SEASON FORECASTS AND FUTURES PICKS
Their odds to win it all are 20/1, 4.8% (#9). They are a good bet to win the championship (6.5 percent chance). They are also a good bet to win the AL at 9/1, 10%. Their sim chance is 16.7%. The Twins are averaging 96.8 wins per sim which makes them a solid bet to win over 90.5 games. At +210 the Twins are a good value to make the playoffs with a 85% chance. Their odds of winning their division are 10/11, 52.4%. They win the division in 73.7% of simulations. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #3 in the AL.
For winning picks against the spread, total and money line for all MLB games by our proven computer model and leading handicappers visit SportsLine.com where you can also get fantasy basketball and daily fantasy optimal lineups from CBSSports' Top Experts.
REGULAR SEASON RECAP AND UPCOMING GAMES
Their 101-61 record last season was way ahead of what was expected of them. Their game-by-game odds gave them a projected record of 90.4-71.6. They were very good against the money line (+1407). They went 90-72 against the spread (-88 loss). They went over 81 times and came in under 75 times. Their next game vs the Athletics should be close. The Twins are winning 49 percent of computer simulations. The table below shows their upcoming games, their simulation based win percentage and their recent head to head record (WL, ATS, OU).
|OPPONENT||SIM%||H2H WL||H2H OU|
|3/26 OAK||49%||3-4, -172||2-5|
|3/27 OAK||48%||3-4, -172||2-5|
|3/28 OAK||49%||3-4, -172||2-5|
|3/29 OAK||57%||3-4, -172||2-5|
|3/30 SEA||64%||5-2, +164||6-1|
TEAM STATISTICAL STRENGTHS AND WEAKNESSES
Since last season their average run differential is +1.02 which ranks #3 in the AL, which is the same as how they rank in win percentage. This is a relatively better road team than a home team. They are the #1 ranked team in run differential in road games, vs #6 in home games.
TEAM STATS PER GAME (League Rank):
|All 165 Games||5.7 (#2)||0.269 (#3)||0.678 (#2)|
|Road||6.1 (#2)||0.274 (#1)||0.699 (#2)|
|Home||5.4 (#5)||0.264 (#3)||0.656 (#4)|
ALLOWED TO OPPOSING TEAMS (Lower # is Better):
|All||4.7 (#6)||0.257 (#8)||0.594 (#4)|
|Road||4.6 (#5)||0.252 (#5||0.612 (#5)|
|Home||4.9 (#6)||0.262 (#11)||0.580 (#3)|
TEAM FANTASY LEADERS
The table below show the most valuable fantasy players on the team led by Nelson Cruz who is projected to be the #1 first baseman / DH. The Better Option column shows the player directly above him and the Better Than column shows the player directly below him in the projected position rankings.
|PLAYER||OWN%||RANK||BETTER OPTION||BETTER THAN|
|Nelson Cruz||98||1||--||Jose Abreu|
|Josh Donaldson||99||5||Jose Ramirez||Rafael Devers|
|Max Kepler||94||14||Nick Castellanos||Eloy Jimenez|
|Jorge Polanco||98||6||Marcus Semien||Trevor Story|
|Eddie Rosario||99||22||Marcell Ozuna||Mike Tauchman|
|Byron Buxton||41||33||Kyle Schwarber||David Dahl|
|Miguel Sano||76||19||Mike Moustakas||Kyle Seager|
|Luis Arraez||57||7||Keston Hiura||Starlin Castro|
|Mitch Garver||87||6||Will Smith||Yasmani Grandal|
|Jake Cave||4||125||Keon Broxton||Daniel Woodrow|