Jose Ramirez Fantasy Value: Buy, Sell or Hold?

As you may have noticed we have transformed Scout into a data and stats driven service geared towards helping invested fans make the right decisions on a daily basis. This is our new Fantasy Scouting Report that we produce for each fantasy relevant player. We treat them like a stock and report their value in season long fantasy, the current fantasy week, and if applicable, on FanDuel and on DraftKings. We establish what is expected of the player based on fantasy ownership %, start %, and DFS Salary and see if our proprietary forecasting model projects a better or worse than expected performance. For complete recaps of the best and worst values for each market (season, weekly, daily), injury reports and team outlooks be sure to check out the new Scout.

REST OF SEASON VALUE

Of the 6 third basemen that are 100% owned, Jose Ramirez is projected to be the best fantasy player for the rest of the season. According to these projections his value is rising. He is projected for 421 fantasy points in 114 remaining games. He has a lower rank (#2) based on projected fantasy average. The market ranks Jose Ramirez behind Chapman and above Suarez but the projections rank Jose Ramirez over Chapman.

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Projected StatRelative StrengthOverallRelative Weakness
Fantasy Points 
421 (#1) 
Avg 
 
0.271 (#17)
OPS 
0.888 (#7) 
Home Runs 
23 (#7) 
Runs75 (#3) 
 
RBI 
69 (#6) 
Stolen Bases23 (#1) 
 
Strikeouts 
 
65 (#14)

Depending on your league's scoring system his value could be quite different because he has clear strengths and weaknesses.

WEEKLY FANTASY VALUE

His market rank based on start percentage among third basemen for the rest of week 8 is #1, which is better than his market rank of #6. When compared to other third basemen in week 9, Mike Moustakas (13.7 FP), Nolan Arenado (20.3 FP), Eugenio Suarez (13.6 FP), Kris Bryant (20.5 FP), and Matt Chapman (17.3 FP) are all projected for fewer points than Ramirez but are starting in more leagues. Starting in 91% of leagues he is expected to produce 17.6 fantasy points (WK 9). It should be a very good week 9 as he is projected to be the #3 third baseman. His per game projected FP average is 3.3 which is better than his actual per game average (2.1). In addition to a solid projected FP average, he will benefit from playing a projected 6 games.

He is projected for 21.4 fantasy points in week 9 (#3 3B) in 6 games.

Projected StatRelative StrengthWK OverallRelative Weakness
Fantasy Points 
21.42 (#3) 
Avg 
 
0.254 (#21)
OPS 
 
0.703 (#19)
Home Runs 
1.05 (#11) 
Runs 
3.9 (#4) 
RBI 
3.59 (#6) 
Stolen Bases1.21 (#1) 
 

  • Based on 5/16 start percentages, Jose Ramirez is valued behind Chapman and above Turner but the projections rank Jose Ramirez over Chapman in week 9.
  • May 20May 21May 22May 23May 24May 25May 26
    3.2 FP vs OAK3.3 FP vs OAK3.3 FP vs OAK2.7 FP vs TB2.8 FP vs TB3.1 FP vs TB3.1 FP vs TB

    Jose Ramirez last five game log with fantasy points (CBS, FD, DK) and statline.

    OPPFANTASYSTATLINE
    5/14 @CHW6 FP, 19 FD, 14 DK1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI, 1 R
    5/13 @CHW0 FP, 0 FD, 0 DK0-4
    5/12 @OAK0 FP, 0 FD, 0 DK0-4
    5/11 @OAK2 FP, 12 FD, 7 DK0-2, 1 SB, 2 BB
    5/10 @OAK2 FP, 6 FD, 7 DK1-4, 1 BB

    DAILY FANTASY VALUE

    FANDUEL VALUE (5/16): There are 2 other options at $3700 (Manny Machado, Yoan Moncada) and Ramirez is the best option of these 3. Anthony Rendon (11.6 FP), Eugenio Suarez (11.5 FP), Kris Bryant (11.2 FP), Hunter Dozier (11 FP), and Matt Chapman (12.4 FP) are all projected for fewer points than Ramirez but have higher salaries. Based on salary, he is expected to have 11.6 FPs, a value reached in 82 of 201 games (41%). The combined 'cover percentage' for third basemen expected to start is 40%.

    DRAFTKINGS VALUE: Jose Ramirez is underrated on DraftKings with a projected 10.2 DK pts (#1 among third basemen). He is the #4 highest priced third baseman ($4700). Using the salaries and projected points for healthy players in in today's pool to calculate expected points per dollar, Ramirez is worth $5.5K. He is projected for more points than 3 higher priced options: Eugenio Suarez (8.6 FP), Kris Bryant (8.3 FP), and Yoan Moncada (8.3 FP). Based on salary, he is expected to have 8.7 FPs, a value reached in 78 of 201 games (39%). The combined 'cover percentage' for third basemen expected to start is 37%.

