Wednesday, March 20, 2019
Seattle Mariners vs Oakland Athletics
The Athletics are favored to win based on simulations and the current odds. The projected score is OAK 4.2 and SEA 4.1, and Oakland is winning 55% of the sims. The Athletics are -134 favorites to win which has an implied probability of 57 percent. People are betting more heavily on the Athletics based on how the moneyline is moving. The Mariners have been dominating this matchup recently with a 22-16 record. They have the large edge in units at +379 to -509. The average moneyline for the Mariners was -42 indicating they were slightly favored, on average. In these games, the Mariners averaged 5 and the Athletics 4.1 runs.
|EXPECTATIONS||ODDS o8||VEGAS||PROJ||ML%||SIM%||PAST H2H|
|Seattle Mariners||+110||3.8||4.1||45%||45%||5.0 (22 Wins)|
|Oakland Athletics||-134||4.2||4.2||55%||55%||4.1 (16 Wins)|
VEGAS is the expected score based on the moneylines and over/under, PROJ is the average score from computer simulations, ML% is the implied probability of the moneylines adjusted for the juice, SIM% is the percentage of simulations each team won, PAST H2H is the average score from recent head to head matchups
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