SEASON FORECASTS AND FUTURES PICKS
The Pirates are not contenders to win the championship at 200/1, 0.5%. They have no chance to win the championship. They are not a good value to win the NL either at 100/1, 1%. The Pirates are averaging 66.7 wins per sim so we recommend betting them to come under 72.5 wins. At +500 the Pirates are not a good value to make the playoffs with a 0.9% chance. They have less than 1% chance to win the division. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #14 in the NL.
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REGULAR SEASON RECAP AND UPCOMING GAMES
They were expected to win 44% of their games last season so their 69-93 met expectations. Putting a 100 units on them to win every game would have cost you -1346 units. They were not good against the spread going 76-86 (-2736 loss). They went over 92 times and came in under 63 times. In their next game vs the Rays they are only winning 30% of the simulations. The table below shows their upcoming games, their simulation based win percentage and their recent head to head record (WL, ATS, OU).
|OPPONENT||SIM%||H2H WL||H2H OU|
|3/26 TB||30%||0-0, 0||0-0|
|3/28 TB||28%||0-0, 0||0-0|
|3/29 TB||31%||0-0, 0||0-0|
|3/30 CHC||30%||8-11, -55||11-8|
|3/31 CHC||40%||8-11, -55||11-8|
TEAM STATISTICAL STRENGTHS AND WEAKNESSES
Since last season their average run differential is -0.94 which ranks #14 in the NL, which is the same as how they rank in win percentage. They are the #13 ranked team in run differential (based on all teams' road stats). This is the same ranking they have among home teams.
TEAM STATS PER GAME (League Rank):
|All 162 Games||4.7 (#10)||0.265 (#2)||0.608 (#10)|
|Road||4.7 (#8)||0.268 (#1)||0.615 (#4)|
|Home||4.7 (#10)||0.262 (#3)||0.601 (#11)|
ALLOWED TO OPPOSING TEAMS (Lower # is Better):
|All||5.6 (#14)||0.268 (#14)||0.666 (#14)|
|Road||5.6 (#15)||0.272 (#15||0.648 (#12)|
|Home||5.7 (#14)||0.265 (#14)||0.686 (#14)|
TEAM FANTASY LEADERS
The table below show the most valuable fantasy players on the team led by Josh Bell who is projected to be the #11 first baseman / DH. The Better Option column shows the player directly above him and the Better Than column shows the player directly below him in the projected position rankings.
|PLAYER||OWN%||RANK||BETTER OPTION||BETTER THAN|
|Josh Bell||93||11||J.D. Martinez||Rhys Hoskins|
|Bryan Reynolds||82||42||Nomar Mazara||Thomas Pham|
|Gregory Polanco||24||54||Mike Yastrzemski||Jesse Winker|
|Kevin Newman||59||21||Elvis Andrus||Amed Rosario|
|J.T. Riddle||0||92||Ian Happ||Jason Heyward|
|Adam Frazier||30||33||Jason Kipnis||Joe Panik|
|Colin Moran||20||43||Brad Miller||Yu-Cheng Chang|
|Jacob Stallings||2||32||Danny Jansen||Chance Sisco|
|Jarrod Dyson||18||147||Scott Heineman||Cameron Maybin|
|Jose Osuna||7||57||Jesus Aguilar||Brandon Dixon|