MLB Outlook for the Oakland Athletics in 2020

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SEASON FORECASTS AND FUTURES PICKS

Their odds to win it all are 30/1, 3.2% (#15). They are a good bet to win the championship (4.7 percent chance). They are also a good bet to win the AL at 15/1, 6.2%. Their sim chance is 9.1%. The Athletics are averaging 95.7 wins per sim which makes them a solid bet to win over 81.5 games. At +240 the Athletics are a good value to make the playoffs with a 70.4% chance. Their odds of winning their division are 8/1, 11.1%. They win the division in 16.1% of simulations. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #3 in the AL.

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REGULAR SEASON RECAP AND UPCOMING GAMES

Their 97-65 record last season was way ahead of what was expected of them. Their expected win percentage was just 53%. In terms of money line profit, they were one of the best teams at +1524. They were very good against the spread going 90-72 for (+717 profit). More of their games came in under (87) than went over (71).

TEAM STATISTICAL STRENGTHS AND WEAKNESSES

Since last season their average run differential is +0.98 which ranks #4 in the AL, which is the same as how they rank in win percentage. They are the #4 ranked team in run differential (based on all teams' road stats) and the #3 ranked team among home teams.

TEAM STATS PER GAME (League Rank):

SituationRunsBatting AvgOPS
All 163 Games5.2 (#5)0.249 (#8)0.630 (#5)
Road5.4 (#4)0.251 (#8)0.627 (#5)
Home4.9 (#6)0.246 (#11)0.632 (#6)

ALLOWED TO OPPOSING TEAMS (Lower # is Better):

SituationRunsBatting AvgOPS
All4.2 (#4)0.242 (#4)0.569 (#1)
Road4.5 (#4)0.250 (#40.597 (#3)
Home3.9 (#3)0.235 (#4)0.542 (#1)

TEAM FANTASY LEADERS

The table below show the most valuable fantasy players on the team led by Marcus Semien who is projected to be the #3 shortstop. The Better Option column shows the player directly above him and the Better Than column shows the player directly below him in the projected position rankings.

PLAYEROWN%RANKBETTER OPTIONBETTER THAN
Marcus Semien973Francisco LindorTrevor Story
Matt Chapman997Kris BryantEugenio Suarez
Mark Canha6719Kyle SchwarberDanny Santana
Matt Olson9215Max MuncyShin-Soo Choo
Jurickson Profar6412Trea TurnerAdalberto Mondesi
Khris Davis8117Shin-Soo ChooJoey Votto
Stephen Piscotty3359Michael ConfortoOdubel Herrera
Liam Hendriks882Roberto OsunaJosh Hader
Ramon Laureano6477Kevin KiermaierJason Heyward
Josh Phegley2312Salvador PerezTravis d'Arnaud