MLB Computer Power Ranking: Astros Take Over Top Spot From Dodgers

1HOUSTON ASTROS (77-41, 65.3%): Winning 67% of Neutral Field Simulations
Projected Record: 108-54

Computer simulations give them a 44.6% chance of winning the AL with Vegas odds at 5/8. They have a 28.1 percent chance of winning the World Series (Odds 2/1). Their chances are up significantly since 7/17 where they were at 12%.

2LOS ANGELES DODGERS (79-41, 65.8%): Winning 66% of Neutral Field Simulations
Projected Record: 106-56

Their current odds of winning the NL are 5/9 and in simulations they win the conference 46.2% of the time. They have a 27.4% chance of winning the World Series with Vegas odds at 5/2. Their chances have dropped since 7/27 when they were at 32.7 percent.

3NEW YORK YANKEES (79-41, 65.8%): Winning 61% of Neutral Field Simulations
Projected Record: 103-59

They have a 24.4 percent chance of reaching the World Series (Odds stand at 11/4). The odds of them winning the World Series are 6/1 and they win it all in 11.3 percent of our latest simulations. Their chances are down from 16.6% on July 25.

4CLEVELAND INDIANS (72-47, 60.5%): Winning 60% of Neutral Field Simulations
Projected Record: 99-63

Computer simulations give them a 13.8% chance of winning the AL with Vegas odds at 7/1. They have a 6 percent chance of winning the World Series (Odds 16/1). Their chances are up significantly from 2.3% on 7/14. While the odds are still in their favor, there is a 8 percent chance that they slide out of the playoffs. Their power ranking is up 9 spots since 6/14.

5MINNESOTA TWINS (71-47, 60.2%): Winning 58% of Neutral Field Simulations
Projected Record: 98-64

Computer simulations give them a 10.8% chance of winning the AL with Vegas odds at 9/1. They have a 4.3 percent chance of winning the World Series (Odds 18/1). Their chances have dropped since 8/2 when they were at 6.4 percent. While the odds are still in their favor, there is a 10 percent chance that they slide out of the playoffs. Their power ranking is up 4 spots since 7/16.

6ATLANTA BRAVES (70-50, 58.3%): Winning 56% of Neutral Field Simulations
Projected Record: 92-70

Their current odds of winning the NL are 9/2 and in simulations they win the conference 12.9% of the time. They have a 5.2% chance of winning the World Series with Vegas odds at 10/1. Their chances have dropped since 8/3 when they were at 7.6 percent. Their power ranking is up 4 spots since 6/14.

7CHICAGO CUBS (64-54, 54.2%): Winning 56% of Neutral Field Simulations
Projected Record: 89-73

They have a 19.3 percent chance of reaching the World Series (Odds stand at 7/1). They have a 7.4 percent chance of winning the World Series (Odds 10/1). Their chances are up significantly since 7/28 where they were at 3.5%. While the odds are still in their favor, there is a 15 percent chance that they slide out of the playoffs. Their power ranking is up 5 spots since 7/22.

8OAKLAND ATHLETICS (67-51, 56.8%): Winning 56% of Neutral Field Simulations
Projected Record: 94-68

Computer simulations give them a 2.2% chance of winning the AL with Vegas odds at 20/1. They have a 1% chance of winning the World Series with Vegas odds at 40/1. Their chances are down from 5.2% on July 18. Their power ranking is up 5 spots since 6/24.

9TAMPA BAY RAYS (70-50, 58.3%): Winning 56% of Neutral Field Simulations
Projected Record: 95-67

They have a 4.1 percent chance of reaching the World Series (Odds stand at 12/1). The odds of them winning the World Series are 25/1 and they win it all in 1.6 percent of our latest simulations. Their chances are down from 4.6% on July 16. While the odds are still in their favor, there is a 38 percent chance that they slide out of the playoffs. Their power ranking is down 5 spots since 6/15.

10WASHINGTON NATIONALS (63-55, 53.4%): Winning 55% of Neutral Field Simulations
Projected Record: 89-73

Their current odds of winning the NL are 20/1 and in simulations they win the conference 9.2% of the time. The odds of them winning the World Series are 40/1 and they win it all in 3.3 percent of our latest simulations. Their chances are down from 5.1% on July 14. While the odds are still in their favor, there is a 25 percent chance that they slide out of the playoffs. Their power ranking is up 5 spots since 6/17.

11MILWAUKEE BREWERS (62-57, 52.1%): Winning 54% of Neutral Field Simulations
Projected Record: 85-77

Computer simulations give them a 6.9% chance of winning the NL with Vegas odds at 15/1. The odds of them winning the World Series are 30/1 and they win it all in 2.7 percent of our latest simulations. Their chances are down from 5.5% on July 22. Their power ranking is down 5 spots since 6/17.

