McMahon is the #35 Most Expensive 1B on DraftKings and is Projected to Be...

DAILY FANTASY VALUE

Projected for 7.3 DraftKings pts Ryan McMahon is the #22 ranked first basemen. He is the #35 highest priced first basemen ($3900). At his projected points, he is worth a salary of $4.1K. There are 3 other options at $3900 (Ryan Zimmerman, Renato Nunez, Rowdy Tellez) and McMahon is ranked #2 among the 4. These are 3 better options at lower salaries: Joey Votto (8.3 FP), Jesus Aguilar (8.4 FP), and Yulieski Gurriel (8.4 FP). Howie Kendrick (5.7 FP), Neil Walker (5.4 FP), Jay Bruce (6.6 FP), Paul Goldschmidt (7.1 FP), and Matt Adams (7.2 FP) are all projected for fewer points than McMahon but have higher salaries. Based on salary, he is expected to have 6.9 FPs, a value reached in 38 of 156 games (24%). The combined 'cover percentage' for first basemen expected to start is 36%.

  • 6/26 VEGAS LINE EXPECTATION: COL 4 (#25 Most Today) vs SF 3.5 (#29 Most)
  • PROJECTION (POS RANK): 7.26 Fantasy Points (#20), 4.16 plate appearances (#9), 0.26 BA (#35), 0.759 OPS (#45), 0.14 HR (#31), 0.52 RBI (#24), 0.49 runs (#25), 0.02 stolen bases (#16),
Lower SalaryR. McMahonHigher Salary
J. Votto (8 FP)7 FPH. Kendrick (6 FP)
J. Aguilar (8 FP)#35 First BaseN. Walker (5 FP)
Y. Gurriel (8 FP) 
J. Bruce (7 FP)
 
 
P. Goldschmidt (7 FP)
 
 
M. Adams (7 FP)

FANDUEL VALUE: Ryan McMahon is underrated on FanDuel with a projected 9.5 FD pts (#13 among second basemen). He is the #16 highest priced second baseman ($2800). At his projected points, he is worth a salary of $3K. There are 3 other options at $2800 (Dee Gordon, Jonathan Schoop, Adam Frazier) and McMahon is ranked #2 among the 4. These are 3 better options at lower salaries: Ian Kinsler (9.6 FP), Robinson Cano (9.7 FP), and Rougned Odor (10.6 FP). Eric Sogard (5.7 FP), Jason Kipnis (7.8 FP), Cesar Hernandez (9.4 FP), Ketel Marte (9.4 FP), and Cavan Biggio (9.3 FP) are all projected for fewer points than McMahon but have higher salaries. Based on salary, he is expected to have 6.4 FPs, a value reached in 44 of 156 games (28%). The combined 'cover percentage' for second basemen expected to start is 43%.

McMahon is NOT in the SportsLine DraftKings optimal lineup or the FanDuel optimal lineup which are based on the computer model's projection. SportsLine.com also offers premium optimal lineups from Mike McClure, a professional DFS player who has over $1 million in career winnings. He uses his own proprietary model to find great DFS values and often differs from the computer in how a player is projected to play on a daily basis.

WEEKLY FANTASY VALUE

His market rank based on start percentage among 1B/DHs for the rest of week 14 is #32, which is less than his market rank of #28. Week 15 1B/DHs comparisons show these are 5 better options at lower start percentages: Albert Pujols (16.1 FP), Miguel Cabrera (16 FP), Kendrys Morales (13.2 FP), Neil Walker (12 FP), and Ryan Zimmerman (13.5 FP). Starting in 30% of leagues he is expected to produce 15.8 fantasy points (WK 15). At his start percentage, he is expected to be the #27 1B/DH of the week, but he is projected to be the #46 1B/DH. In terms of total fantasy points he projected to come up 4.1 short of expectations. Even though his per game projected FP average is not better than normal, he will benefit from playing a projected 5 games.

Lower Start%R. McMahon WK 15Higher Start%
A. Pujols (16 FP)12 FPC. Walker (7 FP)
M. Cabrera (16 FP)#27 Catcher 
K. Morales (13 FP) 
 
N. Walker (12 FP) 
 
R. Zimmerman (14 FP) 
 

He is projected for 11.7 fantasy points in week 15 (#46 1B/DH) in 5 games.

