MLB Daily Fantasy Review: Shohei Ohtani Boom Rate of 40% vs Just a 30% Bust Rate

We review past FanDuel and DraftKings performance to see what players are most likely to greatly exceed expectations (boom) or fall way short (bust). On average, 30% of games were classified as 'boom games', 30% were 'bust games' and 40% average games. While surgery will keep Shohei Ohtani off the mound he still could be a potent hitter.  As an outfielder on FanDuel he had the second highest "boom rate" and a relatively low bust rate.  On DraftKings, Brad Keller is the best starting pitcher in terms of highest boom rate. He greatly exceeded his salary based expectation in 56.2 percent of his games (average salary $5.8K). His 18.8% bust rate is also below average. On FanDuel, Mitch Garver is the #1 catcher with a boom rate of 38.3 percent. Evan Gattis is the first baseman with the highest (worst) bust rate. He flops 46.8 percent of the time. The tables below show the players with the five highest boom and bust rates by position on each platform.

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DRAFTKINGS BOOM PITCHERSDRAFTKINGS BUST PITCHERS
Brad Keller ($5.8K Avg Sal, 56.2% Boom, 18.8% Bust)Tyler Chatwood ($7.3K Avg Sal, 58.3% Bust, 8.3% Boom)
Heath Fillmyer ($4.9K Avg Sal, 53.8% Boom, 46.2% Bust)Dylan Covey ($5.4K Avg Sal, 57.1% Bust, 28.6% Boom)
German Marquez ($7.5K Avg Sal, 53.6% Boom, 21.4% Bust)Diego Castillo ($4.3K Avg Sal, 54.5% Bust, 9.1% Boom)
Felix Pena ($6.4K Avg Sal, 52.9% Boom, 17.6% Bust)Martin Perez ($5.1K Avg Sal, 53.3% Bust, 26.7% Boom)
Walker Buehler ($9.3K Avg Sal, 52.6% Boom, 10.5% Bust)Yefrey Ramirez ($5K Avg Sal, 50% Bust, 50% Boom)
DRAFTKINGS BOOM CATCHERSDRAFTKINGS BUST CATCHERS
Yasmani Grandal ($4.1K Avg Sal, 36.3% Boom, 35.2% Bust)Gary Sanchez ($4.3K Avg Sal, 42.4% Bust, 25.4% Boom)
Manny Pina ($3.1K Avg Sal, 35.9% Boom, 32.8% Bust)Kevin Plawecki ($3.3K Avg Sal, 42.3% Bust, 32.7% Boom)
Omar Narvaez ($3K Avg Sal, 34.9% Boom, 30.2% Bust)Martin Maldonado ($2.9K Avg Sal, 42% Bust, 25% Boom)
Wilson Ramos ($3.7K Avg Sal, 34.4% Boom, 27.9% Bust)Mike Zunino ($3.3K Avg Sal, 41.9% Bust, 29.7% Boom)
Matt Wieters ($3.1K Avg Sal, 33.9% Boom, 25.8% Bust)Jeff Mathis ($2.5K Avg Sal, 41.2% Bust, 23.5% Boom)
DRAFTKINGS BOOM FIRST BASEDRAFTKINGS BUST FIRST BASE
