Lucas Giolito is a Bad DFS Value on Fanduel at $10.6K and DraftKings at $11K on 8/16

DAILY FANTASY PROJECTIONS AND PLAY OR FADE ADVICE

He is projected for 33.5 FanDuel points and 17.9 points on DraftKings. Based on the player pool average points per dollar he is coming up -$1280 short of $10.6K on FanDuel and -$1651 short of $11K on DraftKings. Their should be much better options (see below). Barring a significant lineup change consider him a daily fantasy player to fade. Below are how he ranks based on projected fantasy points on both DFS platforms. Look for players with more FPs at lower salaries.

FANDUEL (P) 8/16 RANKPROJECTIONSALARY
#5 Luis Castillo36.5 FD Points$11100
#6 Noah Syndergaard33.5 FD Points$9800
#7 Lucas Giolito33.5 FD Points$10600
#8 Chris Paddack32.3 FD Points$8500
#9 Mike Minor31.1 FD Points$9400
DRAFTKINGS (SP) 8/16 RANKPROJECTIONSALARY
#6 Chris Paddack18.3 DK Points$9400
#7 Noah Syndergaard18.2 DK Points$10100
#8 Lucas Giolito17.9 DK Points$11000
#9 Kyle Hendricks16.3 DK Points$8200
#10 Mike Minor16.1 DK Points$10000

These projections power SportsLine's Computer Picks and Fantasy Data. But for contest winning DFS optimal lineups by top experts like Mike McClure visit SportsLine's new Daily Fantasy Hub.

REST OF SEASON OUTLOOK AND POSITION RANK

Expect Lucas Giolito to be a reliable fantasy starter the rest of the season. His 21.2 projected fantasy points puts him at #32 behind Cole Hamels and ahead of Noah Syndergaard. He has averaged 0.06 fantasy points in his past 55 games, which is less than our projected per game average. He is projected to average 2.52 fantasy points. His rank based on avg proj (#39) is worse than his rank based on total fantasy points. He is overrated if you compare his ownership based rank with his projection rank. At 97%, he is the #24 most highly owned starting pitcher. Lucas Giolito is expected to come up short of this season-to-date's #13 fantasy position rank.

REST OF SEASON RANK (SP) PROJECTIONFANTASY STATS SINCE 2018
#30 Kenta Maeda (93% OWN)22 FP, 2.75 per game163 FP, 28 gp, 5.8 per game (#9)
#31 Cole Hamels (96% OWN)21 FP, 2.66 per game163 FP, 28 gp, 5.8 per game (#9)
#32 Lucas Giolito (97% OWN)21 FP, 2.52 per game163 FP, 28 gp, 5.8 per game (#9)
#33 Noah Syndergaard (98% OWN)21 FP, 2.35 per game99 FP, 25 gp, 3.95 per game (#21)
#34 Jack Flaherty (97% OWN)20 FP, 2.41 per game51 FP, 28 gp, 1.82 per game (#46)

WEEK 21 AND 22 FANTASY OUTLOOK

Lucas Giolito is projected for 2.92 fantasy points in one game the rest of the week which is good enough to be the #19 ranked starting pitcher and a must start for most owners. This is projected to be a better than average game with more fantasy points than he is projected to average per game the rest of the season. He is ranked above Chris Paddack but behind Jack Flaherty the rest of the week. Week 22 will not be as good based on projected rank (#33). He is projected for 3.33 fantasy points.

8/16 TO 8/18 RANK (SP)PROJECTIONROS FP PROJ AVG
#17 Ryan Yarbrough (76% OWN)3.17 FP (59% ST)2.5 FP
#18 Jack Flaherty (97% OWN)3.16 FP (84% ST)2.41 FP
#19 Lucas Giolito (97% OWN)2.92 FP (82% ST)2.52 FP
#20 Chris Paddack (95% OWN)2.81 FP (63% ST)3.22 FP
#21 Zach Eflin (39% OWN)2.74 FP (14% ST)1.43 FP
8/19 TO 8/25 RANK (SP)PROJECTIONROS FP PROJ AVG
#31 Jake Odorizzi (95% OWN)3.38 FP (70% ST)3.2 FP
#32 Mike Minor (97% OWN)3.35 FP (83% ST)3.03 FP
#33 Lucas Giolito (97% OWN)3.33 FP (82% ST)2.52 FP
#34 Kenta Maeda (93% OWN)3.28 FP (62% ST)2.75 FP
#35 Sonny Gray (95% OWN)3.19 FP (74% ST)2.66 FP

FANTASY PROJECTIONS AND ACTUAL STATS

The tables below show projected stats (totals and averages) for the rest of the season and upcoming weeks. Also included are actual stats from the current and last season.

LUCAS GIOLITOFPWINLOSSIPKBB
Rest of 201921.23.62.7525117.9
-- Per Game (8 Proj)2.50.430.326.26.12.1
8/12 to 8/18 (1 Game)2.90.480.266.36.02.4
8/19 to 8/25 (1 Game)3.30.460.286.06.51.9
2019 Season10612613617148
-- Per Game (23 GP)4.60.520.265.97.42.1
2018 to 20193.52219305296138
-- Per Game (55 GP)0.060.400.355.65.42.5