MLB Outlook for the Pittsburgh Pirates in 2020

SEASON FORECASTS AND FUTURES PICKS

The Pirates are not contenders to win the championship at 200/1, 0.5%. They have no chance to win the championship. They are not a good value to win the NL either at 100/1, 1%. The Pirates are averaging 66.7 wins per sim so we recommend betting them to come under 72.5 wins. At +500 the Pirates are not a good value to make the playoffs with a 0.9% chance. They have less than 1% chance to win the division. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #14 in the NL.

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REGULAR SEASON RECAP AND UPCOMING GAMES

They were expected to win 44% of their games last season so their 69-93 met expectations. Putting a 100 units on them to win every game would have cost you -1346 units. They were not good against the spread going 76-86 (-2736 loss). They went over 92 times and came in under 63 times. In their next game vs the Rays they are only winning 30% of the simulations. The table below shows their upcoming games, their simulation based win percentage and their recent head to head record (WL, ATS, OU).

OPPONENTSIM%H2H WLH2H OU
3/26 TB30%0-0, 00-0
3/28 TB28%0-0, 00-0
3/29 TB31%0-0, 00-0
3/30 CHC30%8-11, -5511-8
3/31 CHC40%8-11, -5511-8

TEAM STATISTICAL STRENGTHS AND WEAKNESSES

Since last season their average run differential is -0.94 which ranks #14 in the NL, which is the same as how they rank in win percentage. They are the #13 ranked team in run differential (based on all teams' road stats). This is the same ranking they have among home teams.

TEAM STATS PER GAME (League Rank):

SituationRunsBatting AvgOPS
All 162 Games4.7 (#10)0.265 (#2)0.608 (#10)
Road4.7 (#8)0.268 (#1)0.615 (#4)
Home4.7 (#10)0.262 (#3)0.601 (#11)

ALLOWED TO OPPOSING TEAMS (Lower # is Better):

SituationRunsBatting AvgOPS
All5.6 (#14)0.268 (#14)0.666 (#14)
Road5.6 (#15)0.272 (#150.648 (#12)
Home5.7 (#14)0.265 (#14)0.686 (#14)

TEAM FANTASY LEADERS

The table below show the most valuable fantasy players on the team led by Josh Bell who is projected to be the #11 first baseman / DH. The Better Option column shows the player directly above him and the Better Than column shows the player directly below him in the projected position rankings.

PLAYEROWN%RANKBETTER OPTIONBETTER THAN
Josh Bell9311J.D. MartinezRhys Hoskins
Bryan Reynolds8242Nomar MazaraThomas Pham
Gregory Polanco2454Mike YastrzemskiJesse Winker
Kevin Newman5921Elvis AndrusAmed Rosario
J.T. Riddle092Ian HappJason Heyward
Adam Frazier3033Jason KipnisJoe Panik
Colin Moran2043Brad MillerYu-Cheng Chang
Jacob Stallings232Danny JansenChance Sisco
Jarrod Dyson18147Scott HeinemanCameron Maybin
Jose Osuna757Jesus AguilarBrandon Dixon