SEASON FORECASTS AND FUTURES PICKS
They are one of 4 teams with 25/1, 3.8% odds to win the World Series. Our projection recommends not betting on them to win it all. Their 2.7% chance is #9 in the league. In simulations, they win the AL 6.1% of the time and are not a good value at 12/1, 7.7%. The Athletics are averaging 90.3 wins per sim which makes them a solid bet to win over 88.5 games. At +240 the Athletics are a good value to make the playoffs with a 50% chance. Their odds of winning their division are 7/2, 22.2%. They win the division in 15.2% of simulations. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #5 in the AL.
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REGULAR SEASON RECAP AND UPCOMING GAMES
Their 97-65 record last season was way ahead of what was expected of them. Their expected win percentage was just 53%. In terms of money line profit, they were one of the best teams at +1524. They were very good against the spread going 90-72 for (+717 profit). More of their games came in under (87) than went over (71). They are favored in their upcoming game vs the Minnesota Twins. The table below shows their upcoming games, their simulation based win percentage and their recent head to head record (WL, ATS, OU).
|OPPONENT||SIM%||H2H WL||H2H OU|
|3/26 MIN||54%||4-3, +161||2-5|
|3/27 MIN||53%||4-3, +161||2-5|
|3/28 MIN||56%||4-3, +161||2-5|
|3/29 MIN||47%||4-3, +161||2-5|
|3/30 HOU||48%||8-11, +35||8-11|
TEAM STATISTICAL STRENGTHS AND WEAKNESSES
Since last season their average run differential is +0.98 which ranks #4 in the AL, which is the same as how they rank in win percentage. They are the #4 ranked team in run differential (based on all teams' road stats) and the #3 ranked team among home teams.
TEAM STATS PER GAME (League Rank):
|All 163 Games||5.2 (#5)||0.249 (#8)||0.630 (#5)|
|Road||5.4 (#4)||0.251 (#8)||0.627 (#5)|
|Home||4.9 (#6)||0.246 (#11)||0.632 (#6)|
ALLOWED TO OPPOSING TEAMS (Lower # is Better):
|All||4.2 (#4)||0.242 (#4)||0.569 (#1)|
|Road||4.5 (#4)||0.250 (#4||0.597 (#3)|
|Home||3.9 (#3)||0.235 (#4)||0.542 (#1)|
TEAM FANTASY LEADERS
The table below show the most valuable fantasy players on the team led by Marcus Semien who is projected to be the #5 shortstop. The Better Option column shows the player directly above him and the Better Than column shows the player directly below him in the projected position rankings.
|PLAYER||OWN%||RANK||BETTER OPTION||BETTER THAN|
|Marcus Semien||97||5||Gleyber Torres||Trevor Story|
|Matt Chapman||99||10||Eugenio Suarez||Justin Turner|
|Mark Canha||67||30||Mitch Haniger||Danny Santana|
|Matt Olson||92||15||Edwin Encarnacion||Joey Votto|
|Khris Davis||81||22||Michael Chavis||Yonder Alonso|
|Ramon Laureano||64||58||Avisail Garcia||Nick Markakis|
|Stephen Piscotty||33||77||Manuel Margot||Adam Haseley|
|Liam Hendriks||88||3||Kenley Jansen||Josh Hader|
|Sheldon Neuse||2||32||Mauricio Dubon||Jason Kipnis|
|Chad Pinder||5||122||Nick Williams||Jo Adell|