Mitch Moreland ($4K Avg Sal, 37.2% Boom, 32.1% Bust)Jake Bauers ($3.9K Avg Sal, 42.1% Bust, 27.6% Boom)
Steve Pearce ($3.8K Avg Sal, 35.8% Boom, 24.5% Bust)Yonder Alonso ($4.1K Avg Sal, 40.8% Bust, 27.2% Boom)
Jesus Aguilar ($4.6K Avg Sal, 35.6% Boom, 34.7% Bust)Chris Davis ($3.1K Avg Sal, 38.8% Bust, 28.2% Boom)
J.D. Martinez ($5.4K Avg Sal, 35% Boom, 22.5% Bust)Ryon Healy ($3.7K Avg Sal, 37.6% Bust, 26.9% Boom)
Khris Davis ($4.7K Avg Sal, 35% Boom, 31.7% Bust)Edwin Encarnacion ($4.6K Avg Sal, 37.3% Bust, 25.5% Boom)
DRAFTKINGS BOOM SECOND BASEDRAFTKINGS BUST SECOND BASE
Javier Baez ($4.9K Avg Sal, 42.7% Boom, 26.2% Bust)Devon Travis ($3.4K Avg Sal, 39.2% Bust, 25.7% Boom)
Joe Wendle ($3.7K Avg Sal, 41.5% Boom, 23.4% Bust)Jason Kipnis ($3.9K Avg Sal, 39.1% Bust, 24.5% Boom)
Whit Merrifield ($4.2K Avg Sal, 40.5% Boom, 18.2% Bust)Alen Hanson ($3.6K Avg Sal, 37.5% Bust, 30.4% Boom)
Kolten Wong ($3.2K Avg Sal, 40.3% Boom, 30.6% Bust)Ozzie Albies ($4.6K Avg Sal, 37.1% Bust, 33.6% Boom)
Jed Lowrie ($4.1K Avg Sal, 39.5% Boom, 24.4% Bust)Scooter Gennett ($4.3K Avg Sal, 36.4% Bust, 35.5% Boom)
DRAFTKINGS BOOM THIRD BASEDRAFTKINGS BUST THIRD BASE
Justin Turner ($4.5K Avg Sal, 37.3% Boom, 21.3% Bust)Kyle Seager ($3.6K Avg Sal, 39.1% Bust, 31.3% Boom)
Travis Shaw ($4.2K Avg Sal, 36% Boom, 29.7% Bust)Kris Bryant ($4.9K Avg Sal, 35.5% Bust, 27.4% Boom)
Matt Chapman ($4.1K Avg Sal, 35.7% Boom, 26.1% Bust)Todd Frazier ($3.9K Avg Sal, 34.4% Bust, 32.3% Boom)
Jedd Gyorko ($3.7K Avg Sal, 35% Boom, 25% Bust)David Freese ($3.7K Avg Sal, 33.3% Bust, 31.6% Boom)
Jose Ramirez ($5.4K Avg Sal, 34.5% Boom, 27.7% Bust)Colin Moran ($3.4K Avg Sal, 33.3% Bust, 22.6% Boom)
DRAFTKINGS BOOM SHORTSTOPDRAFTKINGS BUST SHORTSTOP
Andrelton Simmons ($3.8K Avg Sal, 37.1% Boom, 25.9% Bust)Brandon Crawford ($3.4K Avg Sal, 39.8% Bust, 25.9% Boom)
Jurickson Profar ($3.9K Avg Sal, 37% Boom, 26% Bust)Carlos Correa ($4.6K Avg Sal, 37.5% Bust, 21.6% Boom)
Chris Taylor ($4.1K Avg Sal, 36.6% Boom, 25.7% Bust)J.T. Riddle ($3.3K Avg Sal, 36.8% Bust, 26.3% Boom)
Francisco Lindor ($5.4K Avg Sal, 35.8% Boom, 21.7% Bust)Tim Anderson ($3.9K Avg Sal, 36% Bust, 28.9% Boom)
Jose Peraza ($3.9K Avg Sal, 35.7% Boom, 30.4% Bust)Freddy Galvis ($3.2K Avg Sal, 35.5% Bust, 33.9% Boom)
