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SEASON FORECASTS AND FUTURES PICKS
Their odds to win it all are 6/1, 14.3% (#2). They win the championship in 24.3% of simulations which makes them a good betting value. They are also a good bet to win the NL at 9/4, 30.8%. Their sim chance is 42.9%. The Dodgers are averaging 102.6 wins per sim which makes them a solid bet to win over 98.5 games. At -1000 the Dodgers are a good value to make the playoffs with a 98.2% chance. Their odds of winning their division are 1/8, 88.9%. They win the division in 92.2% of simulations. Based on wins per simulation they are projected to have the best record in the NL.
For winning picks against the spread, total and money line for all MLB games by our proven computer model and leading handicappers visit SportsLine.com where you can also get fantasy basketball and daily fantasy optimal lineups from CBSSports' Top Experts.
REGULAR SEASON RECAP AND UPCOMING GAMES
Their 106-56 record last season was ahead of what was expected of them. Their expected win percentage was 62%. They were very good against the money line (+355). They were not good against the spread going 81-81 (-854 loss). They went over 77 times and came in under 76 times. They are heavy favorites in their upcoming game vs the San Francisco Giants. The table below shows their upcoming games, their simulation based win percentage and their recent head to head record (WL, ATS, OU).
| OPPONENT | SIM% | H2H WL | H2H OU |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3/26 SF | 75% | 12-7, -85 | 10-9 |
| 3/27 SF | 71% | 12-7, -85 | 10-9 |
| 3/28 SF | 73% | 12-7, -85 | 10-9 |
| 3/30 COL | 72% | 15-4, +326 | 10-8-1 |
| 3/31 COL | 68% | 15-4, +326 | 10-8-1 |
TEAM STATISTICAL STRENGTHS AND WEAKNESSES
Since last season their average run differential is +1.64 which ranks #1 in the NL, which is the same as how they rank in win percentage. They are the #1 ranked team in run differential (based on all teams' road stats). This is the same ranking they have among home teams.
TEAM STATS PER GAME (League Rank):
| Situation | Runs | Batting Avg | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|
| All 167 Games | 5.4 (#1) | 0.256 (#5) | 0.645 (#2) |
| Road | 5.5 (#1) | 0.251 (#5) | 0.639 (#2) |
| Home | 5.4 (#3) | 0.262 (#5) | 0.652 (#5) |
ALLOWED TO OPPOSING TEAMS (Lower # is Better):
| Situation | Runs | Batting Avg | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|
| All | 3.8 (#1) | 0.223 (#1) | 0.534 (#1) |
| Road | 4.2 (#3) | 0.230 (#2 | 0.531 (#1) |
| Home | 3.4 (#1) | 0.217 (#1) | 0.538 (#2) |
TEAM FANTASY LEADERS
The table below show the most valuable fantasy players on the team led by Cody Bellinger who is projected to be the #7 outfielder. The Better Option column shows the player directly above him and the Better Than column shows the player directly below him in the projected position rankings.
| PLAYER | OWN% | RANK | BETTER OPTION | BETTER THAN |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cody Bellinger | 100 | 7 | Charlie Blackmon | Trey Mancini |
| Justin Turner | 93 | 13 | Hunter Dozier | Manny Machado |
| Max Muncy | 97 | 5 | Starlin Castro | Keston Hiura |
| Joc Pederson | 80 | 46 | Thomas Pham | Anthony Santander |
| Corey Seager | 93 | 16 | Andrelton Simmons | Kevin Newman |
| A.J. Pollock | 79 | 56 | Kole Calhoun | Ramon Laureano |
| Alex Verdugo | 42 | 63 | Franmil Reyes | Brian Goodwin |
| Will Smith | 80 | 6 | Mitch Garver | Salvador Perez |
| Gavin Lux | 57 | 27 | Shedric Long | Dee Gordon |
| Kenley Jansen | 94 | 4 | Josh Hader | Emilio Pagan |