Matt Carpenter is a Strong DFS Play and Sogard is One to Fade

Matt Carpenter

There are 2 other options at $2900 (Todd Frazier, Colin Moran) and Carpenter is the best option of these 3. Evan Longoria (7.8 FP), Mike Moustakas (9.7 FP), Josh Donaldson (10.3 FP), Justin Turner (9.8 FP), and Eduardo Escobar (10.1 FP) are all projected for fewer points than Carpenter but have higher salaries. Based on salary, he is expected to have 6.7 FPs, a value reached in 126 of 244 games (52%). The combined 'cover percentage' for third basemen expected to start is 39%.

Matt Carpenter is underrated on DraftKings with a projected 8.8 DK pts (#5 among third basemen). He is the #22 highest priced third baseman ($3800). Based on the projection, Carpenter is worth $4.7K. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is also priced at $3800, and Carpenter is a better option at this price. Evan Longoria (6.1 FP), Josh Donaldson (7.7 FP), Justin Turner (7.4 FP), Todd Frazier (5.8 FP), and Manny Machado (7.9 FP) are all projected for fewer points than Carpenter but have higher salaries. Based on salary, he is expected to have 7.2 FPs, a value reached in 102 of 244 games (42%). The combined 'cover percentage' for third basemen expected to start is 36%.

Yadier Molina and Kris Bryant are also good values on both FanDuel and DraftKings on 8/13.

Eric Sogard

Projected for 3.6 DraftKings pts Eric Sogard is the #49 ranked second baseman. At $5100 he is expected to be the #4 second baseman. Using our calculation of expected points per dollar, Sogard is worth $2K. These are 5 better options at lower salaries: Jonathan Villar (8.3 FP), Ian Kinsler (4.8 FP), Mike Moustakas (7.4 FP), Wilmer Flores (4.2 FP), and Dee Gordon (6.5 FP). Based on salary, he is expected to have 9.4 FPs, a value reached in 36 of 139 games (26%). The combined 'cover percentage' for second basemen expected to start is 36%.

Sogard is not the best option on FanDuel with a projected 4.7 FD pts (#39 among second basemen). At $3600 he is expected to be the #4 second baseman. At his projected points, he is worth a salary of $1.5K. There are 2 other options at $3600 (Ozzie Albies, Gleyber Torres) and Sogard is ranked #3 among the 3. These are 5 better options at lower salaries: Ian Kinsler (6.1 FP), Wilmer Flores (5.4 FP), Dee Gordon (8.1 FP), Starlin Castro (8.3 FP), and Jason Kipnis (7.1 FP). Based on salary, he is expected to have 11.2 FPs, a value reached in 39 of 139 games (28%). The combined 'cover percentage' for second basemen expected to start is 43%.

Christian Yelich and Fernando Tatis Jr. are also bad values on both FanDuel and DraftKings.

This information was last updated at 8/13/2019 7:46:00 AM. SportsLine has a Daily Fantasy Cheat Sheet and Optimal Lineups based on the latest computer projections. It also features lineups from DFS Millionaire, Mike McClure, visit SportsLine for more.

TODAY'S GAMES (AVG O/U 9.4) AND PROJECTED FANTASY LEADERS

ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS VS COLORADO ROCKIES O/U 12 (o-116, u-104)

  • Jon Gray (SP) 32 FD $6.5K, 16.6 DK $7.3K
  • Zac Gallen (SP) 27.6 FD $7K, 14.8 DK $7K
  • Trevor Story (SS) 13.7 FD $4.5K, 10.2 DK $5.6K
  • David Peralta (OF) 12 FD $3.8K, 9.3 DK $4.7K
  • Nolan Arenado (3B) 11.9 FD $4.4K, 8.8 DK $5.3K

CINCINNATI REDS VS WASHINGTON NATIONALS O/U 10.5 (o-110, u-110)

