Marquez is the #6 Most Expensive SP on DraftKings and is Projected to Be...

DAILY FANTASY VALUE

German Marquez is underrated on DraftKings with a projected 20.9 DK pts (#2 among pitchers). He is the #6 highest priced pitcher ($10000). Based on the projection, Marquez is worth $10.7K. Matt Boyd is also priced at $10000, and Marquez is a better option at this price. He is projected for more points than 4 higher priced options: Charlie Morton (18.7 FP), Trevor Bauer (20.9 FP), Patrick Corbin (20.7 FP), and Mike Minor (19.1 FP). Based on salary, he is expected to have 19.5 FPs, a value reached in 26 of 51 games (51%). The combined 'cover percentage' for pitchers expected to start is 46%.

  • 6/26 VEGAS LINE EXPECTATION: COL 4 (#25 Most Today) vs SF 3.5 (#29 Most)
  • PROJECTION (POS RANK): 20.9 Fantasy Points (#1), 0.37 wins (#11), 0.24 losses (#11 lowest), 6.23 strikeouts (#5), 6.8 innings (#1), 0.95 WHIP (#1), 2.87 ERA (#4),

FANDUEL VALUE: Projected for 37.2 FanDuel pts German Marquez is the #4 ranked pitcher. He is the #9 highest priced pitcher ($8600). Using our calculation of expected points per dollar, Marquez is worth $10K. Charlie Morton (34.3 FP), Jake Odorizzi (30.5 FP), James Paxton (34.9 FP), Matt Boyd (34.9 FP), and Mike Minor (34.9 FP) are all projected for fewer points than Marquez but have higher salaries. Based on salary, he is expected to have 32.1 FPs, a value reached in 28 of 51 games (55%). The combined 'cover percentage' for pitchers expected to start is 45%.

Marquez is in the SportsLine FanDuel optimal lineup based on the computer model's projection. SportsLine.com also offers premium optimal lineups from Mike McClure, a professional DFS player who has over $1 million in career winnings. He is not in the DraftKings optimal lineup but is.

WEEKLY FANTASY VALUE

His market rank based on start percentage among starting pitchers for the rest of week 14 is #18, which is better than his market rank of #25. When compared to other starting pitchers in week 15, Zack Greinke (4.7 FP), Cole Hamels (5.1 FP), Jake Arrieta (1.4 FP), James Paxton (3.6 FP), and Trevor Bauer (4.4 FP) are all projected for fewer points than Marquez but are starting in more leagues. Starting in 82% of leagues he is expected to produce 4 fantasy points (WK 15). At his start percentage, he is expected to be the #25 starting pitcher of week 15. He is projected to be better than that (the #14 starting pitcher). His per game projected FP average is 2.8 which is better than his actual per game average (1.5). In addition to a solid projected FP average, he will benefit from playing a projected 2 games.

He is projected for 5.6 fantasy points in week 15 (#14 SP) in 4 games.

Projected StatRelative StrengthWK OverallRelative Weakness
Fantasy Points 
5.55 (#14) 
Wins 
0.81 (#9) 
Losses 
 
0.45 (#126)
Quality Starts 
1.14 (#8) 
Strikeouts12.54 (#4) 
 
Innings12.9 (#1) 
 
Walks 
3.11 (#22) 

  • Based on 6/26 start percentages, German Marquez is valued behind Nola and above Lester and the projections agree for this week.
  • Jul 2Jul 3Jul 5Jul 6Jul 7
    0.9 FP vs HOU------4.6 FP @ARI

    German Marquez last five game log with fantasy points (CBS, FD, DK) and statline.

    OPPFANTASYSTATLINE
    6/21 @LAD9 FP, 49 FD, 29 DK8 IP, 1 ER, 8 K, 5 HA, 0 BBI
    6/15 vs SD-4 FP, 26 FD, 10 DK5.2 IP, 7 ER, 8 K, 10 HA, 4 BBI, LOSS
    6/10 vs CHC-2 FP, 27 FD, 15 DK6 IP, 4 ER, 7 K, 5 HA, 2 BBI
    6/5 @CHC-15 FP, 7 FD, 0 DK5.1 IP, 8 ER, 5 K, 7 HA, 1 BBI, LOSS
    5/31 vs TOR10 FP, 46 FD, 24 DK7 IP, 2 ER, 7 K, 6 HA, 3 BBI, WIN

    Make sure to visit Sportsline to for DFS and betting advice. We have picks on every game and line.