Projected StatRelative StrengthWK OverallRelative Weakness
Fantasy Points 
11.71 (#46) 
Avg 
0.25 (#40) 
OPS 
0.659 (#46) 
Home Runs 
0.7 (#44) 
Runs2.45 (#37) 
 
RBI2.66 (#37) 
 
Stolen Bases0.08 (#26) 
 

  • Based on 6/26 start percentages, Ryan McMahon is valued behind Walker and above Cabrera but the projections rank these players in reverse order in week 15.
  • Jul 2Jul 3Jul 5Jul 6Jul 7
    2.4 FP vs HOU2.2 FP vs HOU1.9 FP @ARI2.4 FP @ARI2.8 FP @ARI

    Ryan McMahon last five game log with fantasy points (CBS, FD, DK) and statline.

    OPPFANTASYSTATLINE
    6/25 @SF-2 FP, 0 FD, 0 DK0-4
    6/24 @SF-1 FP, 0 FD, 0 DK0-4
    6/23 @LAD2 FP, 10 FD, 7 DK1-3, 1 RBI, 1 BB
    6/22 @LAD0 FP, 0 FD, 0 DK0-5
    6/21 @LAD-2 FP, 0 FD, 0 DK0-3

    Make sure to visit Sportsline to for DFS and betting advice. We have picks on every game and line.

    REST OF SEASON VALUE

    As of 6/26, Ryan McMahon is the #28 ranked 1B/DH based on ownership percentage (49%). Ryan McMahon's market rank is better than our current projections indicate. His fantasy 1B/DH projection rank is #35. He is projected for more FPs than Christian Walker who has virtually the same market rank (49% Owned) as McMahon. He is projected for 190 fantasy points in 77 remaining games. He has a lower rank (#53) based on projected fantasy average. The market ranks Ryan McMahon behind Walker and above Cabrera but the projections rank these players in reverse order.

    Lower Own%R. McMahon ROSHigher Own%
    M. Cabrera (190 FP)190 FPC. Cron (188 FP)
    K. Morales (190 FP)#28 CatcherC. Walker (139 FP)
    R. Zimmerman (212 FP) 
     
    M. Adams (195 FP) 
     
    J. Aguilar (218 FP) 
     
    Projected StatRelative StrengthOverallRelative Weakness
    Fantasy Points 
    190 (#33) 
    Avg 
     
    0.249 (#44)
    OPS 
     
    0.746 (#50)
    Home Runs 
    11 (#34) 
    Runs 
    39 (#25) 
    RBI43 (#20) 
     
    Stolen Bases1 (#19) 
     
    Strikeouts 
     
    85 (#55)

    His value decreases in leagues where winning specific categories is important because he has more relative weaknesses than strengths.

    WEEKLY FANTASY RECAP

    He has averaged 10.7 fantasy points per week and had 6 weeks where he exceeded that by 50% and 5 'bad' weeks where he came up 50% short of his average.

    WeekFantasy Points (GP)Good WeekBad Week
    ALL10.7 FP per Week65
    Week 110.5 (4 games 2.6 per game)
    Week 2-0.5 (3 games -0.2 per game)-11.2
    Week 419.5 (4 games 4.9 per game)+8.8
    Week 510.5 (5 games 2.1 per game)
    Week 616.5 (7 games 2.4 per game)+5.8
    Week 73 (5 games 0.6 per game)-7.7
    Week 819 (4 games 4.8 per game)+8.3
    Week 95 (5 games 1 per game)-5.7
    Week 1017.5 (5 games 3.5 per game)+6.8
    Week 114 (4 games 1 per game)-6.7
    Week 1219 (7 games 2.7 per game)+8.3
    Week 1317.5 (6 games 2.9 per game)+6.8
    Week 14-3 (2 games -1.5 per game)-13.7

    DAILY FANTASY SEASON RECAP

    He averaged 9 FD points and 6.4 DK points per game. We looked at all of his games that were between the 10th and 90th percentile where the 10th percentile is his floor and the 90th is his ceiling. When he was bad in DFS, he was really bad with a floor of zero points. When he was good, he was very good with a DraftKings ceiling of 11 and 18.4 on FanDuel. He has had more bad FanDuel games (below average by 20%) than good games (20% above average), and the same was true on DraftKings. We are only including games where they were in the daily fantasy slate and played.

