Los Angeles Dodgers Are Projected to Improve on Their 91 Wins

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REGULAR SEASON RECAP

The sum of all of their money line implied probabilities (adjusted for the juice) projects to 97.3 wins. Their 91 actual wins was below expectation. Home ice was not an advantage, at least not in terms of meeting expectations. They were OK on the road. They won 58% on the road which was as expected (57.1%). They won 44 at home and were expected to win 51. We are projecting a +5.1 win improvement next season. They are averaging 96.1 wins per simulation and are projected to finish first in the National League. They have a nice projected cushion over the #2 ranked Nationals who are projected for 92 wins.

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TEAM STRENGTHS AND WEAKNESSES

Their record should be better. Their average run differential is +1.08 which ranks #1 in the NL, but their rank based on win percentage is #3. They are the #1 ranked team in run differential (based on all teams' road stats). This is the same ranking they have among home teams. Their average run differential in their past 3 games is -2.

TEAM STATS PER GAME (League Rank):

SituationRunsBatting AvgOPS
All 179 Games4.8 (#1)0.246 (#9)0.623 (#1)
Road5.3 (#1)0.255 (#4)0.620 (#2)
Home4.4 (#9)0.237 (#12)0.629 (#2)
Last 3 Games3.3 (#1)0.183 (#1)0.595 (#1)

ALLOWED TO OPPOSING TEAMS (Lower # is Better):

SituationRunsBatting AvgOPS
All3.7 (#1)0.228 (#1)0.576 (#9)
Road3.9 (#4)0.231 (#20.580 (#10)
Home3.6 (#1)0.225 (#1)0.571 (#8)
Last 3 Games5.3 (#1)0.184 (#1)0.647 (#1)

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TEAM STATS AND BETTING RESULT GAMELOG

Below is a betting recap of all 162 regular games. Anyone who backed the Dodgers in all of their games would have earned a +113 unit profit at a 100 per game risk. Against the run line, they have lost -1482 units risking 100 units on each pick (73-89 PL). The Dodgers have turned a run line profit on the road but have lost at home.

