MLB Outlook for the St Louis Cardinals in 2020

SEASON FORECASTS AND FUTURES PICKS

Their odds to win it all are 14/1, 6.7% (#5). Their 2.1% chance is #11 in the league which is not high enough to be a good bet. In simulations, they win the NL 5.8% of the time and are not a good value at 6/1, 14.3%. The Cardinals are averaging 84.1 wins per sim so we recommend betting them to come under 88.5 wins. At -110 the Cardinals are not a good value to make the playoffs with a 39% chance. Their odds of winning their division are 3/2, 40%. They win the division in 24.6% of simulations. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #6 in the NL.

For winning picks against the spread, total and money line for all MLB games by our proven computer model and leading handicappers visit SportsLine.com where you can also get fantasy basketball and daily fantasy optimal lineups from CBSSports' Top Experts.

REGULAR SEASON RECAP AND UPCOMING GAMES

Their 91-71 record last season was ahead of what was expected of them. Their expected win percentage was 53%. In terms of money line profit, they were one of the best teams at +664. They were very good against the spread going 88-74 for (+312 profit). More of their games came in under (85) than went over (68). Based on computer simulations they only have a 45% chance to beat the Reds in their next game. The table below shows their upcoming games, their simulation based win percentage and their recent head to head record (WL, ATS, OU).

OPPONENTSIM%H2H WLH2H OU
3/26 CIN45%12-7, +2766-10-3
3/28 CIN44%12-7, +2766-10-3
3/29 CIN49%12-7, +2766-10-3
3/30 MIL46%10-9, +279-9-1
3/31 MIL47%10-9, +279-9-1

TEAM STATISTICAL STRENGTHS AND WEAKNESSES

Their record is slightly better than it should be. Since last season their average run differential is +0.57 which ranks #5 in the NL, but their rank based on win percentage is #4. This is a relatively better home team than a road team. They are the #3 ranked team in run differential in home games, vs #6 in road games.

TEAM STATS PER GAME (League Rank):

SituationRunsBatting AvgOPS
All 171 Games4.7 (#11)0.243 (#12)0.585 (#13)
Road4.7 (#10)0.241 (#10)0.602 (#10)
Home4.6 (#11)0.245 (#12)0.569 (#13)

ALLOWED TO OPPOSING TEAMS (Lower # is Better):

SituationRunsBatting AvgOPS
All4.1 (#2)0.239 (#3)0.570 (#2)
Road4.6 (#4)0.252 (#60.597 (#4)
Home3.6 (#2)0.226 (#2)0.543 (#3)

TEAM FANTASY LEADERS

The table below show the most valuable fantasy players on the team led by Tommy Edman who is projected to be the #16 third baseman. The Better Option column shows the player directly above him and the Better Than column shows the player directly below him in the projected position rankings.

PLAYEROWN%RANKBETTER OPTIONBETTER THAN
Tommy Edman5516Hunter DozierBrian Anderson
Paul Goldschmidt9914Edwin EncarnacionMiguel Andujar
Paul DeJong9216Andrelton SimmonsDidi Gregorius
Kolten Wong5314Eric SogardRobinson Cano
Tyler O'Neill1164Trent GrishamAlex Verdugo
Matt Carpenter6631Matt DuffyJedd Gyorko
Harrison Bader16104Mallex SmithJon Jay
Dexter Fowler19108Jake FraleyJorge Bonifacio
Yadier Molina8610Buster PoseyRobinson Chirinos
Brad Miller342Travis ShawColin Moran