Marcell Ozuna Is a Better Value on DraftKings at $5K Than on FanDuel at $4 on 9/2

As you may have noticed we have transformed Scout into a data and stats driven service geared towards helping invested fans make the right decisions on a daily basis. This is our new Fantasy Scouting Report that we produce for each fantasy relevant player. We treat them like a stock and report their value in season long fantasy, the current fantasy week, and if applicable, on FanDuel and on DraftKings. We establish what is expected of the player based on fantasy ownership %, start %, and DFS Salary and see if our proprietary forecasting model projects a better or worse than expected performance. For complete recaps of the best and worst values for each market (season, weekly, daily), injury reports and team outlooks be sure to check out the new Scout.

DAILY FANTASY PROJECTIONS AND PLAY OR FADE ADVICE

For each platform we calculate a position specific points per dollar and our projection says he is a better value on DraftKings than on FanDuel. He is projected for 12.4 FD points and is worth $4K on FD. On DK he is projected for 9.2 points and is worth +$287 more than $5K. Below are how he ranks based on projected fantasy points on both DFS platforms. Look for players with more FPs at lower salaries.

FANDUEL (OF) 9/2 RANKPROJECTIONSALARY
#7 Max Kepler13.1 FD Points$3600
#8 Thomas Pham12.7 FD Points$3600
#9 Marcell Ozuna12.4 FD Points$4000
#10 Nick Castellanos12.3 FD Points$3400
#11 Michael Brantley12.1 FD Points$4000
DRAFTKINGS (OF) 9/2 RANKPROJECTIONSALARY
#5 Thomas Pham9.6 DK Points$4600
#6 Nick Castellanos9.4 DK Points$4300
#7 Marcell Ozuna9.2 DK Points$5000
#8 Corey Dickerson9.2 DK Points$4900
#9 Kevin Kiermaier9 DK Points$4000

These projections power SportsLine's Computer Picks and Fantasy Data. But for contest winning DFS optimal lineups by top experts like Mike McClure visit SportsLine's new Daily Fantasy Hub.

REST OF SEASON OUTLOOK AND POSITION RANK

Expect Marcell Ozuna to be a reliable fantasy starter the rest of the season. His 78.7 projected fantasy points puts him at #11 behind Nick Castellanos and ahead of Ronald Acuna. He has averaged 2.92 fantasy points in his past 253 games, which is less than our projected per game average. He is projected to average 3.27 fantasy points. His rank based on avg proj (#17) is worse than his rank based on total fantasy points. He is slightly underrated if you compare his ownership based rank with his projection rank. At 99%, he is the #14 most highly owned outfielder. Marcell Ozuna is expected to improve on this season-to-date's #27 fantasy position rank.

REST OF SEASON RANK (OF) PROJECTIONFANTASY STATS SINCE 2018
#9 Yordan Alvarez (98% OWN)80 FP, 3.59 per game31 FP, 53 gp, 0.6 per game (#75)
#10 Nick Castellanos (99% OWN)80 FP, 3.42 per game468 FP, 157 gp, 2.98 per game (#19)
#11 Marcell Ozuna (99% OWN)79 FP, 3.27 per game395 FP, 148 gp, 2.67 per game (#32)
#12 Ronald Acuna (100% OWN)78 FP, 3.42 per game376 FP, 111 gp, 3.39 per game (#4)
#13 Max Kepler (99% OWN)76 FP, 3.41 per game388 FP, 156 gp, 2.49 per game (#51)

WEEK 24 AND 25 FANTASY OUTLOOK

Marcell Ozuna is projected for 21.57 fantasy points in 6 games which is good enough to be the #11 ranked outfielder and a must start for most owners. This is projected to be a better than average week with more fantasy points per game than he is projected to average per game the rest of the season. He is ranked above Yordan Alvarez but behind George Springer. Week 25 is projected to be slightly better based on projected rank (#8). He is projected for 21.33 fantasy points.

9/2 TO 9/8 RANK (OF)PROJECTIONROS FP PROJ AVG
#9 Rhys Hoskins22.1 FP (93% ST)3.19 FP
#10 George Springer21.7 FP (95% ST)3.78 FP
#11 Marcell Ozuna21.6 FP (93% ST)3.27 FP
#12 Yordan Alvarez21 FP (94% ST)3.59 FP
#13 Max Kepler21 FP (90% ST)3.41 FP
9/9 TO 9/15 RANK (OF)PROJECTIONROS FP PROJ AVG
#6 Nick Castellanos21.6 FP (94% ST)3.42 FP
#7 Mookie Betts21.3 FP (96% ST)3.8 FP
#8 Marcell Ozuna21.3 FP (93% ST)3.27 FP
#9 Aaron Judge21.3 FP (97% ST)3.29 FP
#10 Michael Brantley21.1 FP (97% ST)3.42 FP

FANTASY PROJECTIONS AND ACTUAL STATS

The tables below show projected stats (totals and averages) for the rest of the season and upcoming weeks. Also included are actual stats from the current and last season.

MARCELL OZUNAFPHRRBIRBBSB
Rest of 2019795.317.814.68.31.7
-- Per Game (24 Proj)3.30.220.740.610.340.07
9/2 to 9/8 (6.5 Games)21.61.44.94.02.10.46
9/9 to 9/15 (5.5 Games)21.31.54.84.02.40.50
2019 Season3422477684512
-- Per Game (105 GP)3.30.230.730.650.430.11
2018 to 2019738471651378316
-- Per Game (253 GP)2.90.190.650.540.330.06