MLB Futures Update: Bet on Yankees to Win Over 96.5…But Red Sox to Win It All At 14/1

The percentage difference at the top of the AL is small at 10%. The Houston Astros at 24.5% trails the Boston Red Sox at 27%. The difference between these teams seems to be shrinking. The Red Sox chances are down from 29.7 percent. The playoff race should be a tight one with only 1.45 wins separate the 3 teams projected for the #4, #5 and #6 best AL record. In terms of having a realistic chance of winning the AL, there are 6 legitimate contenders (those with >=4% chance).

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AL FUTURESPROJ WINSWIN DIVPLAYOFFWIN AL ODDSWIN AL SIM
Boston Red Sox101.251.5%94.4%14/5 (26.3%)27.0%
Houston Astros95.667.5%81.8%14/5 (26.3%)24.5%
New York Yankees100.143.9%92.8%14/5 (26.3%)20.3%
Cleveland Indians89.465.4%69.6%9/2 (18.2%)11.2%
Oakland Athletics87.519.7%42.1%12/1 (7.7%)5.7%
Tampa Bay Rays87.94.5%43.3%12/1 (7.7%)4.3%
Los Angeles Angels84.310.5%26.0%30/1 (3.2%)2.9%
Minnesota Twins83.427.1%33.3%40/1 (2.4%)2.8%
Kansas City Royals75.46.0%7.5%250/1 (0.4%)0.6%
Texas Rangers75.51.4%4.4%100/1 (1%)0.3%
Seattle Mariners73.50.9%2.6%250/1 (0.4%)0.2%
Chicago White Sox68.51.2%1.5%25/1 (3.8%)0.1%
Detroit Tigers64.00.3%0.3%250/1 (0.4%)--
Toronto Blue Jays66.90.1%0.3%100/1 (1%)--
Baltimore Orioles57.10.1%0.1%500/1 (0.2%)--

There is a small 23% gap between NL leaders. The Washington Nationals at 23.8% trails the Los Angeles Dodgers at 29.1%. The difference between these teams seems to be shrinking. The Dodgers chances are down from 31.3 percent. A difference of 3.8 wins may not sound like much but that much of a difference between the #5 best record and the #6 best record in the NL is considerable. This are 6 teams with at least a four percent chance of winning the NL.

NL FUTURES PROJ WINSWIN DIVPLAYOFFWIN NL ODDSWIN NL SIM
Los Angeles Dodgers98.289.2%94.2%3/1 (25%)29.1%
Washington Nationals95.875.1%88.1%7/1 (12.5%)23.8%
Chicago Cubs92.046.2%74.1%5/1 (16.7%)15.8%
Milwaukee Brewers88.225.7%56.4%9/1 (10%)9.3%
St Louis Cardinals88.024.8%55.4%6/1 (14.3%)8.8%
New York Mets84.212.4%36.1%12/1 (7.7%)4.4%
Arizona Diamondbacks81.46.2%22.9%250/1 (0.4%)3.0%
Atlanta Braves82.79.0%27.9%6/1 (14.3%)2.6%
Philadelphia Phillies78.13.4%12.6%9/1 (10%)1.2%
Pittsburgh Pirates77.43.0%10.9%40/1 (2.4%)1.0%
Colorado Rockies78.93.6%15.2%15/1 (6.2%)0.9%
San Francisco Giants72.50.8%3.4%50/1 (2%)0.2%
Cincinnati Reds69.20.3%1.5%50/1 (2%)--
San Diego Padres67.70.2%0.9%50/1 (2%)--
Miami Marlins65.60.1%0.3%500/1 (0.2%)--

Below are the latest MLB Futures for winning the World Series. At the top, the Red Sox have a 1 percentage point lead over the Dodgers. At the bottom of the contenders list, 2.2 percentage points separate the Brewers from the Athletics.

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WS CONTENDERSODDSODDS%SIM%TREND
Boston Red Sox6/114.3%15.8%--
Los Angeles Dodgers6/114.3%15%.0--
Houston Astros6/114.3%14.7%--
Washington Nationals14/16.7%11.6%--
New York Yankees6/114.3%11.1%--
Chicago Cubs10/19.1%8.2%--
Cleveland Indians10/19.1%4.5%--
Milwaukee Brewers18/15.3%4.3%--
St Louis Cardinals12/17.7%4%.0--
Oakland Athletics25/13.8%2.1%--
New York Mets25/13.8%1.8%--
Tampa Bay Rays25/13.8%1.7%--
Arizona Diamondbacks500/10.2%1.2%--
Los Angeles Angels60/11.6%1.1%--