MLB Power Ranking: Astros Projected for More Wins But Yankees Have Better Chance to Win World Series

1LOS ANGELES DODGERS
Projected Record: 103-59

They win the championship in 24.3% of simulations which makes them a good betting value. Current Odds are 6/1, 14.3%. The Dodgers are averaging 102.6 wins per sim which makes them a solid bet to win over 98.5 games. Based on wins per simulation they are projected to have the best record in the NL. They went 106-56 last season. They were not good against the spread going 81-81 (-854 loss).

Sportsline.com uses these situations where a team's power ranking is not in line with what oddsmakers and the public think to find great values against the money line and run line.

2NEW YORK YANKEES
Projected Record: 98-64

Our projection recommends not betting on them to win it all. Their 17.1% chance is #2 in the league. Current Odds are 3/1, 25%. The Yankees are averaging 98.4 wins per sim so we recommend betting them to come under 101.5 wins. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #2 in the AL. They went 103-59 last season. They were very good against the spread going 94-68 for (+1643 profit).

3HOUSTON ASTROS
Projected Record: 102-60

They are a good bet to win the championship (15.8 percent chance). Current Odds are 8/1, 11.1%. The Astros are averaging 101.6 wins per sim which makes them a solid bet to win over 94.5 games. Based on wins per simulation they are projected to have the best record in the AL. They went 107-55 last season. They were not good against the spread going 89-73 (-226 loss).

4CHICAGO CUBS
Projected Record: 91-71

Even with the juice, the Cubs are a good betting value. Their 6.2% chance to win the World Series (based on simulations) is #4 in the league. Current Odds are 30/1, 3.2%. The Cubs are averaging 90.5 wins per sim which makes them a solid bet to win over 84.5 games. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #2 in the NL. They went 84-78 last season. They were not good against the spread going 76-86 (-1148 loss).

5MINNESOTA TWINS
Projected Record: 94-68

They win the championship in 5.2% of simulations which makes them a good betting value. Current Odds are 20/1, 4.8%. The Twins are averaging 94.1 wins per sim which makes them a solid bet to win over 90.5 games. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #5 in the AL. Their 101-61 record last season was way ahead of what was expected of them. Their game-by-game odds gave them a projected record of 90.4-71.6. They were very good against the money line (+1407).

6TAMPA BAY RAYS
Projected Record: 94-68

They win the championship in 4.7% of simulations which makes them a good betting value. Current Odds are 25/1, 3.8%. The Rays are averaging 94.2 wins per sim which makes them a solid bet to win over 89.5 games. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #4 in the AL. They went 96-66 last season. They were not good against the spread going 81-81 (-1041 loss).

7WASHINGTON NATIONALS
Projected Record: 88-74

Their 4.2% chance is #7 in the league which is not high enough to be a good bet. Current Odds are 16/1, 5.9%. The Nationals are averaging 88.4 wins per sim so we recommend betting them to come under 90.5 wins. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #3 in the NL. They were expected to win 56% of their games last season so their 94-69 met expectations. Against the money line they turned a +54 profit. They broke even against the money line.

8BOSTON RED SOX
Projected Record: 95-67

If futures lines were not heavily juiced, the Red Sox would be a good betting value. Their 3.8% chance to win the World Series (based on simulations) is #8 in the league. Current Odds are 25/1, 3.8%. The Red Sox are averaging 94.8 wins per sim which makes them a solid bet to win over 87.5 games. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #3 in the AL. They went 84-78 last season. They were not good against the spread going 68-94 (-4111 loss).

9ATLANTA BRAVES
Projected Record: 87-75

Our projection recommends not betting on them to win it all. Their 3.7% chance is #9 in the league. Current Odds are 12/1, 7.7%. The Braves are averaging 87 wins per sim so we recommend betting them to come under 90.5 wins. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #4 in the NL. They went 97-65 last season. They were not good against the spread going 81-81 (-490 loss).

