MLB Outlook for the New York Yankees in 2020

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SEASON FORECASTS AND FUTURES PICKS

Oddsmakers have the Yankees as the favorite to win the World Series. Their simulation based win percentage (20.6%) is not better than their odds implied probability but it would be if not for the juice on the lines. In simulations, they win the AL 34.3% of the time and are not a good value at 5/4, 44.4%. The Yankees are averaging 101.2 wins per sim which is essentially the same as their futures line of 101.5 wins. At -700 the Yankees are a good value to make the playoffs with a 92.4% chance. Their odds of winning their division are 1/8, 88.9%. They win the division in 73.2% of simulations. Based on wins per simulation they are projected to have the best record in the AL.

For winning picks against the spread, total and money line for all MLB games by our proven computer model and leading handicappers visit SportsLine.com where you can also get fantasy basketball and daily fantasy optimal lineups from CBSSports' Top Experts.

REGULAR SEASON RECAP AND UPCOMING GAMES

Their 103-59 record last season was ahead of what was expected of them. Their game-by-game odds gave them a projected record of 95.3-66.7. They were very good against the money line (+872). They were very good against the spread going 94-68 for (+1643 profit). They went over 85 times and came in under 73 times. They are heavy favorites in their upcoming game vs the Baltimore Orioles. The table below shows their upcoming games, their simulation based win percentage and their recent head to head record (WL, ATS, OU).

OPPONENTSIM%H2H WLH2H OU
3/26 BAL69%17-2, +49816-3
3/28 BAL72%17-2, +49816-3
3/29 BAL70%17-2, +49816-3
3/30 TB50%12-7, +4387-10-2
3/31 TB57%12-7, +4387-10-2

TEAM STATISTICAL STRENGTHS AND WEAKNESSES

Since last season their average run differential is +1.28 which ranks #2 in the AL, which is the same as how they rank in win percentage. They are the #3 ranked team in run differential (based on all teams' road stats) and the #2 ranked team among home teams.

TEAM STATS PER GAME (League Rank):

SituationRunsBatting AvgOPS
All 171 Games5.8 (#1)0.266 (#4)0.690 (#1)
Road6.1 (#1)0.271 (#2)0.705 (#1)
Home5.4 (#4)0.261 (#5)0.673 (#3)

ALLOWED TO OPPOSING TEAMS (Lower # is Better):

SituationRunsBatting AvgOPS
All4.5 (#5)0.246 (#5)0.615 (#6)
Road5.1 (#10)0.261 (#90.642 (#14)
Home3.9 (#2)0.231 (#3)0.591 (#4)

TEAM FANTASY LEADERS

The table below show the most valuable fantasy players on the team led by Gleyber Torres who is projected to be the #4 shortstop. The Better Option column shows the player directly above him and the Better Than column shows the player directly below him in the projected position rankings.

PLAYEROWN%RANKBETTER OPTIONBETTER THAN
Gleyber Torres994Javier BaezMarcus Semien
DJ LeMahieu992Jose AltuveMax Muncy
Aaron Judge10016Eloy JimenezWillie Calhoun
Mike Tauchman2323Eddie RosarioGiancarlo Stanton
Giancarlo Stanton9324Mike TauchmanKevin Pillar
Miguel Andujar2615Paul GoldschmidtMatt Olson
Gary Sanchez911--Keibert Ruiz
Giovanny Urshela7521Kyle SeagerAsdrubal Cabrera
Luke Voit8521Daniel MurphyKhris Davis
Trey Amburgey088Lorenzo CainWil Myers