MLB Computer Power Ranking: New York Yankees Up to #3

1HOUSTON ASTROS (99-53, 65.1%): Winning 67% of Neutral Field Simulations
Projected Record: 106-56

They are a good bet to win the championship (31.5 percent chance). Current Odds are 11/4, 26.7%. Their pre-season futures line was 96.5 wins so they have hit the over. Based on wins per simulation they are projected to have the best record in the AL. Based on money line odds their expected record at this point of the season is 96.4-55.6. At 99-53 they ahead of expectations.

Sportsline.com uses these situations where a team's power ranking is not in line with what oddsmakers and the public think to find great values against the money line and run line.

2LOS ANGELES DODGERS (98-54, 64.5%): Winning 65% of Neutral Field Simulations
Projected Record: 105-57

If futures lines were not heavily juiced, the Dodgers would be a good betting value. Their 25.4% chance to win the World Series (based on simulations) is #2 in the league. Current Odds are 5/2, 28.6%. Their pre-season futures line was 92.5 wins so they have hit the over. Based on wins per simulation they are projected to have the best record in the NL. Based on money line odds their expected record at this point of the season is 92.9-59.1. At 98-54 they are in line with these expectations.

3NEW YORK YANKEES (99-53, 65.1%): Winning 62% of Neutral Field Simulations
Projected Record: 105-57

Our projection recommends not betting on them to win it all. Their 12.5% chance is #3 in the league. Current Odds are 3/1, 25%. Their pre-season futures line was 97 wins so they have hit the over. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #2 in the AL. Based on money line odds their expected record at this point of the season is 88.8-63.2. They are ahead of expectations with their 99-53 record.

4ATLANTA BRAVES (93-59, 61.2%): Winning 59% of Neutral Field Simulations
Projected Record: 99-63

They are not a good bet to win the World Series. Their 7.9% chance is #4 in the league. Current Odds are 9/1, 10%. Their pre-season futures line was 86 wins so they have hit the over. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #2 in the NL. Based on money line odds their expected record at this point of the season is 82.2-69.8. They are ahead of expectations with their 93-59 record.

5MINNESOTA TWINS (93-58, 61.6%): Winning 59% of Neutral Field Simulations
Projected Record: 101-61

If futures lines were not heavily juiced, the Twins would be a good betting value. Their 6.4% chance to win the World Series (based on simulations) is #5 in the league. Current Odds are 12/1, 7.7%. Their pre-season futures line was 84 wins so they have hit the over. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #3 in the AL. Based on money line odds their expected record at this point of the season is 83.1-67.9. At 93-58 they are in line with these expectations.

6CLEVELAND INDIANS (88-63, 58.3%): Winning 57% of Neutral Field Simulations
Projected Record: 95-67

They are not a good bet to win the World Series. Their 1.3% chance is #11 in the league. Current Odds are 50/1, 2%. They are projected to win 95 games and go over their pre-season futures line of 91. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #5 in the AL. After 151 games, their expected win percentage is 57% based on the money line odds. At 88-63 they are in line with these expectations.

7OAKLAND ATHLETICS (91-61, 59.9%): Winning 57% of Neutral Field Simulations
Projected Record: 98-64

Our projection recommends not betting on them to win it all. Their 1.8% chance is #9 in the league. Current Odds are 30/1, 3.2%. Their pre-season futures line was 81.5 wins so they have hit the over. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #4 in the AL. After 152 games, their expected win percentage is 52% based on the money line odds. They are ahead of expectations with their 91-61 record.

8TAMPA BAY RAYS (89-63, 58.6%): Winning 57% of Neutral Field Simulations
Projected Record: 94-68

Our projection recommends not betting on them to win it all. Their 1.2% chance is #12 in the league. Current Odds are 40/1, 2.4%. Their pre-season futures line was 84.5 wins so they have hit the over. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #6 in the AL. Based on money line odds their expected record at this point of the season is 87.9-64.1. At 89-63 they are in line with these expectations.

9BOSTON RED SOX (79-71, 52.7%): Winning 57% of Neutral Field Simulations
Projected Record: 86-76

They are projected to win 86 games and come in under their pre-season futures line of 93.5. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #7 in the AL. In simulations, they have been eliminated from playoff contention. They were a -600 'favorite' to make the playoffs in the preseason. After 150 games, their expected win percentage is 58% based on the money line odds. At 79-71 they short of expectations.