10OAKLAND ATHLETICS
Projected Record: 90-72

Our projection recommends not betting on them to win it all. Their 2.8% chance is #10 in the league. Current Odds are 25/1, 3.8%. The Athletics are averaging 89.8 wins per sim which makes them a decent bet to win over 88.5 games. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #6 in the AL. They went 97-65 last season. They were very good against the spread going 90-72 for (+717 profit).

11ARIZONA D-BACKS
Projected Record: 86-76

Even with the juice, the D-Backs are a good betting value. Their 2.6% chance to win the World Series (based on simulations) is #11 in the league. Current Odds are 40/1, 2.4%. The D-Backs are averaging 85.6 wins per sim which makes them a solid bet to win over 83.5 games. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #5 in the NL. Based on last season's game odds they 'should have had' 79.7 wins. Their 85-77 record last season was ahead of what was expected of them. They were very good against the money line (+688).

12MILWAUKEE BREWERS
Projected Record: 85-77

Even with the juice, the Brewers are a good betting value. Their 2.6% chance to win the World Series (based on simulations) is #12 in the league. Current Odds are 40/1, 2.4%. The Brewers are averaging 85.4 wins per sim which makes them a solid bet to win over 82.5 games. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #6 in the NL. They went 89-74 last season. They were not good against the spread going 79-84 (-1603 loss).

13ST. LOUIS CARDINALS
Projected Record: 85-77

Their 2.5% chance is #13 in the league which is not high enough to be a good bet. Current Odds are 14/1, 6.7%. The Cardinals are averaging 85.1 wins per sim so we recommend betting them to come under 88.5 wins. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #7 in the NL. They went 91-71 last season. They were very good against the spread going 88-74 for (+312 profit).

14CLEVELAND INDIANS
Projected Record: 90-72

Their 2.1% chance is #14 in the league which is not high enough to be a good bet. Current Odds are 25/1, 3.8%. The Indians are averaging 89.6 wins per sim which makes them a solid bet to win over 84.5 games. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #7 in the AL. They went 93-69 last season. They were not good against the spread going 86-76 (-266 loss).

15NEW YORK METS
Projected Record: 84-78

They are not a good bet to win the World Series. Their 1.2% chance is #15 in the league. Current Odds are 16/1, 5.9%. The Mets are averaging 83.6 wins per sim so we recommend betting them to come under 86.5 wins. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #8 in the NL. They were expected to win 54% of their games last season so their 86-76 met expectations. Against the money line they lost -557 units.

16PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES
Projected Record: 77-85

Their 0.4% chance is #16 in the league which is not high enough to be a good bet. Current Odds are 18/1, 5.3%. The Phillies are averaging 76.6 wins per sim so we recommend betting them to come under 85.5 wins. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #9 in the NL. They went 81-81 last season. They were not good against the spread going 78-84 (-1222 loss).

17LOS ANGELES ANGELS
Projected Record: 82-80

They are not a good bet to win the World Series. Their 0.3% chance is #17 in the league. Current Odds are 30/1, 3.2%. The Angels are averaging 81.8 wins per sim so we recommend betting them to come under 84.5 wins. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #8 in the AL. They went 72-90 last season. They were not good against the spread going 79-83 (-837 loss).

18COLORADO ROCKIES
Projected Record: 76-86

They are not a good bet to win the World Series. Their 0.1% chance is #18 in the league. Current Odds are 100/1, 1%. The Rockies are averaging 75.8 wins per sim which makes them a decent bet to win over 74.5 games. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #10 in the NL. They went 71-91 last season. They were not good against the spread going 73-89 (-2542 loss).

19CHICAGO WHITE SOX
Projected Record: 76-86

While not completely impossible, their chances of winning the World Series is under 0.1 percent. Current Odds are 40/1, 2.4%. The White Sox are averaging 76.3 wins per sim so we recommend betting them to come under 83.5 wins. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #9 in the AL. They went 72-89 last season. They were not good against the spread going 80-81 (-236 loss).

20CINCINNATI REDS
Projected Record: 73-89

While not completely impossible, their chances of winning the World Series is under 0.1 percent. Current Odds are 30/1, 3.2%. The Reds are averaging 73.4 wins per sim so we recommend betting them to come under 83.5 wins. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #11 in the NL. They went 75-87 last season. They were not good against the spread going 83-79 (-670 loss).

