 @COL44.4 ($4.5K)+30.833 ($4.8K)+22.4
4/19 STL18.4 ($4.2K)--15 ($4K)--
4/17 STL31.2 ($4.1K)+17.624 ($4K)+13.4
4/14 ATL23.2 ($3.5K)+9.615 ($3.8K)--
4/13 ATL0 ($3.7K)-13.60-10.6
4/12 PIT0-13.60 ($6.6K)-10.6
4/11 PIT56.6 ($2.7K)+4339 ($3.3K)+28.4
4/10 PIT37.4 ($2.9K)+23.828 ($3.2K)+17.4
4/8 @MIL0 ($3.1K)-13.60 ($3.4K)-10.6
4/7 @MIL6.2 ($3K)-7.44 ($3.5K)-6.6
4/6 @MIL15.7 ($3K)--12 ($3.6K)--
4/5 @MIL28.4 ($3K)+14.819 ($3.8K)+8.4
4/2 @CIN9 ($3.3K)--8 ($4K)--
4/1 @MIA0 ($3.2K)-13.60 ($4.2K)-10.6
3/31 @MIA9.2 ($3.4K)--7 ($4.3K)--
3/30 @MIA0 ($3.4K)-13.60 ($4.3K)-10.6
3/29 @MIA9.5 ($3.3K)--6 ($3.7K)--
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