Lance McCullers is Projected to Be an Elite Fantasy Player in 2019 (#37 SP)

2019 FANTASY OUTLOOK AND PROJECTION: LOOKING GOOD

Lance McCullers is projected to be a must start starting pitcher next season. In our latest projection he is the #37 starting pitcher based on total projected fantasy points. At the end of the 2018 season he was owned in just 73 percent of leagues. This should go up next season. He is projected to average 2.82 fantasy points per game in 26 games. His projected rank for the upcoming season is down slightly from where he finished last season.

SP RankPlayerProj FPProj Stats
#35Collin McHugh75.613-5 WL, 153 IP, 168 K, 46, 3.81 ERA, 1.25 WHIP
#36Tanner Roark73.613-9 WL, 167 IP, 160 K, 49, 3.56 ERA, 1.21 WHIP
#37Lance McCullers73.411-6 WL, 139 IP, 152 K, 47, 3.58 ERA, 1.22 WHIP
#38Rich Hill70.511-5 WL, 131 IP, 139 K, 46, 3.14 ERA, 1.19 WHIP
#39Jose Berrios7015-10 WL, 196 IP, 190 K, 68, 3.66 ERA, 1.23 WHIP

Stream Major League Baseball games with SlingTV

SEASON FANTASY RECAP AND TREND

Lance McCullers had a good, but not elite, year in fantasy. He was the number #37 ranked SP. His solid ranking drops slightly if you base things on average fantasy points where he is the #38 SP. We split his 25 games into 3 segments (start, middle, and end). He peaked early in the season. He averaged 4.2 FPs in his first 8 games and 0.3 FP in his final 9 games. He is still relatively young, so his late season drop-off should not be an indicator of an overall downward trend heading into next season. Using standard deviation as an indicator of consistency, McCullers is relatively inconsistent capable of very high highs and equally low lows. Our projected ceiling for McCullers when he 'goes off' is 20 fantasy points (his average is 2.6FPs).

SportsLine has the best MLB picks and Daily Fantasy Lineups. In the off-season check out our coverage of all major leagues (NFL, NBA, NHL, Horses, NASCAR, and Golf).

STATISTICAL IMPROVEMENT OVER LAST SEASON

He has demonstrated the solid year-to-year improvement that you look for in a younger player. His average Fantasy points increased by 189% this season.

SEASON TREND20182017
Fantasy Points6620
FP Average2.60.9
Regular Season GP2522
W107
L64
K/910.010.0
ERA3.874.25
WHIP1.171.30
BBI5040
HA100114

WEEKLY FANTASY RECAP

Out of 20 fantasy weeks, he was +50% above his weekly average of 3.3 FPs in 8 of them. He had 8 bad weeks where he was 50% below average.

WeekFantasy Points (GP)Good WeekBad Week
ALL3.3 FP per Week88
Week 110.3 (1 games)+7
Week 2-8.5 (1 games)-11.8
Week 3-14.3 (1 games)-17.6
Week 425 (2 games 12.5 per game)+21.7
Week 518.5 (1 games)+15.2
Week 60.5 (1 games)-2.8
Week 72.5 (1 games)
Week 817 (2 games 8.5 per game)+13.7
Week 9-14.7 (1 games)-18
Week 1010 (1 games)+6.7
Week 11-1 (1 games)-4.3
Week 1213 (2 games 6.5 per game)+9.7
Week 134.5 (1 games)
Week 1414.5 (1 games)+11.2
Week 1518 (1 games)+14.7
Week 16-17.5 (1 games)-20.8
Week 17-15.2 (1 games)-18.5
Week 18-3.2 (1 games)-6.5
Week 192.5 (1 games)
Week 273.9 (3 games 1.3 per game)

DAILY FANTASY SEASON RECAP

He averaged 31 FD points and 16.9 DK points per game. We looked at all of his games that were between the 10th and 90th percentile where the 10th percentile is his floor and the 90th is his ceiling. On DraftKings his floor was -7.6 and on FanDuel it was -3 fantasy points. When he was good, he was very good with a DraftKings ceiling of 32.6 and 52 on FanDuel. He has had more bad FanDuel games (below average by 20%) than good games (20% above average), and an equal number of good and bad games on DraftKings. We are only including games where they were in the daily fantasy slate and played.

GameFD Pts (Sal)Good or BadDK Pts (Sal)Good or Bad
All31 ($9.5K)4 G, 5 B16.9 ($10.3K)5 G, 5 B
9/30 @BAL8 ($9.4K)-235.5 ($8.8K)-11.4
9/29 @BAL3.6--2.4--
9/26 @TOR6 ($9.8K)-254.2 ($8.8K)-12.7
8/4 @LAD27 ($10K)--16.6 ($8.8K)--
7/29 TEX40 ($10.1K)--24.4 ($10.2K)--
7/22 @LAA7 ($10.5K)-24-0.9 ($9.5K)-17.8
7/11 OAK-3 ($11.4K)-34-7.6 ($11K)-24.5
7/6 CHW64 ($11.3K)+3339.4 ($11.9K)+22.5
6/28 @TB52 ($10.4K)+2130.2 ($11.1K)+13.3
6/23 KC40 ($9.2K)--21.9 ($10.2K)--
6/17 @KC43--22.7--
6/12 @OAK40--21--
6/6 SEA25--10.1--
5/31 BOS34--17.9--
5/26 @CLE-2---5.1--
5/20 CLE55--33.9--
5/14 @LAA34 ($9.3K)--17.9 ($10K)--
5/8 @OAK24 ($9.1K)--11.8 ($11.3K)--
5/3 NYY31 ($9K)--14.3 ($9.1K)--
4/28 OAK52 ($8.8K)+2132.6 ($11.2K)+15.7
4/22 @CHW34 ($8.8K)--14.9 ($11.2K)--
4/17 @SEA61 ($8.6K)+3038.6 ($9.6K)+21.7
4/11 @MIN5 ($8.8K)-26-3.5 ($11.1K)-20.4
4/6 SD30 ($8.5K)--15.2 ($12.3K)--
3/31 @TEX46 ($7.9K)--29 ($9.8K)+12.1