Season RecapGS-GAMoney LineRun Line RecordO/U Record
All Games4.9 - 3.891-71, +11373-89, -148277-80 51% Under
On Road5.4 - 3.947-34, +11343-38, +30241-39 51.2% Over
At Home4.5 - 3.644-37, -127430-51, -178436-41 53.2% Under
9/30 @SF15-0Win +43Covered -1.5Over 7.5
9/29 @SF10-6Win +37Covered -1.5Over 7
9/28 @SF3-1Win +53Covered -1.5Under 7
9/26 @ARI2-7Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Over 8
9/25 @ARI3-4Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Under 8.5
9/24 @ARI7-4Win +56Covered -1.5Over 7.5
9/23 SD14-0Win +42Covered -1.5Over 7.5
9/22 SD7-2Win +33Covered -1.5Over 8
9/21 SD3-5Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Push 8
9/19 COL5-2Win +44Covered -1.5Under 7.5
9/18 COL3-2Win +44Run Line Loss -1.5Under 7
9/17 COL8-2Win +62Covered -1.5Over 7.5
9/16 @STL0-5Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Under 8.5
9/15 @STL17-4Win +76Covered -1.5Over 8.5
9/14 @STL3-0Win +74Covered -1.5Under 7.5
9/13 @STL9-7Win +53Covered -1.5Over 7.5
9/12 @CIN8-1Win +53Covered -1.5Over 8.5
9/11 @CIN1-3Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Under 8.5
9/10 @CIN6-10Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Over 9
9/9 @COL9-6Win +89Covered -1.5Over 10.5
9/8 @COL2-4Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Under 10
9/7 @COL4-2Win +67Covered -1.5Under 9.5
9/5 NYM3-7Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Over 7
9/4 NYM11-4Win +43Covered -1.5Over 8
9/3 NYM2-4Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Under 7
9/2 ARI3-2Win +50Run Line Loss -1.5Under 7.5
9/1 ARI3-2Win +63Run Line Loss -1.5Under 6.5
8/31 ARI3-2Win +76Run Line Loss -1.5Under 7.5
8/30 ARI1-3Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Under 8
8/29 @TEX3-1Win +63Covered -1.5Under 9.5
8/28 @TEX8-4Win +45Covered -1.5Over 11.5
8/26 SD7-3Win +48Covered -1.5Over 8
8/25 SD5-4Win +26Run Line Loss -1.5Over 7.5
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8/22 STL1-3Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Under 7.5
8/21 STL2-5Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Under 8.5
8/20 STL3-5Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Under 8.5
8/19 @SEA12-1Win +50Covered -1.5Over 8
8/18 @SEA4-5Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Over 8.5
8/17 @SEA11-1Win +75Covered -1.5Over 8
8/15 SF4-3Win +57Run Line Loss -1.5Under 8
8/14 SF1-2Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Under 8
8/13 SF2-5Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Push 7
8/12 @COL3-4Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Under 12
8/11 @COL2-3Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Under 11.5
8/10 @COL4-5Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Under 11
8/9 @COL8-5Win +77Covered -1.5Over 11
8/8 @OAK2-3Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Under 7.5
8/7 @OAK4-2Win +85Covered -1.5Under 8
8/5 HOU3-2Win +87Run Line Loss -1.5Under 7.5
8/4 HOU0-14Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Over 7.5
8/3 HOU1-2Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Under 7.5
8/2 MIL21-5Win +48Covered -1.5Over 7.5
8/1 MIL6-4Win +61Covered -1.5Over 8
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7/30 MIL2-5Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Under 7.5
7/29 @ATL1-4Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Under 8.5
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7/27 @ATL4-1Win +65Covered -1.5Under 8
7/26 @ATL8-2Win +79Covered -1.5Over 8.5
7/25 @PHI3-7Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Over 8.5
7/24 @PHI4-7Loss -100Run Line Loss +1.5Over 8
7/23 @PHI7-6Win +65Run Line Loss -1.5Over 8
7/22 @MIL11-2Win +78Covered -1.5Over 8.5
7/21 @MIL2-4Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Under 8
7/20 @MIL6-4Win +77Covered -1.5Over 9
7/15 LAA5-3Win +40Covered -1.5Under 8.5
7/14 LAA4-5Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Over 8
7/13 LAA3-2Win +62Run Line Loss -1.5Under 8
7/12 @SD3-2Win +49Run Line Loss -1.5Under 7.5
7/11 @SD4-2Win +71Covered -1.5Under 7.5
7/10 @SD1-4Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Under 8
7/9 @SD8-2Win +42Covered -1.5Over 8
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7/4 PIT6-4Win +43Covered -1.5Over 8.5
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7/1 COL6-4Win +43Covered -1.5Over 8.5
6/30 COL1-3Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Under 7.5
6/29 COL1-3Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Under 7.5