DRAFTKINGS BOOM OUTFIELDERDRAFTKINGS BUST OUTFIELDER
Ronald Acuna ($4.8K Avg Sal, 42.6% Boom, 27.7% Bust)Joey Gallo ($4.2K Avg Sal, 41.6% Bust, 36.6% Boom)
Robbie Grossman ($3.3K Avg Sal, 41.3% Boom, 29.3% Bust)Enrique Hernandez ($3.7K Avg Sal, 39.8% Bust, 34.4% Boom)
Eric Thames ($4.6K Avg Sal, 41.2% Boom, 29.4% Bust)Kole Calhoun ($3.5K Avg Sal, 39.6% Bust, 32.4% Boom)
Billy Hamilton ($3.6K Avg Sal, 38.1% Boom, 34.3% Bust)Lewis Brinson ($3K Avg Sal, 38.9% Bust, 27.8% Boom)
Christian Yelich ($5.1K Avg Sal, 37.9% Boom, 19% Bust)JaCoby Jones ($3.3K Avg Sal, 38.8% Bust, 28.8% Boom)
FANDUEL BOOM PITCHERSFANDUEL BUST PITCHERS
German Marquez ($7.6K Avg Sal, 57.1% Boom, 21.4% Bust)Ryne Stanek ($5.5K Avg Sal, 82.6% Bust, 0% Boom)
Walker Buehler ($8.5K Avg Sal, 55.6% Boom, 16.7% Bust)Diego Castillo ($5.5K Avg Sal, 72.7% Bust, 0% Boom)
Austin Gomber ($6.4K Avg Sal, 54.5% Boom, 18.2% Bust)Martin Perez ($5.7K Avg Sal, 60% Bust, 26.7% Boom)
Mike Fiers ($7.3K Avg Sal, 54.2% Boom, 29.2% Bust)Jason Hammel ($6.3K Avg Sal, 58.3% Bust, 25% Boom)
Heath Fillmyer ($6K Avg Sal, 53.8% Boom, 46.2% Bust)Dylan Covey ($5.9K Avg Sal, 57.1% Bust, 28.6% Boom)
FANDUEL BOOM CATCHERSFANDUEL BUST CATCHERS
Mitch Garver ($2.3K Avg Sal, 38.3% Boom, 23.3% Bust)Sandy Leon ($2.2K Avg Sal, 45.6% Bust, 20.6% Boom)
Matt Wieters ($2.3K Avg Sal, 36.5% Boom, 17.5% Bust)Jeff Mathis ($2.1K Avg Sal, 45.1% Bust, 21.6% Boom)
Austin Hedges ($2.4K Avg Sal, 36.2% Boom, 27.5% Bust)Gary Sanchez ($3.6K Avg Sal, 37.9% Bust, 28.8% Boom)
Yasmani Grandal ($3.2K Avg Sal, 35.5% Boom, 36.6% Bust)Martin Maldonado ($2.2K Avg Sal, 37.9% Bust, 24.1% Boom)
Manny Pina ($2.3K Avg Sal, 35.4% Boom, 27.7% Bust)Caleb Joseph ($2.1K Avg Sal, 37.2% Bust, 25.6% Boom)
FANDUEL BOOM FIRST BASEFANDUEL BUST FIRST BASE
Max Muncy ($3.6K Avg Sal, 37.5% Boom, 33.8% Bust)Evan Gattis ($2.8K Avg Sal, 46.8% Bust, 25.3% Boom)
Ronald Guzman ($2.4K Avg Sal, 36.8% Boom, 27.6% Bust)Yonder Alonso ($3.1K Avg Sal, 45.9% Bust, 26.1% Boom)
Tyler Austin ($3K Avg Sal, 36.4% Boom, 40% Bust)Eric Hosmer ($3.1K Avg Sal, 40.2% Bust, 28.7% Boom)
Mitch Moreland ($3.2K Avg Sal, 35% Boom, 36.2% Bust)Tyler Austin ($3K Avg Sal, 40% Bust, 36.4% Boom)
Kendrys Morales ($2.9K Avg Sal, 33.3% Boom, 32.2% Bust)Matt Olson ($3.4K Avg Sal, 38.7% Bust, 27.7% Boom)
FANDUEL BOOM SECOND BASEFANDUEL BUST SECOND BASE