  • Joe Ross (SP) 28 FD $7.1K, 14 DK $5.5K
  • Alex Wood (SP) 26.5 FD $7.6K, 13.3 DK $8.2K
  • Anthony Rendon (3B) 13.8 FD $4.2K, 10.2 DK $5.1K
  • Eugenio Suarez (3B) 11.1 FD $4.2K, 8.4 DK $4.7K
  • Juan Soto (OF) 11 FD $4.1K, 8.3 DK $4.8K

CHICAGO CUBS VS PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES O/U 10 (o-113, u-107)

  • Jose Quintana (SP) 30.6 FD $8.9K, 16.2 DK $7.6K
  • Jason Vargas (SP) 22.6 FD $6.8K, 11.5 DK $6.9K
  • Kris Bryant (3B) 15.5 FD $3.8K, 11.6 DK $4.8K
  • Javier Baez (SS) 15.2 FD $4.2K, 11.4 DK $5.1K
  • Nick Castellanos (OF) 13 FD $3.5K, 9.9 DK $4.5K

BALTIMORE ORIOLES VS NEW YORK YANKEES O/U 10 (o-107, u-113)

  • Domingo German (SP) 36.1 FD $9.6K, 20.5 DK $10K
  • John Means (SP) 23.2 FD $6.1K, 12.2 DK $5.9K
  • Trey Mancini (C/1B FD, 1B DK) 12.9 FD $3.7K, 9.8 DK $4.4K
  • Gleyber Torres (2B) 12.6 FD $3.6K, 9.4 DK $4.4K
  • DJ LeMahieu (C/1B FD, 2B DK) 11.8 FD $4.3K, 9 DK $5K

MINNESOTA TWINS VS MILWAUKEE BREWERS O/U TBD (Sim Projects: 9.9)

  • Chase Anderson (SP) 26 FD $7.2K, 14.1 DK $5.8K
  • Martin Perez (SP) 26.1 FD $6.2K, 13.2 DK $5.6K
  • Christian Yelich (OF) 12.7 FD $4.7K, 9.7 DK $5.9K
  • Max Kepler (OF) 11.3 FD $4K, 8.4 DK $5.1K
  • Ryan Braun (OF) 10.9 FD $3.2K, 8.2 DK $4.7K

PITTSBURGH PIRATES VS LOS ANGELES ANGELS O/U 9.5 (o-114, u-106)

  • Trevor Williams (SP) 24 FD $7.5K, 11.4 DK $6K
  • Griffin Canning (SP) 23.5 FD $6.7K, 11.7 DK $7.8K
  • Mike Trout (OF) 14.3 FD $4.8K, 10.5 DK $5.8K
  • Starling Marte (OF) 13.7 FD $3.7K, 10.5 DK $4.7K
  • Josh Bell (C/1B FD, 1B DK) 13.5 FD $3.8K, 10.1 DK $4.6K

ST LOUIS CARDINALS VS KANSAS CITY ROYALS O/U 9.5 (o-107, u-113)

  • Jack Flaherty (SP) 32.2 FD $8.9K, 17.8 DK $9K
  • Glenn Sparkman (SP) 19.5 FD $5.9K, 8.9 DK $4.8K
  • Marcell Ozuna (OF) 14.3 FD $4.2K, 10.7 DK $4.9K
  • Paul Goldschmidt (C/1B FD, 1B DK) 12.4 FD $4.1K, 9.5 DK $4.4K
  • Paul DeJong (SS) 11.8 FD $3.6K, 8.9 DK $4.1K

NEW YORK METS VS ATLANTA BRAVES O/U 9.5 (o-103, u-117)

  • Zack Wheeler (SP) 31.9 FD $10.1K, 16.5 DK $9.4K
  • Max Fried (SP) 29.5 FD $8.4K, 15.3 DK $6.7K
  • Ronald Acuna (OF) 12.9 FD $4.5K, 9.8 DK $5.5K
  • Freddie Freeman (C/1B FD, 1B DK) 12.5 FD $4.4K, 9.3 DK $5.1K
  • Pete Alonso (C/1B FD, 1B DK) 11.3 FD $4K, 8.5 DK $5.2K