12BOSTON RED SOX (62-59, 51.2%): Winning 54% of Neutral Field Simulations
Projected Record: 85-77

On 4/1 their projected win total was up to 92 wins. Their power ranking is down 8 spots since 6/24.

13NEW YORK METS (61-57, 51.7%): Winning 51% of Neutral Field Simulations
Projected Record: 83-79

Their playoff chances currently stand at 23 percent. This is a big jump from the 1% chance they had back on 7/25. When they make the playoffs, it is as a wild card 89% of the time. Their power ranking is up 8 spots since 7/8.

14PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES (60-58, 50.8%): Winning 51% of Neutral Field Simulations
Projected Record: 82-80

They have a 16% chance of making the playoffs. Their chances are down from 40% back on 8/6. They make the playoffs as the NL EAST champ in 7.3% of their simulations where they make the playoffs.

15ARIZONA D-BACKS (60-59, 50.4%): Winning 51% of Neutral Field Simulations
Projected Record: 82-80

They have a 15% chance of making the playoffs. Their chances are down from 40% back on 7/18. Their power ranking is down 4 spots since 6/14.

16ST. LOUIS CARDINALS (61-55, 52.6%): Winning 51% of Neutral Field Simulations
Projected Record: 84-78

They have a 38% chance of making the playoffs. Their chances are down from 65% back on 7/31. Their power ranking is down 3 spots since 7/27.

17SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS (59-60, 49.6%): Winning 49% of Neutral Field Simulations
Projected Record: 79-83

Their projection is up from 71 win on July 14. Their current chances of making the playoffs are 2.8 percent. Their power ranking is up 10 spots since 6/25.

18CINCINNATI REDS (56-61, 47.9%): Winning 48% of Neutral Field Simulations
Projected Record: 77-85

Their projection is up from 73 win on July 20. Their current chances of making the playoffs are 1.1 percent. Their power ranking is up 5 spots since 7/20.

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19SAN DIEGO PADRES (55-63, 46.6%): Winning 48% of Neutral Field Simulations
Projected Record: 74-88

Their projected win total is down since 3/12 when it was at 72. Their power ranking is up 3 spots since 7/16.

20TEXAS RANGERS (59-59, 50%): Winning 47% of Neutral Field Simulations
Projected Record: 79-83

On 3/24 their projected win total was up to 85 wins. Their power ranking is down 6 spots since 7/1.

21COLORADO ROCKIES (53-66, 44.5%): Winning 47% of Neutral Field Simulations
Projected Record: 73-89

Their projected win total is down from 81 wins on July 15. Their power ranking is down 11 spots since 7/1.

22LOS ANGELES ANGELS (58-62, 48.3%): Winning 46% of Neutral Field Simulations
Projected Record: 75-87

On 3/24 their projected win total was up to 85 wins. Their power ranking is down 8 spots since 7/29.

23PITTSBURGH PIRATES (49-69, 41.5%): Winning 43% of Neutral Field Simulations
Projected Record: 68-94

Their projected win total is down from 77 wins on July 14. Their power ranking is down 5 spots since 7/5.

24TORONTO BLUE JAYS (50-72, 41%): Winning 43% of Neutral Field Simulations
Projected Record: 69-93

Their projection is up from 62 win on July 29. Their power ranking is up 4 spots since 6/14.

25CHICAGO WHITE SOX (52-64, 44.8%): Winning 41% of Neutral Field Simulations
Projected Record: 71-91

Their projection is up from 67 win on August 2. Their power ranking is up 3 spots since 7/22.

26KANSAS CITY ROYALS (43-76, 36.1%): Winning 41% of Neutral Field Simulations
Projected Record: 62-100

Their projected win total is down from 66 wins on July 25.

27SEATTLE MARINERS (48-71, 40.3%): Winning 40% of Neutral Field Simulations
Projected Record: 66-96

On 3/10 their projected win total was up to 71 wins. Their power ranking is down 4 spots since 6/14.

28MIAMI MARLINS (44-73, 37.6%): Winning 39% of Neutral Field Simulations
Projected Record: 61-101

Their projected win total is down from 66 wins on July 19. Their power ranking is down 4 spots since 6/25.

29BALTIMORE ORIOLES (39-80, 32.8%): Winning 34% of Neutral Field Simulations
Projected Record: 54-108

On 2/25 their projected win total was up to 58 wins.

30DETROIT TIGERS (35-80, 30.4%): Winning 29% of Neutral Field Simulations
Projected Record: 48-114

Their projected win total is down from 53 wins on July 14.