    Ramirez is in the SportsLine Projection model FanDuel optimal lineup and DraftKings optimal lineup. SportsLine.com also offers premium optimal lineups from Mike McClure, a professional DFS player who has used his own proprietary model to successfully win over $1 Million in Daily Fantasy. His lineups often differ significantly from the SportsLine Projection model.

    WEEKLY FANTASY RECAP

    Out of 8 fantasy weeks, he was +50% above his weekly average of 10.8 FPs in 2 of them. He had 2 bad weeks where he was 50% below average.

    WeekFantasy Points (GP)Good WeekBad Week
    ALL10.8 FP per Week22
    Week 11.5 (3 games 0.5 per game)-9.3
    Week 213.5 (6 games 2.2 per game)
    Week 32 (6 games 0.3 per game)-8.8
    Week 419.5 (6 games 3.2 per game)+8.7
    Week 521 (6 games 3.5 per game)+10.2
    Week 68 (5 games 1.6 per game)
    Week 715 (7 games 2.1 per game)
    Week 86 (2 games 3 per game)

    DAILY FANTASY SEASON RECAP

    He averaged 8.8 FD points and 7.3 DK points per game. We looked at all of his games that were between the 10th and 90th percentile where the 10th percentile is his floor and the 90th is his ceiling. When he was bad in DFS, he was really bad with a floor of zero points. His DraftKings ceiling was 9 fantasy points and 22.4 on FanDuel. He has had more bad FanDuel games (below average by 20%) than good games (20% above average), and the same was true on DraftKings. We are only including games where they were in the daily fantasy slate and played.

    GameFD Pts (Sal)Good or BadDK Pts (Sal)Good or Bad
    All8.8 ($3.6K)6 G, 17 B7.3 ($4.5K)3 G, 8 B
    5/14 @CHW18.7 ($3.2K)+9.914+6.7
    5/13 @CHW0 ($3.5K)-8.80 ($4.3K)-7.3
    5/12 @OAK0 ($3.4K)-8.80-7.3
    5/11 @OAK12 ($3.5K)--7 ($4K)--
    5/10 @OAK6 ($3.4K)--7 ($4.5K)--
    5/9 CHW3 ($3.4K)-5.83 ($4.4K)-4.3
    5/8 CHW25.2 ($3.4K)+16.419+11.7
    5/7 CHW6 ($3.7K)--4--
    5/6 CHW3 ($3.6K)-5.83-4.3
    5/5 SEA12 ($3.5K)--10 ($4.2K)--
    5/4 SEA6 ($3.5K)--7 ($4.4K)--
    5/3 SEA3 ($3.5K)-5.83 ($4.3K)-4.3
    5/1 @MIA3 ($3.6K)-5.83 ($4.3K)-4.3
    4/30 @MIA9 ($3.7K)--5 ($4.3K)--
    4/28 @HOU9 ($3.6K)--8--
    4/27 @HOU6.2 ($3.6K)--5 ($4.1K)--
    4/26 @HOU12 ($3.5K)--9 ($4.3K)--
    4/25 @HOU9 ($3.1K)--5 ($4.2K)--
    4/24 MIA47.2 ($3.2K)+38.433 ($4.6K)+25.7
    4/23 MIA3 ($3K)-5.83 ($4.8K)-4.3
    4/21 ATL3 ($3.1K)-5.82-5.3
    4/20 ATL22.4 ($3.4K)+13.616 ($4.6K)+8.7
    4/20 ATL9.2 ($3.4K)--6 ($4.6K)--
    4/17 @SEA0 ($3.6K)-8.80-7.3
    4/16 @SEA3 ($3.1K)-5.83 ($4.2K)-4.3
    4/15 @SEA39.9 ($3.1K)+31.126 ($3.9K)+18.7
    4/14 @KC6.2 ($3.4K)--5 ($4.1K)--
    4/13 @KC0 ($3.4K)-8.80 ($4.8K)-7.3
    4/12 @KC9 ($3.4K)--7 ($4.8K)--
    4/11 @DET0 ($3.6K)-8.80-7.3
    4/10 @DET0 ($3.7K)-8.80-7.3
    4/9 @DET0 ($3.8K)-8.80-7.3
    4/7 TOR6.5 ($3.8K)--5 ($5.3K)--
    4/6 TOR27.4 ($3.9K)+18.618+10.7
    4/5 TOR9--5--
    4/4 TOR3.5--2--
    4/3 CHW3.2 ($4.3K)-5.62-5.3
    4/1 CHW12.2 ($4.4K)--10--
    3/31 @MIN9.2 ($4.4K)--7 ($5.2K)--
    3/30 @MIN0 ($4.4K)-8.80-7.3
    3/28 @MIN0 ($4.5K)-8.80 ($5.1K)-7.3