As you may have noticed we have transformed Scout into a data and stats driven service geared towards helping invested fans make the right decisions on a daily basis. This is our new Fantasy Scouting Report that we produce for each fantasy relevant player. We treat them like a stock and report their value in season long fantasy, the current fantasy week, and if applicable, on FanDuel and on DraftKings. We establish what is expected of the player based on fantasy ownership %, start %, and DFS Salary and see if our proprietary forecasting model projects a better or worse than expected performance. For complete recaps of the best and worst values for each market (season, weekly, daily), injury reports and team outlooks be sure to check out the new Scout.
DAILY FANTASY PROJECTIONS AND PLAY OR FADE ADVICE
For each platform we calculate a position specific points per dollar and our projection says he is a better value on DraftKings than on FanDuel. He is projected for 12.4 FD points and is worth $4K on FD. On DK he is projected for 9.2 points and is worth +$287 more than $5K. Below are how he ranks based on projected fantasy points on both DFS platforms. Look for players with more FPs at lower salaries.
|FANDUEL (OF) 9/2 RANK||PROJECTION||SALARY|
|#7 Max Kepler||13.1 FD Points||$3600|
|#8 Thomas Pham||12.7 FD Points||$3600|
|#9 Marcell Ozuna||12.4 FD Points||$4000|
|#10 Nick Castellanos||12.3 FD Points||$3400|
|#11 Michael Brantley||12.1 FD Points||$4000|
|DRAFTKINGS (OF) 9/2 RANK||PROJECTION||SALARY|
|#5 Thomas Pham||9.6 DK Points||$4600|
|#6 Nick Castellanos||9.4 DK Points||$4300|
|#7 Marcell Ozuna||9.2 DK Points||$5000|
|#8 Corey Dickerson||9.2 DK Points||$4900|
|#9 Kevin Kiermaier||9 DK Points||$4000|
These projections power SportsLine's Computer Picks and Fantasy Data. But for contest winning DFS optimal lineups by top experts like Mike McClure visit SportsLine's new Daily Fantasy Hub.
REST OF SEASON OUTLOOK AND POSITION RANK
Expect Marcell Ozuna to be a reliable fantasy starter the rest of the season. His 78.7 projected fantasy points puts him at #11 behind Nick Castellanos and ahead of Ronald Acuna. He has averaged 2.92 fantasy points in his past 253 games, which is less than our projected per game average. He is projected to average 3.27 fantasy points. His rank based on avg proj (#17) is worse than his rank based on total fantasy points. He is slightly underrated if you compare his ownership based rank with his projection rank. At 99%, he is the #14 most highly owned outfielder. Marcell Ozuna is expected to improve on this season-to-date's #27 fantasy position rank.
|REST OF SEASON RANK (OF)||PROJECTION||FANTASY STATS SINCE 2018|
|#9 Yordan Alvarez (98% OWN)||80 FP, 3.59 per game||31 FP, 53 gp, 0.6 per game (#75)|
|#10 Nick Castellanos (99% OWN)||80 FP, 3.42 per game||468 FP, 157 gp, 2.98 per game (#19)|
|#11 Marcell Ozuna (99% OWN)||79 FP, 3.27 per game||395 FP, 148 gp, 2.67 per game (#32)|
|#12 Ronald Acuna (100% OWN)||78 FP, 3.42 per game||376 FP, 111 gp, 3.39 per game (#4)|
|#13 Max Kepler (99% OWN)||76 FP, 3.41 per game||388 FP, 156 gp, 2.49 per game (#51)|
WEEK 24 AND 25 FANTASY OUTLOOK
Marcell Ozuna is projected for 21.57 fantasy points in 6 games which is good enough to be the #11 ranked outfielder and a must start for most owners. This is projected to be a better than average week with more fantasy points per game than he is projected to average per game the rest of the season. He is ranked above Yordan Alvarez but behind George Springer. Week 25 is projected to be slightly better based on projected rank (#8). He is projected for 21.33 fantasy points.
|9/2 TO 9/8 RANK (OF)||PROJECTION||ROS FP PROJ AVG|
|#9 Rhys Hoskins||22.1 FP (93% ST)||3.19 FP|
|#10 George Springer||21.7 FP (95% ST)||3.78 FP|
|#11 Marcell Ozuna||21.6 FP (93% ST)||3.27 FP|
|#12 Yordan Alvarez||21 FP (94% ST)||3.59 FP|
|#13 Max Kepler||21 FP (90% ST)||3.41 FP|
|9/9 TO 9/15 RANK (OF)||PROJECTION||ROS FP PROJ AVG|
|#6 Nick Castellanos||21.6 FP (94% ST)||3.42 FP|
|#7 Mookie Betts||21.3 FP (96% ST)||3.8 FP|
|#8 Marcell Ozuna||21.3 FP (93% ST)||3.27 FP|
|#9 Aaron Judge||21.3 FP (97% ST)||3.29 FP|
|#10 Michael Brantley||21.1 FP (97% ST)||3.42 FP|
FANTASY PROJECTIONS AND ACTUAL STATS
The tables below show projected stats (totals and averages) for the rest of the season and upcoming weeks. Also included are actual stats from the current and last season.
|Rest of 2019||79||5.3||17.8||14.6||8.3||1.7|
|-- Per Game (24 Proj)||3.3||0.22||0.74||0.61||0.34||0.07|
|9/2 to 9/8 (6.5 Games)||21.6||1.4||4.9||4.0||2.1||0.46|
|9/9 to 9/15 (5.5 Games)||21.3||1.5||4.8||4.0||2.4||0.50|
|-- Per Game (105 GP)||3.3||0.23||0.73||0.65||0.43||0.11|
|2018 to 2019||738||47||165||137||83||16|
|-- Per Game (253 GP)||2.9||0.19||0.65||0.54||0.33||0.06|