MLB Outlook for the Houston Astros in 2020

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SEASON FORECASTS AND FUTURES PICKS

Oddsmakers have the Astros as the favorite to win the World Series. They are a good bet to win the championship (23.8 percent chance). They are also a good bet to win the AL at 9/4, 30.8%. Their sim chance is 39.1%. The Astros are averaging 106.8 wins per sim which makes them a solid bet to win over 96.5 games. At -1400 the Astros are a good value to make the playoffs with a 97.6% chance. Their odds of winning their division are 1/8, 88.9%. They win the division in 83.7% of simulations. Based on wins per simulation they are projected to have the best record in the AL.

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REGULAR SEASON RECAP AND UPCOMING GAMES

They were expected to win 64% of their games last season so their 107-55 met expectations. Against the money line they lost -246 units. They were not good against the spread going 89-73 (-226 loss). More of their games came in under (86) than went over (73).

TEAM STATISTICAL STRENGTHS AND WEAKNESSES

Since last season their average run differential is +1.55 which ranks #1 in the AL, which is the same as how they rank in win percentage. They are the #2 ranked team in run differential (based on all teams' road stats) and the #1 ranked team among home teams. Their average run differential in their past 6 games is 0 which ranks them #0 over this stretch, slightly better than overall.

TEAM STATS PER GAME (League Rank):

SituationRunsBatting AvgOPS
All 180 Games5.5 (#4)0.270 (#1)0.652 (#3)
Road5.2 (#5)0.262 (#4)0.631 (#4)
Home5.8 (#1)0.278 (#2)0.674 (#2)
Last 6 Games0.0 (#0)000 (#0)000 (#0)

ALLOWED TO OPPOSING TEAMS (Lower # is Better):

SituationRunsBatting AvgOPS
All4.0 (#1)0.222 (#1)0.576 (#3)
Road3.9 (#1)0.222 (#10.555 (#1)
Home4.1 (#5)0.222 (#2)0.599 (#6)
Last 6 Games0.0 (#0)000 (#0)000 (#0)

TEAM FANTASY LEADERS

The table below show the most valuable fantasy players on the team led by Alex Bregman who is projected to be the #1 third baseman. The Better Option column shows the player directly above him and the Better Than column shows the player directly below him in the projected position rankings.

PLAYEROWN%RANKBETTER OPTIONBETTER THAN
Alex Bregman1001--Nolan Arenado
George Springer1004Mike TroutCharlie Blackmon
Jose Altuve1001--Yoan Moncada
Yordan Alvarez9710Trey ManciniBryce Harper
Yulieski Gurriel9811Jose AbreuGiancarlo Stanton
Carlos Correa936Jorge PolancoFernando Tatis Jr.
Michael Brantley9921Danny SantanaMarcell Ozuna
Roberto Osuna951--Liam Hendriks
Robinson Chirinos717Willians AstudilloWill Smith
Aledmys Diaz933Amed RosarioJ.P. Crawford