MLB Outlook for the Oakland Athletics in 2020

SEASON FORECASTS AND FUTURES PICKS

They are one of 4 teams with 25/1, 3.8% odds to win the World Series. Our projection recommends not betting on them to win it all. Their 2.7% chance is #9 in the league. In simulations, they win the AL 6.1% of the time and are not a good value at 12/1, 7.7%. The Athletics are averaging 90.3 wins per sim which makes them a solid bet to win over 88.5 games. At +240 the Athletics are a good value to make the playoffs with a 50% chance. Their odds of winning their division are 7/2, 22.2%. They win the division in 15.2% of simulations. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #5 in the AL.

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REGULAR SEASON RECAP AND UPCOMING GAMES

Their 97-65 record last season was way ahead of what was expected of them. Their expected win percentage was just 53%. In terms of money line profit, they were one of the best teams at +1524. They were very good against the spread going 90-72 for (+717 profit). More of their games came in under (87) than went over (71). They are favored in their upcoming game vs the Minnesota Twins. The table below shows their upcoming games, their simulation based win percentage and their recent head to head record (WL, ATS, OU).

OPPONENTSIM%H2H WLH2H OU
3/26 MIN54%4-3, +1612-5
3/27 MIN53%4-3, +1612-5
3/28 MIN56%4-3, +1612-5
3/29 MIN47%4-3, +1612-5
3/30 HOU48%8-11, +358-11

TEAM STATISTICAL STRENGTHS AND WEAKNESSES

Since last season their average run differential is +0.98 which ranks #4 in the AL, which is the same as how they rank in win percentage. They are the #4 ranked team in run differential (based on all teams' road stats) and the #3 ranked team among home teams.

TEAM STATS PER GAME (League Rank):

SituationRunsBatting AvgOPS
All 163 Games5.2 (#5)0.249 (#8)0.630 (#5)
Road5.4 (#4)0.251 (#8)0.627 (#5)
Home4.9 (#6)0.246 (#11)0.632 (#6)

ALLOWED TO OPPOSING TEAMS (Lower # is Better):

SituationRunsBatting AvgOPS
All4.2 (#4)0.242 (#4)0.569 (#1)
Road4.5 (#4)0.250 (#40.597 (#3)
Home3.9 (#3)0.235 (#4)0.542 (#1)

TEAM FANTASY LEADERS

The table below show the most valuable fantasy players on the team led by Marcus Semien who is projected to be the #5 shortstop. The Better Option column shows the player directly above him and the Better Than column shows the player directly below him in the projected position rankings.

PLAYEROWN%RANKBETTER OPTIONBETTER THAN
Marcus Semien975Gleyber TorresTrevor Story
Matt Chapman9910Eugenio SuarezJustin Turner
Mark Canha6730Mitch HanigerDanny Santana
Matt Olson9215Edwin EncarnacionJoey Votto
Khris Davis8122Michael ChavisYonder Alonso
Ramon Laureano6458Avisail GarciaNick Markakis
Stephen Piscotty3377Manuel MargotAdam Haseley
Liam Hendriks883Kenley JansenJosh Hader
Sheldon Neuse232Mauricio DubonJason Kipnis
Chad Pinder5122Nick WilliamsJo Adell