MLB Outlook for the Chicago White Sox in 2020

SEASON FORECASTS AND FUTURES PICKS

There are 3 teams who have 40/1, 2.4% odds to win the World Series. They are not a good bet to win the World Series. Their 0.3% chance is #19 in the league. In simulations, they win the AL 0.7% of the time and are not a good value at 20/1, 4.8%. The White Sox are averaging 80.1 wins per sim so we recommend betting them to come under 83.5 wins. At +800 the White Sox are not a good value to make the playoffs with a 10.5% chance. Their odds of winning their division are 11/4, 26.7%. They win the division in 4.2% of simulations. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #9 in the AL.

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REGULAR SEASON RECAP AND UPCOMING GAMES

They were expected to win 42% of their games last season so their 72-89 met expectations. In terms of money line profit, they were one of the best teams at +677. They were not good against the spread going 80-81 (-236 loss). They went over 76 times and came in under 80 times. They are heavy favorites in their upcoming game vs the Kansas City Royals. The table below shows their upcoming games, their simulation based win percentage and their recent head to head record (WL, ATS, OU).

OPPONENTSIM%H2H WLH2H OU
3/26 KC66%9-10, -22710-9
3/28 KC56%9-10, -22710-9
3/29 KC62%9-10, -22710-9
3/30 CLE38%11-8, +113110-9
3/31 CLE42%11-8, +113110-9

TEAM STATISTICAL STRENGTHS AND WEAKNESSES

Their record is better than it should be. Since last season their average run differential is -0.77 which ranks #11 in the AL, but their rank based on win percentage is #9. They are the #10 ranked team in run differential (based on all teams' road stats) and the #12 ranked team among home teams.

TEAM STATS PER GAME (League Rank):

SituationRunsBatting AvgOPS
All 161 Games4.4 (#13)0.261 (#5)0.600 (#9)
Road4.6 (#10)0.265 (#3)0.648 (#3)
Home4.2 (#14)0.257 (#6)0.562 (#13)

ALLOWED TO OPPOSING TEAMS (Lower # is Better):

SituationRunsBatting AvgOPS
All5.2 (#9)0.263 (#11)0.636 (#12)
Road5.1 (#12)0.274 (#150.621 (#6)
Home5.2 (#7)0.252 (#8)0.654 (#12)

TEAM FANTASY LEADERS

The table below show the most valuable fantasy players on the team led by Jose Abreu who is projected to be the #2 first baseman / DH. The Better Option column shows the player directly above him and the Better Than column shows the player directly below him in the projected position rankings.

PLAYEROWN%RANKBETTER OPTIONBETTER THAN
Jose Abreu992Nelson CruzFreddie Freeman
Yoan Moncada988Kris BryantEugenio Suarez
Eloy Jimenez9215Max KeplerAaron Judge
Edwin Encarnacion8313Rhys HoskinsPaul Goldschmidt
Tim Anderson8812Trea TurnerJean Segura
Nomar Mazara6141Jeff McNeilBryan Reynolds
Luis Robert2975Josh ReddickChristin Stewart
Yasmani Grandal997Mitch GarverSalvador Perez
Nick Madrigal825Joe WendleShedric Long
Adam Engel196Brett GardnerGreg Allen