    GameFD Pts (Sal)Good or BadDK Pts (Sal)Good or Bad
    All9 ($3.1K)11 G, 22 B6.4 ($4.2K)10 G, 21 B
    6/25 @SF0 ($2.8K)-90 ($3.8K)-6.4
    6/24 @SF0 ($2.6K)-90 ($3.9K)-6.4
    6/23 @LAD9.5 ($2.6K)--7--
    6/22 @LAD0 ($2.6K)-90 ($3.5K)-6.4
    6/21 @LAD0 ($2.6K)-90 ($3.8K)-6.4
    6/20 @ARI15.7 ($2.6K)+6.711 ($3.8K)+4.6
    6/19 @ARI25.7 ($2.6K)+16.719 ($3.9K)+12.6
    6/18 @ARI16.2 ($2.7K)+7.211 ($3.9K)+4.6
    6/16 SD32.1 ($3.1K)+23.123+16.6
    6/15 SD15.5 ($3.1K)+6.513 ($3.9K)+6.6
    6/14 SD6 ($3.3K)--6 ($4.3K)--
    6/13 SD3--3--
    6/12 CHC0 ($3.3K)-90 ($3.7K)-6.4
    6/11 CHC3.2 ($3.4K)-5.82 ($4.3K)-4.4
    6/10 CHC9.5 ($3.3K)--8 ($4.2K)--
    6/9 @NYM3 ($2.8K)-62 ($3.7K)-4.4
    6/7 @NYM0 ($2.8K)-90 ($4K)-6.4
    6/5 @CHC6.5 ($2.8K)--5 ($4.1K)--
    6/4 @CHC9.2 ($2.7K)--7 ($3.8K)--
    6/2 TOR6.2 ($3.4K)--4 ($4.7K)--
    5/31 TOR0 ($3.4K)-90 ($4.7K)-6.4
    5/30 ARI37.4 ($3.3K)+28.428 ($4.5K)+21.6
    5/28 ARI13 ($3.2K)--9 ($4.4K)--
    5/27 ARI6--4--
    5/26 BAL3 ($3.3K)-62 ($4.9K)-4.4
    5/25 BAL0 ($3.4K)-90 ($4.6K)-6.4
    5/24 BAL6.2 ($3.4K)--5 ($4.8K)--
    5/23 @PIT6.2 ($3K)--4 ($4.4K)--
    5/21 @PIT6.2 ($2.8K)--5 ($4.3K)--
    5/19 @PHI37.4 ($2.5K)+28.428 ($3.9K)+21.6
    5/18 @PHI9.5 ($2.6K)--7 ($4K)--
    5/15 @BOS12.2 ($2.5K)--10 ($3.9K)+3.6
    5/14 @BOS3 ($2.5K)-62 ($3.8K)-4.4
    5/12 SD15.7 ($3.3K)+6.712+5.6
    5/11 SD0 ($3.5K)-90 ($4.1K)-6.4
    5/10 SD0 ($3.7K)-90 ($4.4K)-6.4
    5/9 SF0 ($3.7K)-90 ($4.5K)-6.4
    5/7 SF0 ($3.8K)-90 ($4.3K)-6.4
    5/5 ARI12.7 ($3.8K)--10+3.6
    5/4 ARI0 ($3.8K)-90 ($4.1K)-6.4
    5/3 ARI28.4 ($3.8K)+19.421 ($4K)+14.6
    5/2 @MIL6.2 ($3.2K)--4 ($3.7K)--
    5/1 @MIL12.2 ($3.3K)--9 ($4.3K)--
    4/30 @MIL0 ($3.2K)-90 ($4.3K)-6.4
    4/29 @MIL3 ($3.2K)-62 ($4.3K)-4.4
    4/27 @ATL9.7 ($3K)--7 ($4.2K)--
    4/26 @ATL10 ($3.1K)--7 ($4.2K)--
    4/24 WAS9.2 ($3.6K)--7 ($4.3K)--
    4/23 WAS9.2 ($3.5K)--8 ($4.3K)--
    4/22 WAS6.5 ($3.4K)--5 ($4.5K)--
    4/21 PHI6.2 ($3.5K)--4 ($4.4K)--
    4/20 PHI6 ($3.8K)--5 ($4.5K)--
    4/19 PHI9 ($3.1K)--5 ($4.3K)--
    4/18 PHI50.9 ($3.2K)+41.937 ($4.3K)+30.6
    4/5 LAD6 ($3.4K)--4--
    4/3 @TB0 ($2.4K)-90-6.4
    4/1 @TB0 ($2.6K)-90 ($4K)-6.4
    3/31 @MIA3 ($2.4K)-63 ($4.1K)-3.4
    3/30 @MIA6 ($2.4K)--6--
    3/29 @MIA18.4 ($2.4K)+9.413 ($3.9K)+6.6
    3/28 @MIA9.7 ($2.4K)--7 ($3.4K)--