SEASON FORECASTS AND FUTURES PICKS
There are 3 teams who have 40/1, 2.4% odds to win the World Series. They are not a good bet to win the World Series. Their 0.3% chance is #19 in the league. In simulations, they win the AL 0.7% of the time and are not a good value at 20/1, 4.8%. The White Sox are averaging 80.1 wins per sim so we recommend betting them to come under 83.5 wins. At +800 the White Sox are not a good value to make the playoffs with a 10.5% chance. Their odds of winning their division are 11/4, 26.7%. They win the division in 4.2% of simulations. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #9 in the AL.
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REGULAR SEASON RECAP AND UPCOMING GAMES
They were expected to win 42% of their games last season so their 72-89 met expectations. In terms of money line profit, they were one of the best teams at +677. They were not good against the spread going 80-81 (-236 loss). They went over 76 times and came in under 80 times. They are heavy favorites in their upcoming game vs the Kansas City Royals. The table below shows their upcoming games, their simulation based win percentage and their recent head to head record (WL, ATS, OU).
|OPPONENT||SIM%||H2H WL||H2H OU|
|3/26 KC||66%||9-10, -227||10-9|
|3/28 KC||56%||9-10, -227||10-9|
|3/29 KC||62%||9-10, -227||10-9|
|3/30 CLE||38%||11-8, +1131||10-9|
|3/31 CLE||42%||11-8, +1131||10-9|
TEAM STATISTICAL STRENGTHS AND WEAKNESSES
Their record is better than it should be. Since last season their average run differential is -0.77 which ranks #11 in the AL, but their rank based on win percentage is #9. They are the #10 ranked team in run differential (based on all teams' road stats) and the #12 ranked team among home teams.
TEAM STATS PER GAME (League Rank):
|All 161 Games||4.4 (#13)||0.261 (#5)||0.600 (#9)|
|Road||4.6 (#10)||0.265 (#3)||0.648 (#3)|
|Home||4.2 (#14)||0.257 (#6)||0.562 (#13)|
ALLOWED TO OPPOSING TEAMS (Lower # is Better):
|All||5.2 (#9)||0.263 (#11)||0.636 (#12)|
|Road||5.1 (#12)||0.274 (#15||0.621 (#6)|
|Home||5.2 (#7)||0.252 (#8)||0.654 (#12)|
TEAM FANTASY LEADERS
The table below show the most valuable fantasy players on the team led by Jose Abreu who is projected to be the #2 first baseman / DH. The Better Option column shows the player directly above him and the Better Than column shows the player directly below him in the projected position rankings.
|PLAYER||OWN%||RANK||BETTER OPTION||BETTER THAN|
|Jose Abreu||99||2||Nelson Cruz||Freddie Freeman|
|Yoan Moncada||98||8||Kris Bryant||Eugenio Suarez|
|Eloy Jimenez||92||15||Max Kepler||Aaron Judge|
|Edwin Encarnacion||83||13||Rhys Hoskins||Paul Goldschmidt|
|Tim Anderson||88||12||Trea Turner||Jean Segura|
|Nomar Mazara||61||41||Jeff McNeil||Bryan Reynolds|
|Luis Robert||29||75||Josh Reddick||Christin Stewart|
|Yasmani Grandal||99||7||Mitch Garver||Salvador Perez|
|Nick Madrigal||8||25||Joe Wendle||Shedric Long|
|Adam Engel||1||96||Brett Gardner||Greg Allen|