Joe Wendle ($2.7K Avg Sal, 44.6% Boom, 27.7% Bust)Ian Kinsler ($3K Avg Sal, 42.6% Bust, 25.5% Boom)
Wilmer Difo ($2.4K Avg Sal, 43.4% Boom, 25% Bust)Jason Kipnis ($3K Avg Sal, 42.5% Bust, 25.8% Boom)
Jeff McNeil ($3.2K Avg Sal, 38.5% Boom, 19.2% Bust)Josh Harrison ($2.9K Avg Sal, 41.4% Bust, 22.4% Boom)
Daniel Robertson ($2.7K Avg Sal, 38.2% Boom, 25.5% Bust)Brian Dozier ($3.7K Avg Sal, 39.6% Bust, 26.1% Boom)
Kolten Wong ($2.4K Avg Sal, 37.7% Boom, 27.3% Bust)Ozzie Albies ($3.9K Avg Sal, 39% Bust, 30.1% Boom)
FANDUEL BOOM THIRD BASEFANDUEL BUST THIRD BASE
Jedd Gyorko ($2.8K Avg Sal, 39.1% Boom, 25% Bust)Yangervis Solarte ($3.1K Avg Sal, 46.5% Bust, 22.1% Boom)
David Freese ($2.4K Avg Sal, 35.6% Boom, 16.9% Bust)Kyle Seager ($3K Avg Sal, 38.7% Bust, 27.7% Boom)
Jose Ramirez ($4.6K Avg Sal, 34.1% Boom, 24.8% Bust)Rafael Devers ($3.2K Avg Sal, 36.8% Bust, 29.9% Boom)
Matt Duffy ($2.8K Avg Sal, 33.7% Boom, 23.2% Bust)Mike Moustakas ($3.6K Avg Sal, 36.4% Bust, 27.3% Boom)
Anthony Rendon ($3.9K Avg Sal, 32.7% Boom, 25.2% Bust)Todd Frazier ($3.1K Avg Sal, 36.1% Bust, 32% Boom)
FANDUEL BOOM SHORTSTOPFANDUEL BUST SHORTSTOP
Raul Mondesi ($2.8K Avg Sal, 42% Boom, 27.5% Bust)Tim Anderson ($2.9K Avg Sal, 41.3% Bust, 28.1% Boom)
Amed Rosario ($2.6K Avg Sal, 37.8% Boom, 26.1% Bust)Nick Ahmed ($2.8K Avg Sal, 40% Bust, 26.4% Boom)
Willy Adames ($2.7K Avg Sal, 36.8% Boom, 23.5% Bust)Brandon Crawford ($2.8K Avg Sal, 38.4% Bust, 19.6% Boom)
Chris Taylor ($3.1K Avg Sal, 35.9% Boom, 27.2% Bust)Carlos Correa ($4K Avg Sal, 38.2% Bust, 16.9% Boom)
Jose Peraza ($3K Avg Sal, 35.2% Boom, 33.6% Bust)Jean Segura ($3.5K Avg Sal, 37.3% Bust, 23.6% Boom)
FANDUEL BOOM OUTFIELDERFANDUEL BUST OUTFIELDER
Gregory Polanco ($3.5K Avg Sal, 44.3% Boom, 30.9% Bust)Yasiel Puig ($3.1K Avg Sal, 42.9% Bust, 27.4% Boom)
Shohei Ohtani ($3.6K Avg Sal, 41.3% Boom, 30.2% Bust)Ryan Braun ($3.1K Avg Sal, 41.9% Bust, 31.4% Boom)
Robbie Grossman ($2.4K Avg Sal, 41.2% Boom, 21.2% Bust)Matt Kemp ($3K Avg Sal, 39.4% Bust, 18.1% Boom)
Joc Pederson ($2.8K Avg Sal, 39.7% Boom, 30.1% Bust)Teoscar Hernandez ($3.3K Avg Sal, 39.1% Bust, 25% Boom)
Eric Thames ($3.5K Avg Sal, 39.2% Boom, 29.4% Bust)Joey Gallo ($3.3K Avg Sal, 38.7% Bust, 38.7% Boom)
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