MLB 2020 Futures: Off-Season Edition

There is a small 2.2% gap between the Astros and the Yankees. The New York Yankees at 28% trail the Houston Astros at 30.3%. The gap seems to be widening. The Yankees chances are down from 29.6 percent. As far as teams fighting for the final playoff spots go, there is a very small difference in projected wins between the teams with the #5 best record and the team with the #6 best record. There are 6 teams with at least a four percent chance of winning the AL.

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AL FUTURESPROJ WINSWIN DIVPLAYOFFWIN AL ODDSWIN AL SIM
Houston Astros101.681.9%93.7%7/2 (22.2%)30.3%
New York Yankees98.957.0%86.5%5/4 (44.4%)28.0%
Minnesota Twins94.964.5%77.2%9/1 (10%)14.3%
Tampa Bay Rays94.429.3%70.3%12/1 (7.7%)10.5%
Oakland Athletics90.315.2%50.0%12/1 (7.7%)6.1%
Cleveland Indians90.032.8%52.4%12/1 (7.7%)5.5%
Boston Red Sox90.113.6%47.8%12/1 (7.7%)3.9%
Los Angeles Angels81.52.3%12.1%15/1 (6.2%)0.9%
Chicago White Sox77.22.4%5.3%20/1 (4.8%)0.3%
Seattle Mariners75.50.5%2.9%250/1 (0.4%)0.2%
Texas Rangers70.50.1%0.8%25/1 (3.8%)--
Kansas City Royals69.00.2%0.5%250/1 (0.4%)--
Toronto Blue Jays67.50.1%0.3%50/1 (2%)--
Baltimore Orioles58.80.1%0.1%500/1 (0.2%)--
Detroit Tigers51.80.1%0.1%500/1 (0.2%)--

There is a huge 35.3% gap between NL leaders. The Los Angeles Dodgers lead with a 46.7 percent chance of winning the NL and the Chicago Cubs are at 11.4%. The gap seems to be widening. The Cubs chances are down from 16.7 percent. As far as teams fighting for the final playoff spots go, there is a very small difference in projected wins between the teams with the #4 best record and the team with the #6 best record. This is a wide open league with 8 teams having at least a four percent chance of winning.

NL FUTURES PROJ WINSWIN DIVPLAYOFFWIN NL ODDSWIN NL SIM
Los Angeles Dodgers108.697.9%99.8%9/4 (30.8%)46.7%
Chicago Cubs89.847.7%69.9%15/1 (6.2%)11.4%
Atlanta Braves86.236.0%53.6%5/1 (16.7%)8.7%
Milwaukee Brewers85.322.6%45.4%20/1 (4.8%)7.3%
St Louis Cardinals85.926.3%49.9%6/1 (14.3%)7.2%
Washington Nationals85.531.2%48.1%7/1 (12.5%)6.7%
Arizona Diamondbacks85.51.9%47.6%20/1 (4.8%)5.0%
New York Mets84.426.8%43.6%7/1 (12.5%)4.8%
Philadelphia Phillies76.55.8%12.1%9/1 (10%)1.0%
Cincinnati Reds75.63.2%9.4%15/1 (6.2%)0.5%
Colorado Rockies75.10.1%7.7%50/1 (2%)0.2%
San Francisco Giants74.90.1%7.2%150/1 (0.7%)0.2%
San Diego Padres72.80.1%4.4%25/1 (3.8%)0.2%
Pittsburgh Pirates66.80.3%0.8%100/1 (1%)--
Miami Marlins64.90.2%0.6%500/1 (0.2%)--

Below are the latest MLB Futures for winning the World Series. At #2, the Yankees have a 16 percent chance of winning the World Series, which is 14 percentage points behind the Dodgers. The separation between the team with the #10 highest chances vs the #12 highest is 0.6 percentage points.

WS CONTENDERSODDSODDS%SIM%TREND
Los Angeles Dodgers6/114.3%30.6%--
New York Yankees3/125.0%16.3%--
Houston Astros8/111.1%14.9%--
Minnesota Twins20/14.8%6.1%--
Chicago Cubs30/13.2%5.3%--
Tampa Bay Rays25/13.8%4.9%--
Atlanta Braves12/17.7%3.3%--
Milwaukee Brewers40/12.4%2.8%--
Oakland Athletics25/13.8%2.7%--
Washington Nationals16/15.9%2.7%--
St Louis Cardinals14/16.7%2.6%--
Arizona Diamondbacks40/12.4%2.1%--
Cleveland Indians25/13.8%1.8%--
New York Mets16/15.9%1.7%--
Boston Red Sox25/13.8%1.3%--