MLB Outlook for the New York Yankees in 2020

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SEASON FORECASTS AND FUTURES PICKS

Oddsmakers have the Yankees as the favorite to win the World Series. Our projection recommends not betting on them to win it all. Their 19.6% chance is #2 in the league. In simulations, they win the AL 34.1% of the time and are not a good value at 5/4, 44.4%. Our projection is leaning on them to win under 101.5 games. The Yankees are averaging 100.9 wins per sim. At -700 the Yankees are a good value to make the playoffs with a 92.1% chance. Their odds of winning their division are 1/8, 88.9%. They win the division in 70.9% of simulations. Based on wins per simulation they are projected to have the best record in the AL.

For winning picks against the spread, total and money line for all MLB games by our proven computer model and leading handicappers visit SportsLine.com where you can also get fantasy basketball and daily fantasy optimal lineups from CBSSports' Top Experts.

REGULAR SEASON RECAP AND UPCOMING GAMES

Based on last season's game odds they 'should have had' 95.3 wins. Their 103-59 record last season was ahead of what was expected of them. In terms of money line profit, they were one of the best teams at +872. They were very good against the spread going 94-68 for (+1643 profit). They went over 85 times and came in under 73 times. They are favored in their upcoming game vs the Baltimore Orioles. The table below shows their upcoming games, their simulation based win percentage and their recent head to head record (WL, ATS, OU).

OPPONENTSIM%H2H WLH2H OU
3/26 BAL65%17-2, +49816-3
3/28 BAL68%17-2, +49816-3
3/29 BAL69%17-2, +49816-3
3/30 TB48%12-7, +4387-10-2
3/31 TB51%12-7, +4387-10-2

TEAM STATISTICAL STRENGTHS AND WEAKNESSES

Since last season their average run differential is +1.28 which ranks #2 in the AL, which is the same as how they rank in win percentage. They are the #3 ranked team in run differential (based on all teams' road stats) and the #2 ranked team among home teams.

TEAM STATS PER GAME (League Rank):

SituationRunsBatting AvgOPS
All 171 Games5.8 (#1)0.266 (#4)0.690 (#1)
Road6.1 (#1)0.271 (#2)0.705 (#1)
Home5.4 (#4)0.261 (#5)0.673 (#3)

ALLOWED TO OPPOSING TEAMS (Lower # is Better):

SituationRunsBatting AvgOPS
All4.5 (#5)0.246 (#5)0.615 (#6)
Road5.1 (#10)0.261 (#90.642 (#14)
Home3.9 (#2)0.231 (#3)0.591 (#4)

TEAM FANTASY LEADERS

The table below show the most valuable fantasy players on the team led by Gleyber Torres who is projected to be the #4 shortstop. The Better Option column shows the player directly above him and the Better Than column shows the player directly below him in the projected position rankings.

PLAYEROWN%RANKBETTER OPTIONBETTER THAN
Gleyber Torres994Javier BaezMarcus Semien
DJ LeMahieu992Jose AltuveMax Muncy
Mike Tauchman2320Kevin PillarWillie Calhoun
Aaron Judge10029Kyle SchwarberGiancarlo Stanton
Giancarlo Stanton9330Aaron JudgeDavid Dahl
Miguel Andujar2616Matt OlsonJoey Votto
Giovanny Urshela7521Kyle SeagerAsdrubal Cabrera
Gary Sanchez911--Jacob Realmuto
Luke Voit8523Michael ChavisYonder Alonso
Brett Gardner6693Jason HeywardGreg Allen