MLB Outlook for the Houston Astros in 2020

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SEASON FORECASTS AND FUTURES PICKS

Their odds to win it all are 8/1, 11.1% (#3). They are a good bet to win the championship (15.8 percent chance). They are also a good bet to win the AL at 7/2, 22.2%. Their sim chance is 29.4%. The Astros are averaging 101.6 wins per sim which makes them a solid bet to win over 94.5 games. At -1400 the Astros are not a good value to make the playoffs with a 92.5% chance. Their odds of winning their division are 2/5, 71.4%. They win the division in 82.4% of simulations. Based on wins per simulation they are projected to have the best record in the AL.

For winning picks against the spread, total and money line for all MLB games by our proven computer model and leading handicappers visit SportsLine.com where you can also get fantasy basketball and daily fantasy optimal lineups from CBSSports' Top Experts.

REGULAR SEASON RECAP AND UPCOMING GAMES

They were expected to win 64% of their games last season so their 107-55 met expectations. Against the money line they lost -246 units. They were not good against the spread going 89-73 (-226 loss). More of their games came in under (86) than went over (73). They are heavy favorites in their upcoming game vs the Los Angeles Angels. The table below shows their upcoming games, their simulation based win percentage and their recent head to head record (WL, ATS, OU).

OPPONENTSIM%H2H WLH2H OU
3/26 LAA69%14-5, +12011-7-1
3/27 LAA66%14-5, +12011-7-1
3/28 LAA67%14-5, +12011-7-1
3/29 LAA68%14-5, +12011-7-1
3/30 OAK50%11-8, -1538-11

TEAM STATISTICAL STRENGTHS AND WEAKNESSES

Since last season their average run differential is +1.55 which ranks #1 in the AL, which is the same as how they rank in win percentage. They are the #2 ranked team in run differential (based on all teams' road stats) and the #1 ranked team among home teams.

TEAM STATS PER GAME (League Rank):

SituationRunsBatting AvgOPS
All 180 Games5.5 (#4)0.270 (#1)0.652 (#3)
Road5.2 (#5)0.262 (#4)0.631 (#4)
Home5.8 (#1)0.278 (#2)0.674 (#2)

ALLOWED TO OPPOSING TEAMS (Lower # is Better):

SituationRunsBatting AvgOPS
All4.0 (#1)0.222 (#1)0.576 (#3)
Road3.9 (#1)0.222 (#10.555 (#1)
Home4.1 (#5)0.222 (#2)0.599 (#6)

TEAM FANTASY LEADERS

The table below show the most valuable fantasy players on the team led by Alex Bregman who is projected to be the #1 third baseman. The Better Option column shows the player directly above him and the Better Than column shows the player directly below him in the projected position rankings.

PLAYEROWN%RANKBETTER OPTIONBETTER THAN
Alex Bregman1001--Anthony Rendon
George Springer1004Christian YelichJuan Soto
Jose Altuve1001--DJ LeMahieu
Yordan Alvarez973Anthony RizzoFreddie Freeman
Yulieski Gurriel989Pete AlonsoJosh Bell
Michael Brantley9921Marcell OzunaDanny Santana
Carlos Correa939Fernando Tatis Jr.Trea Turner
Josh Reddick2572Alex DickersonNick Senzel
Aledmys Diaz932Miguel AndujarEvan White
Roberto Osuna951--Liam Hendriks