MLB Computer Power Ranking: Yankees With Cole Still Behind Astros

1LOS ANGELES DODGERS
Projected Record: 103-59

Even with the juice, the Dodgers are a good betting value. Their 25.3% chance to win the World Series (based on simulations) is #1 in the league. Current Odds are 6/1, 14.3%. The Dodgers are averaging 103 wins per sim which makes them a solid bet to win over 92.5 games. Based on wins per simulation they are projected to have the best record in the NL. They went 106-56 last season. They were not good against the spread going 81-81 (-854 loss).

Sportsline.com uses these situations where a team's power ranking is not in line with what oddsmakers and the public think to find great values against the money line and run line.

2HOUSTON ASTROS
Projected Record: 104-58

Even with the juice, the Astros are a good betting value. Their 18% chance to win the World Series (based on simulations) is #2 in the league. Current Odds are 5/1, 16.7%. The Astros are averaging 104.4 wins per sim which makes them a solid bet to win over 96.5 games. Based on wins per simulation they are projected to have the best record in the AL. They went 107-55 last season. They were not good against the spread going 89-73 (-226 loss).

3BOSTON RED SOX
Projected Record: 99-63

They are a good bet to win the championship (10.2 percent chance). Current Odds are 12/1, 7.7%. The Red Sox are averaging 99.1 wins per sim which makes them a solid bet to win over 93.5 games. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #2 in the AL. They went 84-78 last season. They were not good against the spread going 68-94 (-4111 loss).

4NEW YORK YANKEES
Projected Record: 97-65

Our projection recommends not betting on them to win it all. Their 10% chance is #4 in the league. Current Odds are 6/1, 14.3%. Both the simulations and oddsmakers have them at 97 wins. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #3 in the AL. They went 103-59 last season. They were very good against the spread going 94-68 for (+1643 profit).

5CHICAGO CUBS
Projected Record: 92-70

They win the championship in 7.9% of simulations which makes them a good betting value. Current Odds are 20/1, 4.8%. The Cubs are averaging 92.3 wins per sim which makes them a solid bet to win over 87.5 games. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #2 in the NL. They went 84-78 last season. They were not good against the spread going 76-86 (-1148 loss).

6WASHINGTON NATIONALS
Projected Record: 89-73

Their 4.1% chance is #6 in the league which is not high enough to be a good bet. Current Odds are 14/1, 6.7%. Both the simulations and oddsmakers have them at 89 wins. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #3 in the NL. They went 94-69 last season. They were very good against the spread going 92-71 for (+736 profit).

7MINNESOTA TWINS
Projected Record: 94-68

Their simulation based win percentage (4%) is not better than their odds implied probability but it would be if not for the juice on the lines. Current Odds are 20/1, 4.8%. The Twins are averaging 93.8 wins per sim which makes them a solid bet to win over 84 games. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #5 in the AL. Their 101-61 record last season was way ahead of what was expected of them. Their game-by-game odds gave them a projected record of 90.4-71.6. They were very good against the money line (+1407).

8TAMPA BAY RAYS
Projected Record: 94-68

Their simulation based win percentage (4%) is not better than their odds implied probability but it would be if not for the juice on the lines. Current Odds are 20/1, 4.8%. The Rays are averaging 94.1 wins per sim which makes them a solid bet to win over 84.5 games. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #4 in the AL. They went 96-66 last season. They were not good against the spread going 81-81 (-1041 loss).

9OAKLAND ATHLETICS
Projected Record: 91-71

Their simulation based win percentage (3.2%) is not better than their odds implied probability but it would be if not for the juice on the lines. Current Odds are 30/1, 3.2%. The Athletics are averaging 91.1 wins per sim which makes them a solid bet to win over 81.5 games. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #6 in the AL. They went 97-65 last season. They were very good against the spread going 90-72 for (+717 profit).