6/28 CHC5-11Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Over 7.5
6/27 CHC7-5Win +71Covered -1.5Over 7.5
6/26 CHC4-9Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Over 7.5
6/25 CHC2-1Win +60Run Line Loss -1.5Under 8.5
6/24 @NYM8-7Win +56Run Line Loss -1.5Over 8.5
6/23 @NYM8-3Win +91Covered -1.5Over 6.5
6/22 @NYM5-2Win +70Covered -1.5Under 7.5
6/20 @CHC0-4Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Under 7.5
6/19 @CHC1-2Loss -100Covered +1.5Under 8
6/19 @CHC4-3Win +87Run Line Loss -1.5Under 8.5
6/17 SF1-4Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Under 8.5
6/16 SF3-1Win +70Covered -1.5Under 7.5
6/15 SF3-2Win +38Run Line Loss -1.5Under 8
6/13 TEX3-2Win +56Run Line Loss -1.5Under 8
6/12 TEX12-5Win +57Covered -1.5Over 8.5
6/10 ATL7-2Win +65Covered -1.5Over 7
6/9 ATL3-5Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Over 7.5
6/8 ATL7-3Win +57Covered -1.5Over 7.5
6/7 @PIT8-7Win +115Covered +1.5Over 8
6/6 @PIT9-11Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Over 8.5
6/5 @PIT5-0Win +80Covered -1.5Under 7.5
6/3 @COL10-7Win +69Covered -1.5Over 11.5
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6/1 @COL11-8Win +95Covered +1.5Over 11.5
5/31 PHI1-2Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Under 6.5
5/30 PHI8-2Win +55Covered -1.5Over 7.5
5/29 PHI1-6Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Push 7
5/28 PHI5-4Win +75Run Line Loss -1.5Over 8
5/27 SD6-1Win +40Covered -1.5Under 7.5
5/26 SD5-7Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Over 7
5/25 SD4-1Win +56Covered -1.5Under 7.5
5/23 COL3-0Win +56Covered -1.5Under 7.5
5/22 COL5-3Win +69Covered -1.5Push 8
5/21 COL1-2Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Under 7
5/20 @WAS7-2Win +125Covered +1.5Over 7.5
5/19 @WAS5-4Win +196Covered +1.5Over 7
5/19 @WAS4-1Win +115Covered +1.5Under 8.5
5/17 @MIA7-0Win +65Covered -1.5Under 7.5
5/16 @MIA5-6Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Over 8
5/15 @MIA2-4Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Under 8
5/13 CIN3-5Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Over 7.5
5/12 CIN3-5Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Under 8.5
5/11 CIN2-6Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Under 8.5
5/10 CIN1-4Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Under 7.5
5/9 ARI6-3Win +80Covered -1.5Over 7
5/8 ARI5-8Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Over 7
5/6 @SD0-3Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Under 9
5/5 @SD4-7Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Over 9
5/4 @SD4-0Win +81Covered -1.5Under 8
5/3 @ARI5-2Win +135Covered +1.5Push 7
5/2 @ARI2-1Win +98Covered +1.5Under 7.5
5/1 @ARI3-4Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Under 7.5
4/30 @ARI5-8Loss -100Run Line Loss +1.5Over 8
4/29 @SF2-4Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Under 8
4/28 @SF3-8Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Over 7
4/28 @SF15-6Win +65Covered -1.5Over 7.5
4/27 @SF4-6Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Over 8
4/25 MIA6-8Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Over 7
4/24 MIA2-3Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Under 7.5
4/23 MIA2-1Win +37Run Line Loss -1.5Under 8
4/22 WAS4-3Win +50Run Line Loss -1.5Under 8
4/21 WAS4-0Win +103Covered +1.5Under 7
4/20 WAS2-5Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Over 6
4/18 @SD13-4Win +60Covered -1.5Over 7.5
4/17 @SD7-3Win +54Covered -1.5Over 7.5
4/16 @SD10-3Win +71Covered -1.5Over 7.5
4/15 ARI7-2Win +47Covered -1.5Over 6.5
4/14 ARI1-9Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Over 7.5
4/13 ARI7-8Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Over 6.5
4/11 OAK6-16Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Over 7.5
4/10 OAK4-0Win +85Covered -1.5Under 8.5
4/8 @SF2-1Win +43Run Line Loss -1.5Under 8
4/7 @SF5-7Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Over 8
4/4 @ARI0-3Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Under 8
4/3 @ARI1-6Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Under 7.5
4/2 @ARI7-8Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Over 9
4/1 SF9-0Win +50Covered -1.5Over 7.5
3/31 SF5-0Win +50Covered -1.5Under 8
3/30 SF0-1Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Under 7.5
3/29 SF0-1Loss -100Run Line Loss -1.5Under 7.5
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