21SAN DIEGO PADRES
Projected Record: 73-89

They win the World Series in less than 0.1% of simulations. Current Odds are 50/1, 2%. The Padres are averaging 73.4 wins per sim so we recommend betting them to come under 82.5 wins. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #12 in the NL. Their 70-92 record last season failed to meet expectations. Their expected win percentage was 49%. Anyone betting on them to win every game would have lost a lot (-2315) based on a 100 unit risk per game.

22SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS
Projected Record: 73-89

They win the World Series in less than 0.1% of simulations. Current Odds are 300/1, 0.3%. The Giants are averaging 72.6 wins per sim which makes them a solid bet to win over 68.5 games. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #13 in the NL. They went 77-85 last season. They were not good against the spread going 80-82 (-1664 loss).

23TEXAS RANGERS
Projected Record: 74-88

They win the World Series in less than 0.1% of simulations. Current Odds are 50/1, 2%. The Rangers are averaging 73.5 wins per sim so we recommend betting them to come under 79.5 wins. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #11 in the AL. Their 78-84 record last season was ahead of what was expected of them. Their game-by-game odds gave them a projected record of 72-90. In terms of money line profit, they were one of the best teams at +466.

24PITTSBURGH PIRATES
Projected Record: 72-90

They win the World Series in less than 0.1% of simulations. Current Odds are 200/1, 0.5%. Our projection is leaning on them to win under 72.5 games. The Pirates are averaging 71.7 wins per sim. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #14 in the NL. They went 69-93 last season. They were not good against the spread going 76-86 (-2736 loss).

25SEATTLE MARINERS
Projected Record: 74-88

While not completely impossible, their chances of winning the World Series is under 0.1 percent. Current Odds are 500/1, 0.2%. The Mariners are averaging 74.3 wins per sim which makes them a solid bet to win over 68.5 games. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #10 in the AL. They went 68-94 last season. They were not good against the spread going 79-83 (-1511 loss).

26KANSAS CITY ROYALS
Projected Record: 69-93

They win the World Series in less than 0.1% of simulations. Current Odds are 500/1, 0.2%. The Royals are averaging 68.9 wins per sim which makes them a solid bet to win over 64.5 games. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #12 in the AL. Their 59-103 record last season failed to meet expectations. Their game-by-game odds projected record was 66.9-95.1. Putting a 100 units on them to win every game would have cost you -2489 units.

27MIAMI MARLINS
Projected Record: 65-97

They win the World Series in less than 0.1% of simulations. Current Odds are 1000/1, 0.1%. The Marlins are averaging 65.1 wins per sim which makes them a solid bet to win over 62.5 games. In simulations they finish last in the NL based on projected wins. They went 57-105 last season. They were not good against the spread going 83-79 (-787 loss).

28TORONTO BLUE JAYS
Projected Record: 67-95

They do not win the World Series in any simulations. Current Odds are 100/1, 1%. The Blue Jays are averaging 66.5 wins per sim so we recommend betting them to come under 75.5 wins. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #13 in the AL. They went 67-95 last season. They were not good against the spread going 80-82 (-236 loss).

29BALTIMORE ORIOLES
Projected Record: 58-104

They have no chance to win the championship. Current Odds are 1000/1, 0.1%. The Orioles are averaging 58 wins per sim which makes them a decent bet to win over 56.5 games. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #14 in the AL. They went 54-108 last season. They were not good against the spread going 71-91 (-2138 loss).

30DETROIT TIGERS
Projected Record: 51-111

They do not win the World Series in any simulations. Current Odds are 1000/1, 0.1%. The Tigers are averaging 51.4 wins per sim so we recommend betting them to come under 56.5 wins. In simulations they finish last in the AL based on projected wins. Their 47-114 record last season was very disappointing. Their expected win percentage was 39%. Putting a 100 units on them to win every game would have cost you -4376 units.