Keller Projected to Average 0.8 FPs (#84 SP) And Meet Expectations

REST OF SEASON VALUE

Based on ownership percentage (56%), Brad Keller has a market rank of #84 among starting pitchers. The market is higher on Brad Keller than the projections are so we consider him to be overvalued. His fantasy starting pitcher projection rank is #90. He is projected for 11 fantasy points in 15 remaining games. He has a lower rank (#92) based on projected fantasy average. The market ranks Brad Keller behind Plutko and above Kikuchi but the projections rank Brad Keller over Plutko.

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Lower Own%B. Keller ROSHigher Own%
C. Sabathia (14 FP)11 FPR. Porcello (11 FP)
A. Sanchez (14 FP)#84 Starting PitcherM. Bumgarner (10 FP)
H. Bailey (15 FP) 
J. Teheran (2.8 FP)
G. Gonzalez (14 FP) 
Y. Darvish (9 FP)
W. LeBlanc (23 FP) 
D. Keuchel (2 FP)
Projected StatRelative StrengthOverallRelative Weakness
Fantasy Points 
11 (#87) 
Wins6 (#45) 
 
Losses 
 
4 (#101)
Quality Starts8 (#49) 
 
Strikeouts 
 
59 (#119)
Innings88 (#57) 
 
Walks35 (#12) 
 
ERA3.48 (#47) 
 
WHIP 
 
1.32 (#137)

WEEKLY FANTASY VALUE

Brad Keller is a good value the rest of the week. He has a market rank of #84 while his projection rank (rest of week 14) is #38. Based on start%, Hudson is expected to produce more fantasy points than Brad Keller and the projections validate that assessment. Paddack is the player that the market has ranked 1 spot below Brad Keller but the projections have Paddack putting up more fantasy points. Starting in 46% of leagues he is expected to produce 1.2 fantasy points (WK 15). At his start percentage, he is expected to be the #63 starting pitcher of the week, but he is projected to be the #101 starting pitcher.

He is projected for -1.1 fantasy points in week 15 (#148 SP) in 2 games.

Projected StatRelative StrengthWK OverallRelative Weakness
Fantasy Points 
-1.13 (#148) 
Wins0.27 (#114) 
 
Losses0.4 (#109) 
 
Quality Starts0.54 (#65) 
 
Strikeouts3.83 (#135) 
 
Innings6.26 (#38) 
 
Walks2.3 (#39) 
 

  • Based on 6/25 start percentages, Brad Keller is valued behind Hudson and above Paddack but the projections rank these players in reverse order in week 15.
  • Brad Keller last five game log with fantasy points (CBS, FD, DK) and statline.

    OPPFANTASYSTATLINE
    6/24 @CLE2 FP, 21 FD, 13 DK3 IP, 0 ER, 4 K, 3 HA, 0 BBI
    6/19 @SEA-18 FP, 6 FD, -2 DK4 IP, 7 ER, 5 K, 9 HA, 2 BBI
    6/14 @MIN6 FP, 40 FD, 22 DK7 IP, 0 ER, 5 K, 3 HA, 3 BBI
    6/8 vs CHW0 FP, 34 FD, 18 DK8 IP, 2 ER, 4 K, 5 HA, 1 BBI, HD
    6/2 @TEX-4 FP, 34 FD, 16 DK7 IP, 3 ER, 6 K, 9 HA, 0 BBI, LOSS

    LAST DAILY FANTASY PERFORMANCE 6/24 VS CLE

    • 3 IP, 4 K, 0 ERA, 1 WHIP
    • FanDuel: $7900, 21 FPs (-$2121 value, -7.7 FPs)
    • DraftKings: $6000, 13 FPs (+$240 value, +0.5 FPs)

    WEEKLY FANTASY RECAP

    He has averaged -4.3 fantasy points per week and had 8 weeks where he came up short (below 50% of average) and had 7 weeks where he was +50% above average.

    WeekFantasy Points (GP)Good WeekBad Week
    ALL-4.3 FP per Week78
    Week 116.5 (1 games)+20.8
    Week 2-7 (2 games -3.5 per game)-2.7
    Week 311.2 (1 games)+15.5
    Week 4-4.5 (1 games)+-0.2-0.2
    Week 5-12.2 (1 games)-7.8
    Week 6-19.2 (2 games -9.6 per game)-14.8
    Week 7-13.5 (1 games)-9.2
    Week 8-13.8 (1 games)-9.5
    Week 98.5 (1 games)+12.8
    Week 10-16.5 (2 games -8.2 per game)-12.2
    Week 110 (1 games)+4.3
    Week 125.5 (1 games)+9.8
    Week 13-17.5 (1 games)-13.2
    Week 142 (1 games)+6.3

    DAILY FANTASY SEASON RECAP

    His FanDuel average was 25.4 points and on DraftKings it was 12.8 per game. We looked at all of his games that were between the 10th and 90th percentile where the 10th percentile is his floor and the 90th is his ceiling. On DraftKings his floor was -2.7 and on FanDuel it was 6 fantasy points. When he was good, he was very good with a DraftKings ceiling of 28 and 46 on FanDuel. He has had an equal number of good (20% above average) and bad games (20% below) on FanDuel, but on DraftKings he has had more bad than good games. We are only including games where they were in the daily fantasy slate and played.

    GameFD Pts (Sal)Good or BadDK Pts (Sal)Good or Bad
    All25.4 ($7.4K)3 G, 3 B12.8 ($6.6K)3 G, 4 B
    6/24 @CLE21 ($7.9K)--13 ($6K)--
    6/19 @SEA6 ($8.1K)-19.4-2.2-15
    6/14 @MIN40 ($6.9K)+14.621.5 ($5.8K)+8.7
    6/8 CHW34 ($6.8K)--18.4--
    6/2 @TEX34 ($6.7K)--16.4 ($5.5K)--
    5/28 @CHW15--4.9--
    5/22 @STL34 ($6.2K)--17 ($6.7K)--
    5/17 @LAA14 ($6.6K)--3.6 ($6K)-9.2
    5/11 PHI9 ($7K)-16.41.2 ($6.5K)-11.6
    5/5 @DET28 ($7.8K)--13.4 ($8K)--
    4/29 TB3 ($8.2K)-22.4-2.7 ($7.8K)-15.5
    4/22 @TB13 ($8.5K)--4.2 ($8K)-8.6
    4/17 @CHW18 ($8.5K)--7.8--
    4/12 CLE55.6 ($7.8K)+30.230.6 ($7.1K)+17.8
    4/7 @DET22 ($7.6K)--8.7 ($7.2K)--
    4/2 MIN28 ($7.1K)--11.5 ($7K)--
    3/28 CHW46 ($6.2K)+20.628 ($4.8K)+15.2