10MILWAUKEE BREWERS
Projected Record: 87-75

They are not a good bet to win the World Series. Their 3.1% chance is #10 in the league. Current Odds are 20/1, 4.8%. The Brewers are averaging 86.8 wins per sim which is essentially the same as their futures line of 86.5 wins. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #5 in the NL. They went 89-74 last season. They were not good against the spread going 79-84 (-1603 loss).

11ATLANTA BRAVES
Projected Record: 88-74

Our projection recommends not betting on them to win it all. Their 2.9% chance is #11 in the league. Current Odds are 10/1, 9.1%. The Braves are averaging 88.5 wins per sim which makes them a solid bet to win over 86 games. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #4 in the NL. They went 97-65 last season. They were not good against the spread going 81-81 (-490 loss).

12ST. LOUIS CARDINALS
Projected Record: 86-76

Their 2.4% chance is #12 in the league which is not high enough to be a good bet. Current Odds are 18/1, 5.3%. The Cardinals are averaging 86 wins per sim so we recommend betting them to come under 88.5 wins. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #6 in the NL. They went 91-71 last season. They were very good against the spread going 88-74 for (+312 profit).

13CLEVELAND INDIANS
Projected Record: 90-72

Our projection recommends not betting on them to win it all. Their 1.7% chance is #13 in the league. Current Odds are 14/1, 6.7%. The Indians are averaging 89.5 wins per sim so we recommend betting them to come under 91 wins. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #7 in the AL. They went 93-69 last season. They were not good against the spread going 86-76 (-266 loss).

14NEW YORK METS
Projected Record: 85-77

They are not a good bet to win the World Series. Their 1.5% chance is #14 in the league. Current Odds are 20/1, 4.8%. The Mets are averaging 85.1 wins per sim which is essentially the same as their futures line of 85.5 wins. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #7 in the NL. They went 86-76 last season. They were not good against the spread going 82-80 (-512 loss).

15ARIZONA D-BACKS
Projected Record: 82-80

Our projection recommends not betting on them to win it all. Their 1% chance is #15 in the league. Current Odds are 50/1, 2%. The D-Backs are averaging 82.3 wins per sim which makes them a solid bet to win over 75.5 games. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #8 in the NL. They went 85-77 last season. They were very good against the spread going 89-73 for (+258 profit).

16PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES
Projected Record: 77-85

They are not a good bet to win the World Series. Their 0.3% chance is #16 in the league. Current Odds are 20/1, 4.8%. The Phillies are averaging 77.2 wins per sim so we recommend betting them to come under 89 wins. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #9 in the NL. They were expected to win 51% of their games last season so their 81-81 met expectations. Putting a 100 units on them to win every game would have cost you -921 units.

17COLORADO ROCKIES
Projected Record: 76-86

Our projection recommends not betting on them to win it all. Their 0.2% chance is #17 in the league. Current Odds are 100/1, 1%. The Rockies are averaging 76.2 wins per sim so we recommend betting them to come under 85.5 wins. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #10 in the NL. They went 71-91 last season. They were not good against the spread going 73-89 (-2542 loss).

18CINCINNATI REDS
Projected Record: 72-90

They do not have any real chance to win the championship. Current Odds are 50/1, 2%. The Reds are averaging 72.4 wins per sim so we recommend betting them to come under 79 wins. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #11 in the NL. They were expected to win 49% of their games last season so their 75-87 met expectations. Anyone betting on them to win every game would have lost a lot (-1364) based on a 100 unit risk per game.

19SAN DIEGO PADRES
Projected Record: 72-90

They win the World Series in less than 0.1% of simulations. Current Odds are 50/1, 2%. The Padres are averaging 72.4 wins per sim so we recommend betting them to come under 78.5 wins. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #12 in the NL. They went 70-92 last season. They were not good against the spread going 76-86 (-2051 loss).

20SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS
Projected Record: 72-90

They win the World Series in less than 0.1% of simulations. Current Odds are 100/1, 1%. The Giants are averaging 71.9 wins per sim so we recommend betting them to come under 73.5 wins. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #13 in the NL. They were expected to win 45% of their games last season so their 77-85 met expectations. In terms of money line profit, they were one of the best teams at +707.

21CHICAGO WHITE SOX
Projected Record: 75-87

They do not have any real chance to win the championship. Current Odds are 60/1, 1.6%. The White Sox are averaging 75.1 wins per sim which makes them a solid bet to win over 73.5 games. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #8 in the AL. They were expected to win 42% of their games last season so their 72-89 met expectations. They were very good against the money line (+677).

22PITTSBURGH PIRATES
Projected Record: 70-92

While not completely impossible, their chances of winning the World Series is under 0.1 percent. Current Odds are 200/1, 0.5%. The Pirates are averaging 69.8 wins per sim so we recommend betting them to come under 78.5 wins. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #14 in the NL. They went 69-93 last season. They were not good against the spread going 76-86 (-2736 loss).

23SEATTLE MARINERS
Projected Record: 74-88

While not completely impossible, their chances of winning the World Series is under 0.1 percent. Current Odds are 300/1, 0.3%. The Mariners are averaging 74.3 wins per sim which makes them a decent bet to win over 73.5 games. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #9 in the AL. They went 68-94 last season. They were not good against the spread going 79-83 (-1511 loss).

24TEXAS RANGERS
Projected Record: 74-88

They do not have any real chance to win the championship. Current Odds are 100/1, 1%. The Rangers are averaging 74.1 wins per sim which makes them a solid bet to win over 71 games. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #10 in the AL. Their 78-84 record last season was ahead of what was expected of them. Their game-by-game odds gave them a projected record of 72-90. In terms of money line profit, they were one of the best teams at +466.

25LOS ANGELES ANGELS
Projected Record: 73-89

They win the World Series in less than 0.1% of simulations. Current Odds are 100/1, 1%. The Angels are averaging 73.1 wins per sim so we recommend betting them to come under 82 wins. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #11 in the AL. They went 72-90 last season. They were not good against the spread going 79-83 (-837 loss).

26KANSAS CITY ROYALS
Projected Record: 71-91

They win the World Series in less than 0.1% of simulations. Current Odds are 1000/1, 0.1%. The Royals are averaging 71 wins per sim which makes them a solid bet to win over 69 games. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #12 in the AL. They went 59-103 last season. They were not good against the spread going 76-86 (-1890 loss).

27TORONTO BLUE JAYS
Projected Record: 69-93

They win the World Series in less than 0.1% of simulations. Current Odds are 80/1, 1.2%. The Blue Jays are averaging 68.6 wins per sim so we recommend betting them to come under 74 wins. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #13 in the AL. They went 67-95 last season. They were not good against the spread going 80-82 (-236 loss).

28MIAMI MARLINS
Projected Record: 66-96

They have no chance to win the championship. Current Odds are 1000/1, 0.1%. The Marlins are averaging 66.4 wins per sim which makes them a solid bet to win over 63.5 games. In simulations they finish last in the NL based on projected wins. They went 57-105 last season. They were not good against the spread going 83-79 (-787 loss).

29BALTIMORE ORIOLES
Projected Record: 56-106

They do not win the World Series in any simulations. Current Odds are 1000/1, 0.1%. The Orioles are averaging 55.9 wins per sim so we recommend betting them to come under 59 wins. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #14 in the AL. They went 54-108 last season. They were not good against the spread going 71-91 (-2138 loss).

30DETROIT TIGERS
Projected Record: 50-112

They do not win the World Series in any simulations. Current Odds are 1000/1, 0.1%. The Tigers are averaging 49.6 wins per sim so we recommend betting them to come under 68 wins. In simulations they finish last in the AL based on projected wins. They went 47-114 last season. They were not good against the spread going 65-96 (-3266 loss).