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SEASON FORECASTS AND FUTURES PICKS
Their odds to win it all are 12/1, 7.7% (#5). If futures lines were not heavily juiced, the Red Sox would be a good betting value. Their 7.6% chance to win the World Series (based on simulations) is #3 in the league. In simulations, they win the AL 14.4% of the time and are not a good value at 5/1, 16.7%. The Red Sox are averaging 96.6 wins per sim which makes them a solid bet to win over 93.5 games. At -600 the Red Sox are not a good value to make the playoffs with a 73.9% chance. Their odds of winning their division are 6/5, 45.5%. They win the division in 39% of simulations. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #2 in the AL.
For winning picks against the spread, total and money line for all MLB games by our proven computer model and leading handicappers visit SportsLine.com where you can also get fantasy basketball and daily fantasy optimal lineups from CBSSports' Top Experts.
REGULAR SEASON RECAP AND UPCOMING GAMES
Their 84-78 record last season was very disappointing. Their expected win percentage was 58%. Putting a 100 units on them to win every game would have cost you -2319 units. They were not good against the spread going 68-94 (-4111 loss). They went over 91 times and came in under 67 times.
TEAM STATISTICAL STRENGTHS AND WEAKNESSES
Since last season their average run differential is +0.44 which ranks #7 in the AL, which is the same as how they rank in win percentage. They are the #5 ranked team in run differential (based on all teams' road stats) and the #7 ranked team among home teams.
TEAM STATS PER GAME (League Rank):
|All 162 Games||5.6 (#3)||0.269 (#2)||0.646 (#4)|
|Road||5.5 (#3)||0.261 (#5)||0.612 (#7)|
|Home||5.6 (#3)||0.278 (#1)||0.684 (#1)|
ALLOWED TO OPPOSING TEAMS (Lower # is Better):
|All||5.1 (#7)||0.251 (#6)||0.616 (#7)|
|Road||4.8 (#6)||0.254 (#6||0.626 (#7)|
|Home||5.4 (#11)||0.248 (#6)||0.607 (#8)|
TEAM FANTASY LEADERS
The table below show the most valuable fantasy players on the team led by Mookie Betts who is projected to be the #2 outfielder. The Better Option column shows the player directly above him and the Better Than column shows the player directly below him in the projected position rankings.
|PLAYER||OWN%||RANK||BETTER OPTION||BETTER THAN|
|Mookie Betts||99||2||Christian Yelich||Mike Trout|
|Xander Bogaerts||100||1||--||Francisco Lindor|
|Rafael Devers||100||5||Jose Ramirez||Kris Bryant|
|J.D. Martinez||99||7||Edwin Encarnacion||Pete Alonso|
|Andrew Benintendi||94||26||Rhys Hoskins||Mitch Haniger|
|Michael Chavis||47||16||Evan Longoria||Tommy La Stella|
|Mitch Moreland||18||26||Ji-Man Choi||Rowdy Tellez|
|Jackie Bradley||25||63||Jesse Winker||Austin Hays|
|Dustin Pedroia||2||29||Niko Goodrum||Brian Dozier|
|Steve Pearce||1||44||Ronald Guzman||Chris Davis|