Lambert Fantasy Week 17 Projection vs Expectation

WEEKLY FANTASY VALUE

Based on start%, Hernandez is expected to produce more fantasy points than Peter Lambert and the projections validate that assessment. Alzolay is the player that the market has ranked 1 spot below Peter Lambert but the projections have Alzolay putting up more fantasy points. Starting in 3% of leagues he is expected to produce -6.9 fantasy points (WK 17). At his start percentage, he is expected to be the #103 starting pitcher of week 17. He is projected to be better than that (the #92 starting pitcher).

He is projected for -0.4 fantasy points in week 17 (#110 SP) in 2 games.

Projected StatRelative StrengthWK OverallRelative Weakness
Fantasy Points 
-0.38 (#110) 
Wins0.39 (#75) 
 
Losses0.24 (#36) 
 
Quality Starts 
 
0.37 (#127)
Strikeouts 
 
3.98 (#126)
Innings 
 
5.04 (#138)
Walks 
 
1.35 (#129)

  • Based on 7/12 start percentages, Peter Lambert is valued behind Hernandez and above Alzolay
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    REST OF SEASON VALUE

    His latest projection based rank among starting pitchers is #123. As of 7/12, Peter Lambert is the #115 ranked starting pitcher based on ownership percentage (13%). Peter Lambert's market rank is better than our current projections indicate. He is projected for -7 fantasy points in 13 remaining games. Based on average FPs, he is even better with the #149 highest average. The market ranks Peter Lambert behind Duplantier and above Wilson

    Projected StatRelative StrengthOverallRelative Weakness
    Fantasy Points 
    -7 (#154) 
    Wins5 (#47) 
     
    Losses4 (#114) 
     
    Quality Starts5 (#95) 
     
    Strikeouts51 (#120) 
     
    Innings68 (#109) 
     
    Walks18 (#107) 
     
    ERA 
     
    4.63 (#164)
    WHIP 
    1.35 (#146) 

    LAST DAILY FANTASY PERFORMANCE 7/3 VS HOU

    • Loss 5 IP, 2 K, 7.2 ERA, 1.6 WHIP
    • FanDuel: $5500, 9 FPs (-$2705 value, -8.7 FPs)
    • DraftKings: $5300, 2.4 FPs (-$4005 value, -7.4 FPs)

    WEEKLY FANTASY RECAP

    He has averaged -3.3 fantasy points per week and had 4 weeks where he came up short (under 50% of average) and just one week where he was +50% above average.

    WeekFantasy Points (GP)Good WeekBad Week
    ALL-3.3 FP per Week14
    Week 1115.5 (1 games)+18.8
    Week 12-7 (2 games -3.5 per game)-3.7
    Week 13-5.5 (1 games)-2.2
    Week 14-8.3 (1 games)-5.1
    Week 15-11 (1 games)-7.7

    DAILY FANTASY SEASON RECAP

    He averaged 16.5 FD points and 4.8 DK points per game. We looked at all of his games that were between the 10th and 90th percentile where the 10th percentile is his floor and the 90th is his ceiling. On DraftKings his floor was 1000 and on FanDuel it was 1000 fantasy points. He did not have a high ceiling (less than +50% over average). On DraftKings it was -1000 and on FanDuel it was -1000 FPs. He has had an equal number of good (20% above average) and bad games (20% below) on FanDuel, while on DraftKings he has been consistent with relatively few good or bad games. We are only including games where they were in the daily fantasy slate and played.

    GameFD Pts (Sal)Good or BadDK Pts (Sal)Good or Bad
    All16.5 ($6.1K)2 G, 2 B4.8 ($5.3K)1 G, 1 B
    7/3 HOU9 ($5.5K)--2.4 ($5.3K)--
    6/27 LAD5 ($5.8K)-11.5-0.9 ($4.7K)-5.7
    6/22 @LAD9 ($6.9K)--2.5 ($5.5K)--
    6/16 SD-6 ($6.3K)-22.5-8.6-13.4
    6/11 CHC27 ($6.7K)+10.515 ($5.6K)+10.2
    6/6 @CHC55 ($5.5K)+38.532.8+28