Miles Mikolas is Projected to Be an Elite Fantasy Player in 2019 (#16 SP)

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2019 FANTASY OUTLOOK AND PROJECTION: LOOKING GOOD

Miles Mikolas is projected to be a must start starting pitcher next season. His projected position rank based on season total fantasy points is #16 (at SP). In 2018, he was owned in 95 percent of leagues and it will be at least this high next season as well. He is projected to average 3.73 fantasy points per game in 30 games. His projected rank for the upcoming season is down from where he finished last season.

SP RankPlayerProj FPProj Stats
#14Zack Greinke115.115-9 WL, 191 IP, 193 K, 48, 3.47 ERA, 1.14 WHIP
#15Luis Severino114.816-9 WL, 190 IP, 215 K, 55, 3.51 ERA, 1.21 WHIP
#16Miles Mikolas111.814-6 WL, 181 IP, 150 K, 32, 3.14 ERA, 1.13 WHIP
#17Stephen Strasburg108.113-9 WL, 172 IP, 193 K, 51, 3.11 ERA, 1.19 WHIP
#18Robbie Ray106.512-4 WL, 166 IP, 200 K, 64, 3.30 ERA, 1.20 WHIP

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SEASON FANTASY RECAP AND TREND

Miles Mikolas was the number #21 ranked SP. His elite ranking was helped by his higher games played (34). Based on average fantasy points he is the #27 SP. We split his 34 games into 3 segments (start, middle, and end). His production dropped throughout the season. In his first 11 games he averaged 6 FPs and that declined to 5.1 in his final 12 games. Based on a relatively low standard deviation, Mikolas can be considered a consistent fantasy player. He averaged 4.5 FPs, but on any given day his projected ceiling is as high as 18 fantasy points.

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WEEKLY FANTASY RECAP

He has averaged 5.9 fantasy points per week and had 10 weeks where he exceeded that by 50% and 8 'bad' weeks where he came up 50% short of his average.

WeekFantasy Points (GP)Good WeekBad Week
ALL5.9 FP per Week108
Week 24.2 (1 games)
Week 38.8 (2 games 4.4 per game)
Week 414 (1 games)+8.1
Week 54.5 (1 games)
Week 612 (2 games 6 per game)+6.1
Week 711.7 (1 games)+5.7
Week 8-5.3 (1 games)-11.3
Week 916 (2 games 8 per game)+10.1
Week 10-4 (1 games)-9.9
Week 1115.5 (1 games)+9.6
Week 12-2.5 (1 games)-8.4
Week 136.7 (2 games 3.3 per game)
Week 14-4.2 (1 games)-10.1
Week 154.5 (1 games)
Week 166 (2 games 3 per game)
Week 17-2 (1 games)-7.9
Week 188 (1 games)
Week 193 (1 games)
Week 2010.5 (1 games)+4.6
Week 2112.5 (2 games 6.2 per game)+6.6
Week 22-9.8 (2 games -4.9 per game)-15.8
Week 23-8.5 (1 games)-14.4
Week 24-1.3 (1 games)-7.3
Week 2513.5 (1 games)+7.6
Week 2625 (2 games 12.5 per game)+19.1
Week 2716 (1 games)+10.1

DAILY FANTASY SEASON RECAP

He averaged 33.2 FD points and 17.7 DK points per game. We looked at all of his games that were between the 10th and 90th percentile where the 10th percentile is his floor and the 90th is his ceiling. On DraftKings his floor was 1.3 and on FanDuel it was 9 fantasy points. He did not have a high ceiling (less than +50% over average). On Draftkings it was 26.8 and on FanDuel it was 46 FPs. He has had an equal number of good (20% above average) and bad games (20% below) on FanDuel, but on DraftKings he has had more good than bad games. We are only including games where they were in the daily fantasy slate and played.

GameFD Pts (Sal)Good or BadDK Pts (Sal)Good or Bad
All33.2 ($7.6K)2 G, 2 B17.7 ($8.4K)4 G, 3 B
9/29 @CHC52 ($8.5K)+18.831 ($9.1K)+13.3
9/23 SF52 ($7.8K)+18.832.6 ($8.7K)+14.9
9/17 @ATL33 ($7.3K)--19.6 ($8.6K)--
9/11 PIT49 ($7.1K)--28.2 ($7.6K)+10.5
9/5 @WAS20 ($7.2K)--7.8 ($8.2K)-9.9
8/29 PIT24 ($7.4K)--11.8 ($7.1K)--
8/24 @COL11 ($7.6K)-22.21.3 ($7.1K)-16.4
8/21 @LAD0--0--
8/18 MIL46 ($8.4K)--25.9 ($8.3K)--
8/13 WAS21 ($7.8K)--12.8 ($8K)--
8/7 @MIA28 ($8.3K)--14.8 ($9K)--
8/2 COL40 ($7.8K)--20.4 ($9.1K)--
7/28 CHC28 ($8K)--13.3 ($8K)--
7/22 @CHC27 ($8.3K)--14.4 ($8.3K)--
7/15 CIN9 ($8.7K)-24.21.6 ($10.2K)-16.1
7/10 @CHW40 ($8.6K)--23.1 ($9.9K)--
7/4 @ARI31 ($8.2K)--12.9 ($9.5K)--
6/29 ATL23 ($8.4K)--9.4 ($9.3K)--
6/23 @MIL39 ($8.6K)--21.4 ($9.4K)--
6/18 @PHI12--5.1--
6/12 SD28--13.9--
6/7 MIA46--27.4--
6/1 PIT25--10.7--
5/27 @PIT21--11.9--
5/21 KC64--41.2--
5/16 @MIN14--5.1--
5/10 @SD39 ($8.5K)--21.4 ($10.2K)--
5/6 CHC0--0--
5/4 CHC43 ($7.4K)--23.6 ($8K)--
4/27 @PIT40 ($6.7K)--21.5 ($7.6K)--
4/22 CIN46 ($6.4K)--26.8 ($7.1K)+9.1
4/14 @CIN40 ($6K)--22.2 ($7.3K)--
4/9 MIL22 ($6K)--11.4 ($7.3K)--
4/2 @MIL26 ($5.5K)--14.6 ($6.8K)--
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