MLB Outlook for the Kansas City Royals in 2020

SEASON FORECASTS AND FUTURES PICKS

The Royals are not contenders to win the championship at 500/1, 0.2%. They are one of 2 teams with these odds (#26 in the league). While not completely impossible, their chances of winning the World Series is under 0.1 percent. They are not a good value to win the AL either at 250/1, 0.4%. The Royals are averaging 65.2 wins per sim which makes them a decent bet to win over 64.5 games. At +2000 the Royals are not a good value to make the playoffs with a 0.1% chance. They have less than 1% chance to win the division. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #12 in the AL.

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REGULAR SEASON RECAP AND UPCOMING GAMES

Oddsmakers expected them to win 66.9 based on their money line game odds. Their 59-103 record last season failed to meet expectations. Putting a 100 units on them to win every game would have cost you -2489 units. They were not good against the spread going 76-86 (-1890 loss). They went over 82 times and came in under 75 times. In their next game vs the White Sox they are only winning 34% of the simulations. The table below shows their upcoming games, their simulation based win percentage and their recent head to head record (WL, ATS, OU).

OPPONENTSIM%H2H WLH2H OU
3/26 CHW34%10-9, +9410-9
3/28 CHW44%10-9, +9410-9
3/29 CHW38%10-9, +9410-9
3/30 DET57%9-10, -23310-9
4/1 DET53%9-10, -23310-9

TEAM STATISTICAL STRENGTHS AND WEAKNESSES

Since last season their average run differential is -1.09 which ranks #13 in the AL, which is the same as how they rank in win percentage. They are the #12 ranked team in run differential (based on all teams' road stats) and the #13 ranked team among home teams.

TEAM STATS PER GAME (League Rank):

SituationRunsBatting AvgOPS
All 162 Games4.3 (#14)0.247 (#11)0.564 (#14)
Road4.3 (#14)0.238 (#13)0.576 (#13)
Home4.2 (#13)0.256 (#7)0.553 (#14)

ALLOWED TO OPPOSING TEAMS (Lower # is Better):

SituationRunsBatting AvgOPS
All5.4 (#10)0.273 (#14)0.628 (#8)
Road5.0 (#9)0.268 (#130.636 (#12)
Home5.7 (#12)0.278 (#13)0.622 (#9)

TEAM FANTASY LEADERS

The table below show the most valuable fantasy players on the team led by Jorge Soler who is projected to be the #6 first baseman / DH. The Better Option column shows the player directly above him and the Better Than column shows the player directly below him in the projected position rankings.

PLAYEROWN%RANKBETTER OPTIONBETTER THAN
Jorge Soler966Anthony RizzoCarlos Santana
Hunter Dozier9215Manny MachadoTommy Edman
Whit Merrifield994Max MuncyTommy La Stella
Adalberto Mondesi8610Carlos CorreaTrea Turner
Alex Gordon6761Ramon LaureanoAvisail Garcia
Maikel Franco2624Evan LongoriaRio Ruiz
Ryan O'Hearn1032Renato NunezAledmys Diaz
Salvador Perez108Yasmani GrandalBuster Posey
Nicky Lopez428Dee GordonMauricio Dubon
Emmanuel Rivera036Todd FrazierJason Vosler