SEASON FORECASTS AND FUTURES PICKS
The Royals are not contenders to win the championship at 500/1, 0.2%. They are one of 2 teams with these odds (#26 in the league). While not completely impossible, their chances of winning the World Series is under 0.1 percent. They are not a good value to win the AL either at 250/1, 0.4%. The Royals are averaging 65.2 wins per sim which makes them a decent bet to win over 64.5 games. At +2000 the Royals are not a good value to make the playoffs with a 0.1% chance. They have less than 1% chance to win the division. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #12 in the AL.
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REGULAR SEASON RECAP AND UPCOMING GAMES
Oddsmakers expected them to win 66.9 based on their money line game odds. Their 59-103 record last season failed to meet expectations. Putting a 100 units on them to win every game would have cost you -2489 units. They were not good against the spread going 76-86 (-1890 loss). They went over 82 times and came in under 75 times. In their next game vs the White Sox they are only winning 34% of the simulations. The table below shows their upcoming games, their simulation based win percentage and their recent head to head record (WL, ATS, OU).
|OPPONENT||SIM%||H2H WL||H2H OU|
|3/26 CHW||34%||10-9, +94||10-9|
|3/28 CHW||44%||10-9, +94||10-9|
|3/29 CHW||38%||10-9, +94||10-9|
|3/30 DET||57%||9-10, -233||10-9|
|4/1 DET||53%||9-10, -233||10-9|
TEAM STATISTICAL STRENGTHS AND WEAKNESSES
Since last season their average run differential is -1.09 which ranks #13 in the AL, which is the same as how they rank in win percentage. They are the #12 ranked team in run differential (based on all teams' road stats) and the #13 ranked team among home teams.
TEAM STATS PER GAME (League Rank):
|All 162 Games||4.3 (#14)||0.247 (#11)||0.564 (#14)|
|Road||4.3 (#14)||0.238 (#13)||0.576 (#13)|
|Home||4.2 (#13)||0.256 (#7)||0.553 (#14)|
ALLOWED TO OPPOSING TEAMS (Lower # is Better):
|All||5.4 (#10)||0.273 (#14)||0.628 (#8)|
|Road||5.0 (#9)||0.268 (#13||0.636 (#12)|
|Home||5.7 (#12)||0.278 (#13)||0.622 (#9)|
TEAM FANTASY LEADERS
The table below show the most valuable fantasy players on the team led by Jorge Soler who is projected to be the #6 first baseman / DH. The Better Option column shows the player directly above him and the Better Than column shows the player directly below him in the projected position rankings.
|PLAYER||OWN%||RANK||BETTER OPTION||BETTER THAN|
|Jorge Soler||96||6||Anthony Rizzo||Carlos Santana|
|Hunter Dozier||92||15||Manny Machado||Tommy Edman|
|Whit Merrifield||99||4||Max Muncy||Tommy La Stella|
|Adalberto Mondesi||86||10||Carlos Correa||Trea Turner|
|Alex Gordon||67||61||Ramon Laureano||Avisail Garcia|
|Maikel Franco||26||24||Evan Longoria||Rio Ruiz|
|Ryan O'Hearn||10||32||Renato Nunez||Aledmys Diaz|
|Salvador Perez||10||8||Yasmani Grandal||Buster Posey|
|Nicky Lopez||4||28||Dee Gordon||Mauricio Dubon|
|Emmanuel Rivera||0||36||Todd Frazier||Jason Vosler|