    REST OF SEASON VALUE

    Ranking by ownership percentage (97%), German Marquez is expected to be the #25 starting pitcher for the rest of the season. Based on the latest projections the market is overrating Marquez. The projections have him 12 spots lower in the rankings. Of the 9 97% owned starting pitchers, he is ranked #7. He is projected for 41 fantasy points in 16 remaining games. His projected average FP rank is the same as his rest of season total rank. The market ranks German Marquez behind Price and above Tanaka but the projections rank Tanaka over German Marquez.

    Lower Own%G. Marquez ROSHigher Own%
    C. Carrasco (45 FP)41 FPM. Bumgarner (13 FP)
    J. Odorizzi (48 FP)#25 Starting PitcherR. Ray (38 FP)
    C. Kluber (43 FP) 
     
    K. Hendricks (56 FP) 
     
    M. Tanaka (44 FP) 
     
    Projected StatRelative StrengthOverallRelative Weakness
    Fantasy Points 
    41 (#37) 
    Wins 
    6 (#42) 
    Losses 
     
    4 (#98)
    Quality Starts 
    9 (#29) 
    Strikeouts99 (#15) 
     
    Innings100 (#9) 
     
    Walks 
     
    23 (#91)
    ERA 
     
    3.6 (#60)
    WHIP1.12 (#26) 
     

    WEEKLY FANTASY RECAP

    He has averaged 1.9 fantasy points per week and had 7 weeks where he exceeded that by 50% and 6 'bad' weeks where he came up 50% short of his average.

    WeekFantasy Points (GP)Good WeekBad Week
    ALL1.9 FP per Week76
    Week 112.5 (1 games)+10.6
    Week 27.5 (1 games)+5.6
    Week 310.5 (2 games 5.2 per game)+8.6
    Week 4-6.5 (1 games)-8.4
    Week 50.5 (1 games)-1.4
    Week 6-8.5 (2 games -4.2 per game)-10.4
    Week 73.2 (1 games)+1.3
    Week 8-5.7 (1 games)-7.6
    Week 913.8 (2 games 6.9 per game)+11.9
    Week 109.5 (1 games)+7.6
    Week 11-15.2 (1 games)-17.1
    Week 12-5.8 (2 games -2.9 per game)-7.7
    Week 139 (1 games)+7.1

    DAILY FANTASY SEASON RECAP

    He averaged 33.5 FD points and 16 DK points per game. We looked at all of his games that were between the 10th and 90th percentile where the 10th percentile is his floor and the 90th is his ceiling. On DraftKings his floor was 0 and on FanDuel it was 19 fantasy points. He had a relatively high ceiling. On DraftKings it was 29 and on FanDuel it was 55 FPs. He has had an equal number of good (20% above average) and bad games (20% below) on FanDuel, but on DraftKings he has had more good than bad games. We are only including games where they were in the daily fantasy slate and played.

    GameFD Pts (Sal)Good or BadDK Pts (Sal)Good or Bad
    All33.5 ($8.6K)2 G, 2 B16 ($9.1K)4 G, 2 B
    6/21 @LAD49 ($7.6K)--29 ($9K)+13
    6/15 SD26 ($7K)--10.4 ($8.1K)--
    6/10 CHC27 ($7.5K)--15.3 ($8.7K)--
    6/5 @CHC7 ($9K)-26.50 ($10.3K)-16
    5/31 TOR46 ($7.5K)--24.3 ($9.5K)+8.3
    5/26 BAL19 ($8.2K)--9.4 ($9.2K)--
    5/21 @PIT55 ($8.2K)+21.533.6 ($9.2K)+17.6
    5/15 @BOS22 ($8.7K)--10.2 ($9K)--
    5/10 SD38 ($7.9K)--20.2 ($9.1K)--
    5/5 ARI30 ($8.4K)--16.1--
    4/30 @MIL27 ($9.5K)--16.2 ($9.7K)--
    4/24 WAS37 ($8.2K)--17.8 ($9K)--
    4/19 PHI24 ($8.5K)--10 ($8.5K)--
    4/14 @SF64 ($9.8K)+30.543.6+27.6
    4/9 ATL6 ($9.6K)-27.51.1 ($8.8K)-14.9
    4/3 @TB46 ($10K)--26.2+10.2
    3/29 @MIA46 ($9.8K)--25.9 ($9.2K)+9.9