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SEASON FORECASTS AND FUTURES PICKS
Their championship odds are 40/1, 2.4% (#17 best). They are a good bet to win the championship (3.4 percent chance). They are also a good bet to win the NL at 20/1, 4.8%. Their sim chance is 7.4%. The D-Backs are averaging 87.9 wins per sim which makes them a solid bet to win over 83.5 games. At +600 the D-Backs are a good value to make the playoffs with a 56.5% chance. Their odds of winning their division are 8/1, 11.1%. They win the division in 4.3% of simulations. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #3 in the NL.
For winning picks against the spread, total and money line for all MLB games by our proven computer model and leading handicappers visit SportsLine.com where you can also get fantasy basketball and daily fantasy optimal lineups from CBSSports' Top Experts.
REGULAR SEASON RECAP AND UPCOMING GAMES
Based on last season's game odds they 'should have had' 79.7 wins. Their 85-77 record last season was ahead of what was expected of them. In terms of money line profit, they were one of the best teams at +688. They were very good against the spread going 89-73 for (+258 profit). They went over 75 times and came in under 77 times. They are favored in their upcoming game vs the Atlanta Braves. The table below shows their upcoming games, their simulation based win percentage and their recent head to head record (WL, ATS, OU).
|OPPONENT||SIM%||H2H WL||H2H OU|
|3/26 ATL||55%||4-3, +207||2-5|
|3/27 ATL||58%||4-3, +207||2-5|
|3/28 ATL||55%||4-3, +207||2-5|
|3/29 ATL||50%||4-3, +207||2-5|
|3/30 SF||65%||10-9, -49||11-8|
TEAM STATISTICAL STRENGTHS AND WEAKNESSES
Their record should be slightly better. Since last season their average run differential is +0.43 which ranks #6 in the NL, but their rank based on win percentage is #7. This is a relatively better road team than a home team. They are the #4 ranked team in run differential in road games, vs #7 in home games.
TEAM STATS PER GAME (League Rank):
|All 162 Games||5.0 (#6)||0.252 (#8)||0.611 (#9)|
|Road||5.1 (#4)||0.255 (#4)||0.611 (#5)|
|Home||4.9 (#7)||0.248 (#11)||0.612 (#10)|
ALLOWED TO OPPOSING TEAMS (Lower # is Better):
|All||4.6 (#7)||0.251 (#11)||0.608 (#7)|
|Road||4.6 (#6)||0.251 (#5||0.606 (#5)|
|Home||4.6 (#7)||0.252 (#10)||0.611 (#10)|
TEAM FANTASY LEADERS
The table below show the most valuable fantasy players on the team led by Starling Marte who is projected to be the #9 outfielder. The Better Option column shows the player directly above him and the Better Than column shows the player directly below him in the projected position rankings.
|PLAYER||OWN%||RANK||BETTER OPTION||BETTER THAN|
|Starling Marte||92||9||Trey Mancini||Ketel Marte|
|Ketel Marte||91||10||Starling Marte||Ronald Acuna|
|Eduardo Escobar||99||12||Justin Turner||Vladimir Guerrero Jr.|
|David Peralta||57||28||Michael Brantley||Justin Upton|
|Kole Calhoun||71||50||A.J. Pollock||Nick Senzel|
|Nick Ahmed||47||18||Didi Gregorius||Bo Bichette|
|Jake Lamb||12||27||Yandy Diaz||Ryon Healy|
|Christian Walker||57||38||Evan White||Hunter Pence|
|Jon Jay||1||105||Harrison Bader||Daniel Palka|
|Archie Bradley||59||13||Craig Kimbrel||Brad Hand|