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SEASON FORECASTS AND FUTURES PICKS
Their odds to win it all are 6/1, 14.3% (#2). Even with the juice, the Dodgers are a good betting value. Their 29.1% chance to win the World Series (based on simulations) is #1 in the league. They are also a good bet to win the NL at 9/4, 30.8%. Their sim chance is 44.8%. The Dodgers are averaging 107.5 wins per sim which makes them a solid bet to win over 98.5 games. At -1000 the Dodgers are a good value to make the playoffs with a 99.7% chance. Their odds of winning their division are 1/8, 88.9%. They win the division in 95.5% of simulations. Based on wins per simulation they are projected to have the best record in the NL.
For winning picks against the spread, total and money line for all MLB games by our proven computer model and leading handicappers visit SportsLine.com where you can also get fantasy basketball and daily fantasy optimal lineups from CBSSports' Top Experts.
REGULAR SEASON RECAP AND UPCOMING GAMES
Their 106-56 record last season was ahead of what was expected of them. Their expected win percentage was 62%. In terms of money line profit, they were one of the best teams at +355. They were not good against the spread going 81-81 (-854 loss). They went over 77 times and came in under 76 times. They are heavy favorites in their upcoming game vs the San Francisco Giants. The table below shows their upcoming games, their simulation based win percentage and their recent head to head record (WL, ATS, OU).
|OPPONENT||SIM%||H2H WL||H2H OU|
|3/26 SF||76%||12-7, -85||10-9|
|3/27 SF||74%||12-7, -85||10-9|
|3/28 SF||75%||12-7, -85||10-9|
|3/30 COL||75%||15-4, +326||10-8-1|
|3/31 COL||72%||15-4, +326||10-8-1|
TEAM STATISTICAL STRENGTHS AND WEAKNESSES
Since last season their average run differential is +1.64 which ranks #1 in the NL, which is the same as how they rank in win percentage. They are the #1 ranked team in run differential (based on all teams' road stats). This is the same ranking they have among home teams.
TEAM STATS PER GAME (League Rank):
|All 167 Games||5.4 (#1)||0.256 (#5)||0.645 (#2)|
|Road||5.5 (#1)||0.251 (#5)||0.639 (#2)|
|Home||5.4 (#3)||0.262 (#5)||0.652 (#5)|
ALLOWED TO OPPOSING TEAMS (Lower # is Better):
|All||3.8 (#1)||0.223 (#1)||0.534 (#1)|
|Road||4.2 (#3)||0.230 (#2||0.531 (#1)|
|Home||3.4 (#1)||0.217 (#1)||0.538 (#2)|
TEAM FANTASY LEADERS
The table below show the most valuable fantasy players on the team led by Mookie Betts who is projected to be the #3 outfielder. The Better Option column shows the player directly above him and the Better Than column shows the player directly below him in the projected position rankings.
|PLAYER||OWN%||RANK||BETTER OPTION||BETTER THAN|
|Mookie Betts||99||3||Christian Yelich||George Springer|
|Cody Bellinger||100||5||George Springer||Charlie Blackmon|
|Justin Turner||93||11||Matt Chapman||Eduardo Escobar|
|Max Muncy||97||3||DJ LeMahieu||Whit Merrifield|
|Joc Pederson||80||36||Lourdes Gurriel||Ryan Braun|
|Corey Seager||93||14||Jean Segura||Andrelton Simmons|
|A.J. Pollock||79||49||Andrew McCutchen||Kole Calhoun|
|Keibert Ruiz||7||2||Gary Sanchez||Jacob Realmuto|
|Will Smith||80||5||Willson Contreras||Mitch Garver|
|Gavin Lux||57||23||Jed Lowrie||Joe Wendle|