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SEASON FORECASTS AND FUTURES PICKS
Their odds to win it all are 8/1, 11.1% (#3). If futures lines were not heavily juiced, the Astros would be a good betting value. Their 9.7% chance to win the World Series (based on simulations) is #3 in the league. In simulations, they win the AL 22.2% of the time and are not a good value at 7/2, 22.2%. The Astros are averaging 97.7 wins per sim which makes them a solid bet to win over 94.5 games. At -1400 the Astros are not a good value to make the playoffs with a 84.3% chance. Their odds of winning their division are 2/5, 71.4%. They win the division in 67% of simulations. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #2 in the AL.
For winning picks against the spread, total and money line for all MLB games by our proven computer model and leading handicappers visit SportsLine.com where you can also get fantasy basketball and daily fantasy optimal lineups from CBSSports' Top Experts.
REGULAR SEASON RECAP AND UPCOMING GAMES
They were expected to win 64% of their games last season so their 107-55 met expectations. Against the money line they lost -246 units. They were not good against the spread going 89-73 (-226 loss). More of their games came in under (86) than went over (73). They are heavy favorites in their upcoming game vs the Los Angeles Angels. The table below shows their upcoming games, their simulation based win percentage and their recent head to head record (WL, ATS, OU).
|OPPONENT||SIM%||H2H WL||H2H OU|
|3/26 LAA||65%||14-5, +120||11-7-1|
|3/27 LAA||64%||14-5, +120||11-7-1|
|3/28 LAA||64%||14-5, +120||11-7-1|
|3/29 LAA||64%||14-5, +120||11-7-1|
|3/30 OAK||49%||11-8, -153||8-11|
TEAM STATISTICAL STRENGTHS AND WEAKNESSES
Since last season their average run differential is +1.55 which ranks #1 in the AL, which is the same as how they rank in win percentage. They are the #2 ranked team in run differential (based on all teams' road stats) and the #1 ranked team among home teams.
TEAM STATS PER GAME (League Rank):
|All 180 Games||5.5 (#4)||0.270 (#1)||0.652 (#3)|
|Road||5.2 (#5)||0.262 (#4)||0.631 (#4)|
|Home||5.8 (#1)||0.278 (#2)||0.674 (#2)|
ALLOWED TO OPPOSING TEAMS (Lower # is Better):
|All||4.0 (#1)||0.222 (#1)||0.576 (#3)|
|Road||3.9 (#1)||0.222 (#1||0.555 (#1)|
|Home||4.1 (#5)||0.222 (#2)||0.599 (#6)|
TEAM FANTASY LEADERS
The table below show the most valuable fantasy players on the team led by Alex Bregman who is projected to be the #2 third baseman. The Better Option column shows the player directly above him and the Better Than column shows the player directly below him in the projected position rankings.
|PLAYER||OWN%||RANK||BETTER OPTION||BETTER THAN|
|Alex Bregman||100||2||Anthony Rendon||Nolan Arenado|
|George Springer||100||4||Mookie Betts||Cody Bellinger|
|Jose Altuve||100||1||--||DJ LeMahieu|
|Yordan Alvarez||97||4||Freddie Freeman||Anthony Rizzo|
|Yulieski Gurriel||98||9||Pete Alonso||J.D. Martinez|
|Michael Brantley||99||27||Danny Santana||David Peralta|
|Carlos Correa||93||9||Fernando Tatis Jr.||Adalberto Mondesi|
|Josh Reddick||25||74||Kyle Lewis||Luis Robert|
|Aledmys Diaz||9||33||Ryan O'Hearn||Albert Pujols|
|Alex De Goti||0||26||Freddy Galvis||Miguel Rojas|