10WASHINGTON NATIONALS (83-67, 55.3%): Winning 56% of Neutral Field Simulations
Projected Record: 90-72

They are not a good bet to win the World Series. Their 2.9% chance is #8 in the league. Current Odds are 20/1, 4.8%. They are projected to win 90 games and go over their pre-season futures line of 89. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #3 in the NL. Based on money line odds their expected record at this point of the season is 82.4-67.6. They are ahead of expectations with their 83-67 record.

11ST. LOUIS CARDINALS (84-67, 55.6%): Winning 56% of Neutral Field Simulations
Projected Record: 90-72

Their 4.6% chance is #6 in the league which is not high enough to be a good bet. Current Odds are 16/1, 5.9%. They are projected to win 90 games and go over their pre-season futures line of 88.5. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #4 in the NL. After 151 games, their expected win percentage is 53% based on the money line odds. They are ahead of expectations with their 84-67 record.

12CHICAGO CUBS (82-69, 54.3%): Winning 56% of Neutral Field Simulations
Projected Record: 88-74

Their simulation based win percentage (2.9%) is not better than their odds implied probability but it would be if not for the juice on the lines. Current Odds are 30/1, 3.2%. They are projected to win 88 games and live up to their pre-season futures line of 87.5. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #6 in the NL. After 151 games, their expected win percentage is 55% based on the money line odds. At 82-69 they are in line with these expectations.

13MILWAUKEE BREWERS (82-69, 54.3%): Winning 53% of Neutral Field Simulations
Projected Record: 89-73

Their 1.6% chance is #10 in the league which is not high enough to be a good bet. Current Odds are 40/1, 2.4%. They are projected to win 89 games and go over their pre-season futures line of 86.5. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #5 in the NL. Based on money line odds their expected record at this point of the season is 79.1-71.9. At 82-69 they are in line with these expectations.

14NEW YORK METS (78-73, 51.7%): Winning 53% of Neutral Field Simulations
Projected Record: 85-77

While not completely impossible, their chances of winning the World Series is under 0.1 percent. Current Odds are 100/1, 1%. They are projected to win 85 games and come in under their pre-season futures line of 85.5. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #7 in the NL. Based on money line odds their expected record at this point of the season is 80.1-70.9. At 78-73 they are in line with these expectations.

15PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES (77-72, 51.7%): Winning 52% of Neutral Field Simulations
Projected Record: 83-79

They do not have any real chance to win the championship. Current Odds are 300/1, 0.3%. They are projected to win 83 games and come in under their pre-season futures line of 89. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #8 in the NL. Based on money line odds their expected record at this point of the season is 76.9-72.1. At 77-72 they are in line with these expectations.

16ARIZONA D-BACKS (77-75, 50.7%): Winning 51% of Neutral Field Simulations
Projected Record: 83-79

Their pre-season futures line was 75.5 wins so they have hit the over. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #9 in the NL. Their playoff chances are under 1%. Based on money line odds their expected record at this point of the season is 74.5-77.5. At 77-75 they are in line with these expectations.

17TEXAS RANGERS (74-78, 48.7%): Winning 50% of Neutral Field Simulations
Projected Record: 78-84

Their pre-season futures line was 71 wins so they have hit the over. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #8 in the AL. In simulations, they have been eliminated from playoff contention. They were a +2000 'underdog' to make the playoffs in the preseason. After 152 games, their expected win percentage is 45% based on the money line odds. At 74-78 they are in line with these expectations.

18SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS (73-78, 48.3%): Winning 48% of Neutral Field Simulations
Projected Record: 78-84

They are projected to win 78 games and go over their pre-season futures line of 73.5. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #10 in the NL. In simulations, they have been eliminated from playoff contention. They were a +900 'underdog' to make the playoffs in the preseason. Based on money line odds their expected record at this point of the season is 67.8-83.2. At 73-78 they ahead of expectations.

19CINCINNATI REDS (71-81, 46.7%): Winning 46% of Neutral Field Simulations
Projected Record: 76-86

They are projected to win 76 games and come in under their pre-season futures line of 79. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #11 in the NL. In simulations, they have been eliminated from playoff contention. They were a +425 'underdog' to make the playoffs in the preseason. Based on money line odds their expected record at this point of the season is 74.7-77.3. At 71-81 they are in line with these expectations.

20SAN DIEGO PADRES (68-83, 45%): Winning 46% of Neutral Field Simulations
Projected Record: 72-90

They are projected to win 72 games and come in under their pre-season futures line of 78.5. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #12 in the NL. In simulations, they have been eliminated from playoff contention. They were a +500 'underdog' to make the playoffs in the preseason. After 151 games, their expected win percentage is 49% based on the money line odds. At 68-83 they are in line with these expectations.