TEXAS RANGERS VS TORONTO BLUE JAYS O/U 9.5 (o-100, u-120)

  • Lance Lynn (SP) 37.5 FD $10.3K, 20.5 DK $11.3K
  • Thomas Pannone (SP) 22.4 FD $5.8K, 11.1 DK $4.6K
  • Danny Santana (C/1B FD, 1B DK) 11.9 FD $3.8K, 9.2 DK $4.9K
  • Willie Calhoun (OF) 10.6 FD $3.8K, 8 DK $4.8K
  • Shin-Soo Choo (OF) 10.5 FD $3.9K, 8 DK $4.6K

SEATTLE MARINERS VS DETROIT TIGERS O/U 9 (o-110, u-111)

  • Matt Boyd (SP) 36.7 FD $10.4K, 20.4 DK $10.3K
  • Yusei Kikuchi (SP) 22.9 FD $6.9K, 11.3 DK $5.3K
  • Daniel Vogelbach (C/1B FD, 1B DK) 11 FD $3.7K, 8.1 DK $3.8K
  • Mallex Smith (OF) 10.2 FD $2.9K, 7.9 DK $3.8K
  • Miguel Cabrera (C/1B FD, 1B DK) 10.1 FD $3K, 7.7 DK $3.7K

BOSTON RED SOX VS CLEVELAND INDIANS O/U 8.5 (o-101, u-119)

  • Chris Sale (SP) 36.6 FD $10.5K, 20.5 DK $10.7K
  • Michael Clevinger (SP) 34.8 FD $10.7K, 18.3 DK $10.9K
  • Mookie Betts (OF) 12.4 FD $4.1K, 9.3 DK $4.6K
  • Rafael Devers (3B) 11.6 FD $4K, 8.7 DK $4.8K
  • Jose Ramirez (3B) 11.3 FD $3.3K, 8.5 DK $4.4K

TAMPA BAY RAYS VS SAN DIEGO PADRES O/U 8 (o-114, u-107)

  • Brendan McKay (SP) 32.4 FD $8K, 18.7 DK $8.1K
  • Eric Lauer (SP) 25.6 FD $6.4K, 13 DK $6.2K
  • Thomas Pham (OF) 10.4 FD $3.7K, 8 DK $4.4K
  • Manny Machado (3B) 10.4 FD $3.9K, 7.9 DK $4.1K
  • Austin Meadows (OF) 9.7 FD $3.8K, 7.5 DK $4.9K

OAKLAND ATHLETICS VS SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS O/U 8 (o-106, u-114)

  • Madison Bumgarner (SP) 30.3 FD $8.6K, 15.5 DK $8.6K
  • Brett Anderson (SP) 25.6 FD $6.7K, 13 DK $6.4K
  • Matt Chapman (3B) 10.9 FD $3.6K, 8.4 DK $3.9K
  • Khris Davis (OF) 9.2 FD $2.8K, 6.9 DK $3.3K
  • Stephen Piscotty (OF) 9 FD $3.2K, 7 DK $3.5K

LOS ANGELES DODGERS VS MIAMI MARLINS O/U 8 (o-104, u-116)

  • Clayton Kershaw (SP) 40.7 FD $12K, 22.7 DK $11.8K
  • Jordan Yamamoto (SP) 25.9 FD $7.3K, 13.3 DK $6.8K
  • Cody Bellinger (OF) 12.5 FD $4.6K, 9.2 DK $5.4K
  • Max Muncy (2B FD, 1B DK) 11.4 FD $3.8K, 8.4 DK $4.7K
  • Joc Pederson (OF FD, 1B DK) 10.7 FD $3.1K, 7.9 DK $4.3K