21PITTSBURGH PIRATES (65-86, 43%): Winning 45% of Neutral Field Simulations
Projected Record: 70-92

They are projected to win 70 games and come in under their pre-season futures line of 78.5. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #13 in the NL. In simulations, they have been eliminated from playoff contention. They were a +500 'underdog' to make the playoffs in the preseason. After 151 games, their expected win percentage is 44% based on the money line odds. At 65-86 they are in line with these expectations.

22TORONTO BLUE JAYS (60-91, 39.7%): Winning 43% of Neutral Field Simulations
Projected Record: 65-97

They are projected to win 65 games and come in under their pre-season futures line of 74. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #12 in the AL. In simulations, they have been eliminated from playoff contention. They were a +1000 'underdog' to make the playoffs in the preseason. Based on money line odds their expected record at this point of the season is 65-86. At 60-91 they are in line with these expectations.

23CHICAGO WHITE SOX (65-86, 43%): Winning 43% of Neutral Field Simulations
Projected Record: 71-91

They are projected to win 71 games and come in under their pre-season futures line of 73.5. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #10 in the AL. In simulations, they have been eliminated from playoff contention. They were a +800 'underdog' to make the playoffs in the preseason. Based on money line odds their expected record at this point of the season is 63.4-87.6. At 65-86 they are in line with these expectations.

24COLORADO ROCKIES (66-86, 43.4%): Winning 43% of Neutral Field Simulations
Projected Record: 69-93

They are projected to win 69 games and come in under their pre-season futures line of 85.5. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #14 in the NL. In simulations, they have been eliminated from playoff contention. They were a +190 'underdog' to make the playoffs in the preseason. Based on money line odds their expected record at this point of the season is 70.5-81.5. They are coming up short of expectations at 66-86.

25LOS ANGELES ANGELS (68-83, 45%): Winning 42% of Neutral Field Simulations
Projected Record: 71-91

They are projected to win 71 games and come in under their pre-season futures line of 82. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #9 in the AL. In simulations, they have been eliminated from playoff contention. They were a +300 'underdog' to make the playoffs in the preseason. Based on money line odds their expected record at this point of the season is 74.6-76.4. At 68-83 they are in line with these expectations.

26SEATTLE MARINERS (63-88, 41.7%): Winning 41% of Neutral Field Simulations
Projected Record: 68-94

They are projected to win 68 games and come in under their pre-season futures line of 73.5. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #11 in the AL. In simulations, they have been eliminated from playoff contention. They were a +2000 'underdog' to make the playoffs in the preseason. Based on money line odds their expected record at this point of the season is 66.3-84.7. At 63-88 they are in line with these expectations.

27KANSAS CITY ROYALS (56-96, 36.8%): Winning 39% of Neutral Field Simulations
Projected Record: 59-103

They are projected to win 59 games and come in under their pre-season futures line of 69. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #13 in the AL. In simulations, they have been eliminated from playoff contention. They were a +2000 'underdog' to make the playoffs in the preseason. After 152 games, their expected win percentage is 42% based on the money line odds. At 56-96 they are in line with these expectations.

28MIAMI MARLINS (53-98, 35.1%): Winning 34% of Neutral Field Simulations
Projected Record: 56-106

They are projected to win 56 games and come in under their pre-season futures line of 63.5. In simulations they finish last in the NL based on projected wins. In simulations, they have been eliminated from playoff contention. They were a +4000 'underdog' to make the playoffs in the preseason. After 151 games, their expected win percentage is 38% based on the money line odds. At 53-98 they are in line with these expectations.

29BALTIMORE ORIOLES (49-102, 32.5%): Winning 34% of Neutral Field Simulations
Projected Record: 53-109

They are projected to win 53 games and come in under their pre-season futures line of 59. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #14 in the AL. In simulations, they have been eliminated from playoff contention. They were a +4000 'underdog' to make the playoffs in the preseason. After 151 games, their expected win percentage is 36% based on the money line odds. They are coming up short of expectations at 49-102.

30DETROIT TIGERS (45-105, 30%): Winning 30% of Neutral Field Simulations
Projected Record: 49-113

They are projected to win 49 games and come in under their pre-season futures line of 68. In simulations they finish last in the AL based on projected wins. In simulations, they have been eliminated from playoff contention. They were a +2000 'underdog' to make the playoffs in the preseason. Based on money line odds their expected record at this point of the season is 58.8-91.2. They are coming up short of expectations at 45-105.